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Most Likely Upset March Madness 2024 - Elite 8

Written by: Michael Savio
Updated March 27, 2024
8 min read

The Elite 8 is here at last!

After a thrilling Sweet 16, only eight teams remain in the NCAA Tournament. A couple of teams have defied expectations to get here, and we think one of them has a great chance to advance to the Final Four.

Below, we will discuss the most likely upset in the Elite 8 and everything you need to bet confidently on each.

Upsets March Madness Predictions

#6 Clemson Tigers vs. #4 Alabama Crimson Tide

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Team Spread Moneyline Total
Clemson +3.5 (-112) +140 Over 164.5 (-108)
Alabama -3.5 (-108) -166 Under 164.5 (-112)

Nobody is set up better for an Elite 8 upset than the Clemson Tigers. While the team struggled during the season, they figured things out at the right time. They have discarded three of the top-scoring teams in the country: New Mexico, Baylor, and Arizona. Their ability to keep each in check helped support their offense, which averaged 77.2 points per game during the season. 

Clemson’s run of playing elite scoring teams will continue in the Elite 8 as they take on Alabama. The Tide led the country in scoring (90.7 PPG) but allowed an ugly 81.1 points per game. The Tigers just faced an Arizona team with a lot of similarities to Alabama, ranking third in the country in scoring (87.1 PPG) but only allowing 72.1 points on defense. 

Alabama’s win over the Tar Heels was impressive, but their defense almost cost them the game. They allowed 87 points, even with RJ Davis having one of the worst games of his career. The senior guard went 4-20 from the field and 0-9 from three, scoring eight of his 16 points from the free throw line. Davis’s struggles were not due to the Tide’s defensive effort, meaning they got lucky. That luck will run out tonight.

Expect Clemson to come out strong once again, jumping out to an early lead as Alabama adjusts to their improved defense. Clemson made 49.2% of their shots against Arizona, and they will do even better against a bad Alabama defense. The spread will tempt a lot of people, but we are betting on the Tigers to earn their way to the Final Four. 

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Michael Savio

412 Articles

Michael is an avid sports fan and a veteran bettor from Milwaukee. He learned the trade from his grandfather in Las Vegas as a kid and has turned that into a successful career. He cheers for all Wisconsin pro teams along with his Alma Mater Arizona State. He specializes in baseball betting, but has experience in football, basketball, and hockey as well. When he isn’t pouring over stats, he’s spending time with his two young children.

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