Most Likely Upsets March Madness 2021

Upsets March Madness

  • Just like any year, the March Madness Tournament is filled with opportunities for the underdog!
  • We saw ten upsets in March Madness 2019!
  • We provide an extended look at some of the teams that we expect to be upset fodder in March Madness 2021!

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The NCAA Division I Men’s Basketball Tournament is one of the most exciting contests in major sports. 68 teams will compete in a single-elimination tournament to determine the best basketball program of the year! Along with the competition comes the potential for a number of upsets, as rankings and conferences can mean very little depending on the matchup.

Before Selection Sunday, we take a look at the top three teams that we think are most likely to be upset in this year’s March Madness Tournament!

3. Houston Cougars 21-3 (14-3, 2nd in AAC)


You may have seen me praising head coach Kelvin Sampson and his Houston Cougars’ side for their performances, and that praise is well earned. Not only is their record impressive, but their defensive statistics suggest that they’ll be a force in March Madness. So why are they likely to be upset?

The issue at hand for the Cougars is that they’ve only defeated one school that is a lock to make March Madness this season. Of course, that doesn’t mean they’re upset fodder, but it is as concerning as it gets for a team projected to make even the Elite Eight.

For Houston, it’s a matter of what they might be able to do, rather than what they can do. Their dominance in the paint has worked well against AAC competition, but their 14.7 offensive rebounds per game don’t seem sustainable against the best in the nation. Without collecting almost 25% of their shot attempts, the Cougars don’t seem quite as threatening.

2. Ohio State Buckeyes 18-8 (12-8, 5th in Big Ten)


The Buckeyes certainly looked like one of the top teams in the nation just a month ago. However, their recent poor run of form against some of the best teams in the Big Ten slowed their hype train. After losing their last four games, the Buckeyes are ending the regular season with more questions than answers.

Ohio State’s offensive efficiency seemed to dry up in their consecutive losses to Illinois, Iowa, Michigan State, and Michigan. They shot just 45.6% from the field while allowing their opponents to shoot 50% from the field. Their sudden drop sheds some light on the issues they might have in the future.

Head Coach Chris Holtman’s team more than struggled on the offensive side of the ball in their last four games. Their largest issue was their inability to initiate their offense, averaging just 10.8 assists per game in their recent losing streak. If they can be slowed down so easily against the in-conference competition, we expect a similar performance against other top programs in the country.

1. Villanova Wildcats 16-5 (11-4, 1st in Big East)


The Big East is brutally competitive, but Jay Wright has been able to form a consistent program of success. Unfortunately for the Wildcats, their recent run of health has been a detriment to their long-term prospects at a national championship.

Just a week ago, senior guard Collin Gillespie tore his MCL and was ruled out for the remainder of the regular season, Big East Tournament, and March Madness. They’ve now suffered another blow as sophomore guard Justin Moore suffered a severe ankle sprain and is expected to miss at least the Big East Tournament.

The pair combined to average 26.7 points per game, 7.6 rebounds per game, as well as 7.6 assists per game. It’s not as if Jay Wright is lacking bodies, but the pair’s dependability is something a school needs for a long, successful Tournament run. Chris Arcidiacono is prepared to step up in Moore and Gillespie’s absence, but it’s hard to promote the same odds when a nine-game sophomore who averages zeroes across the board is penned to run the offense.

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March Madness 2021 Upsets FAQ

What are the most likely upsets for March Madness 2021?

This year’s Big Dance three teams were selected by WSN for being likely underdogs, including, the Houston Cougars,

How many upsets happened in the last March Madness?

The last March Madness had 10 upsets with the biggest being centered around Auburn, Kansas State, and others.

How many upsets usually happen during March Madness?

With so many teams competing all at once it is impossible to be able to call every win and loss, or at least it’s never happened before. Last March Madness there were 10 notable upsets.

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Christian Jope

Expert on NBA

Christian Jope is a writer, social media strategist, and data analyst. A Queen’s University Alumni, Christian is an author and social media strategist with Raptors Cage, while also working closely with MLSE and Canada Basketball through community-driven events.

Email: [email protected]