The Butterfield Bermuda Championship Predictions, Betting Odds, Picks

  • A third visit to the tropical island for the PGA Tour
  • Brian Gay defends his trophy 12 months after defeating Wyndham Clark in extra holes
  • Rejected Ryder Cup star Patrick Reed makes an unexpected start

The Butterfield Bermuda Championship Odds

Odds taken from BetMGM

Player Odds
Matthew Fitzpatrick +1100
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Christiaan Bezuidenhout +1600
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Mito Pereira +2000
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Patrick Reed +2000
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Seamus Power +2500
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Haydn Buckley +2800
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Adam Hadwin +3000
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Danny Willett +3300
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Mathias Schwab +3300
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Chad Ramey +3500
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The Butterfield Bermuda Championship Picks

Graeme McDowell is the each way outright pick at +8000 with Unibet

Kurt Kitayama can grab a top 20 at +400 with DraftKings Sportsbook

Russell Knox over David Lipsky in a match-up at -134 with bet365

The Butterfield Bermuda Championship Predictions

Want to know how wide open this week’s Butterfield Bermuda Championship is? Well, consider this: no less than 33 of the top 36 players in the market are yet to win on the PGA Tour – and two of those own just the one success!

A second standout factor at the top of the betting is the presence of so many European Tour regulars.

Matthew Fitzpatrick and Christiaan Bezuidenhout lead the way, closely followed by Danny Willett and Mathias Schwab, but even the American David Lipsky is part of that top 36, as is the young Italian Guido Migliozzi.

What can we expect of those European raiders?

Well, they surely have a strong chance because this week’s host course, Port Royal in Bermuda, is far from a standard PGA Tour venue.

Unsurprisingly, it has much in common with other courses that the circuit visits south of the American border – think El Camaleon in Mexico, Corales Puntacana in the Dominican Republic and Grand Reserve in Puerto Rico.

Port Royal is a blustery track which places a premium on hitting fairways and demands excellent putting on the grainy Bermuda grass greens (the top three finishers last year ranked top 10 for Putting Average, in 2019 four of those who finished tied third or better ranked top 12 in the same category).

The defending champion Brian Gay also finished third in the inaugural tournament and he was in no doubt why he is so well-suited to the test.

He said: “I love Bermuda greens. Living in Florida, the wind doesn’t bother me. It’s not a long golf course. It’s a golf course where I get a lot of short clubs and you can’t really overpower the golf course. It keeps the shorter hitters in the game, everybody has a chance here.”

G-Mac Can Complete the Veteran Hat-Trick

Gay’s success last year followed on from Brendon Todd’s victory in 2019 and the pair have much in common.

At 34, Todd was not quite as long in the tooth as Gay was when winning at 48 but he was vastly experienced on the PGA Tour and especially in the distinct conditions.

The “hit it straight, hit it low, play smart and putt well on tricky greens” examination is perfect for veterans and Stewart Cink finished tied fourth behind Gay to prove the point.

Remember we discussed the similarity between El Camaleon and Port Royal? Well, Gay and Todd are both winners on that Mexican track. Gay has also won at Harbour Town (yet another course that asks the same questions), so has Cink, and Todd has a top five there.

And if we’re seeking a seasoned performer, who has excelled at those two courses, step forward Graeme McDowell.

The Northern Irishman has played most of his best golf on the PGA Tour by the ocean and it makes all kinds of sense because he grew up on a seaside course.

He’s not just a winner at El Camaleon, he’s also triumphed at Harbour Town, and he’s even won in the Dominican Republic as well.

At first glance his form is not great, but he was fourth in the Dominican Republic in March, has made four of his last five cuts, and was in the top 20 for much of his penultimate start at the Dutch Open.

Take him each way in the outright at +8000 with Unibet, a good price that pays out six places.

Kitayama Can Make the Most of the Conditions

Even under normal circumstances Port Royal is buffeted by the wind, but the weather forecast suggests that the first round will be a tough test.

There’s every chance that the players will have to deal with gusts above 30mph and that will take plenty of the field out of the equation.

One man unlikely to be fazed is the American Kurt Kitayama whose two European Tour victories were earned in conditions very like this week.

His first came at the Four Seasons course on the Indian Ocean island of Mauritius – another holiday resort, with lots of wind and tricky greens.

His second win came in the Oman Open, at Al Mouj Golf, which is yet another layout by the Indian Ocean with Bermuda greens. The final round was also played in a gale.

Kitayama is desperate to establish himself on his home tour and this is a great chance for him to do so.

He made a good start last time out (top 10 at halfway) and can build on that this week.

Take him to make the top 20 with DraftKings offering +400.

Opportunity Knox

We’ll keep it simple in the match bets and go with a player who dominates the head-to-head count, has a fine course record, and is up against a player unsuited by the test.

The man in question is Scotsman Russell Knox, who is favorite against David Lipsky, but deservedly so.

He leads that head-to-count by a dominant margin of 23-11 and on blustery seaside courses that advantage is 8-3.

Part of the reason for that is that Lipsky has always struggled by the sea on the European Tour.

On the linksland of Great Britain and Ireland he has missed 14 of 15 cuts and never landed a top 50. Elsewhere he’s got two top 60s in seven starts.

In contrast, Knox has played this event twice and finished top 20 both times. He’s also brilliant at El Camaleon.

Take the hint and back him at -134 with bet365.

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How to Watch The Butterfield Bermuda Championship

The Butterfield Bermuda Championship Information
Tournament The Butterfield Bermuda Championship
Location Port Royal Golf Course
Time Thursday, October 28 – Sunday, October 31
How to watch Thursday & Friday 1.30pm & 5pm ET (Golf Channel), Saturday & Sunday 1pm & 5pm ET (Golf Channel). And all four days on Sky Sports.

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Matt Cooper

Expert on Golf

Matt Cooper has been a sports journalist since 2009 with his work appearing at ESPN, Sky Sports, NBC, Sporting Life and the Planet Sport Network among many others, in addition to guest appearances on the BBC and CNN. Although a specialist in golf, who has traveled the world to cover the sport, Matt has also covered rugby, cricket, football and the Olympics. Email: [email protected]