Cyprus Open Predictions, Odds & Picks

Cyprus Open 2020

  • The Cyprus Open is a brand new tournament on the European Tour
  • Host course Aphrodite Hills will also stage next week’s ET event   
  • Englishman Andy Sullivan is the clear favorite in the betting

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Cyprus Open Championship Odds

PlayerOdds
Andy Sullivan+1100
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Joost Luiten+2000
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Thomas Detry+2500
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Robert MacIntyre+2500
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Matthias Schwab+2500
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Sam Horsfield+2800
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Marcus Kinhult+2800
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Jordan Smith+2800
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Sami Valimaki+3000
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Laurie Canter+3300
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Haotong Li+3300
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Cyprus Open Odds Our Picks

Sami Valimaki has been in great form on the European Tour over the summer. The young Finnish talent is a great bet each-way (¼ 1-2-3-4-5) +3000 at bet365.

Joakim Lagergren plays well by the coast and has some consistent form going. He can win a 72-hole match against the far less reliable Nicolas Colsaerts -120 bet365.

Former Irish Open winner and Ryder Cup star Jamie Donaldson is playing some strong golf again and can land a top 20 at +335 with DraftKings Sportsbook.

Picks:

Sami Valimaki +3000 (e/w ¼ 1-2-3-4-5) at bet365

Joakim Lagergren to beat Nicolas Colsaerts in a 72-hole match-bet -120 at bet365

Jamie Donaldson to land a top 20 +335 at DraftKings Sportsbook

How to Watch the Cyprus Open

Cyprus Open Information
WhatCyprus Open
WhereAphrodite Hills Resort, Paphos, Cyprus
WhenThursday October 29 – Sunday November 01
How to WatchThursday & Friday 6.00am-10.30am ET (Golf Channel), Saturday 6.00am-10.30am (Golf Channel), Sunday 6.00am-9.00am (Golf Channel). All 4 days on Sky Sports

Cyprus Open Profile

It’s the first-ever edition of the Cyprus Open and to show what a globetrotting entity the European Tour is, this will be the 50th different country to stage one of its events. The course, designed by American Cabell Robinson in 2002, is a par 71 that measures 6,956 yards.

Check out the pictures on social media as this site is spectacular.

The European Tour writes:

With the backdrop of the Mediterranean and built on two plateaux separated by a dramatic ravine, the course is a visual spectacle. One of the most striking holes is the par-three seventh, where players have to navigate over a 140-yard gorge. There are also several unique parts of the course’s landscape which have been retained, including an 18th century kiln on the first fairway and an ancient olive press on the eighth fairway.

For those who like their history, the venue is named after Aphrodite, the Greek goddess of love. She’s also associated with pleasure and passion so hopefully, we get the golf to match all those attributes this week.  The course is vastly enjoyable to play and that’s especially important. Why? This is actually the first of two back-to-back events at the venue. The European Tour stays in town next week for a second installment with the Aphrodite Hills Cyprus Showdown. More on that next time as it has an unusual format.

After the doubleheader in Cyprus, it’s time for The Masters at Augusta National.

Vote Valimaki;  Finn Can Claim First Win

With no course form to lean on this week with Cyprus debuting on the European Tour, the current form has to take center stage. And Sami Valimaki certainly has plenty of that.

The 22-year-old from Finland enjoyed a run of 6-2-10 in the late summer, those results coming at the Celtic Classic, Wales Open, and Andalucia Masters.

And last time out in the European Tour’s flagship event, the BMW PGA Championship at Wentworth, the youngster rounded off his debut with a 66 for tied 13th. He ranked 1st for Greens In Regulation there.

Valimaki is clearly something special having won a European Tour event on just his sixth start. That was at the Oman Open in March where he outlasted South African Brandon Stone in a play-off. That course, Al Mouj, has some similar traits to this week’s venue and his aggressive approach should make him a great fit. Ranked 367th in the world before his win in Oman, Valimaki is up to 94th and climbing.

Take him each-way +3000 at bet365.

Lagergren To Outscore Colsaets

We continued our strong run of match bet winners in Italy last week as Martin Kaymer’s top-five finish was too good for Bernd Wiesberger.

That made it 14 winners out of the last 17 for this part of the preview so it’s been a great area for profit. Looking back to Italy and Nicolas Colsaerts played some excellent golf to finish joint-second. So, in theory, it looks dangerous to take him on here. However, the Belgian is notoriously inconsistent and just never seems to string good performances together.

Some evidence: here are his finishes after having posted a top 10 on his previous start: 63rd, 42nd, 38th, 47th, WD, MC, MC, 57th. That study period is over three-and-a-half years.

He even admitted himself last week that it’s either boom or bust so history tells us that it’s fair to expect a dip. Even if Colsaerts plays well, he may still not be able to match Joakim Lagergren. The Swede is 5-for-5 since the start of September and has twice posted top fives in that run – third at the Portugal Masters (by the coast) and fifth in the Irish Open. His putting has been particularly impressive, Lagergren ranking in the top 10 for Putting Average in four of those five tournaments.

Tied 32nd at Wentworth last time (Colsaerts missed the cut), Lagergren can outscore his rival at -120 at bet365.

Donaldson To Land In Top 20

As stated earlier, the lack of course form means a greater focus on the current form. And with that in mind when looking for a solid Top 20 option, Jamie Donaldson has to come into the crosshairs. The Welshman is a Ryder Cup winner and three-time European Tour champion. He’s also spent time in the top 25 in the world rankings. The pedigree is there but right now he’s also showing that, at 45, he still has plenty of good golf in him.

In 2019, Donaldson had slumped to 1,199th in the world rankings; now he resides at 344th after piecing together his most consistent run of form in years. His current cut streak is eight but, with reference to this market, four of those have been top 20s. It’s actually better than that as all are top 15s and two doubled as top 10s.

So, after strong displays on a mix of courses at the Hero Open (T15), English Championship (T14), Andalucia Masters (T10) and Scottish Championship (T9), he can thrive again at this new course in Cyprus.

With his irons looking dialed in, take Donaldson to finish in the top 20 at +335 with DraftKings Sportsbook.

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Dave Tindall

Expert on Golf

Dave Tindall is former golf editor at SkySports.com and Golf365.com and has been writing betting previews for the PGA Tour and European Tour since 1997. He has also written for a range of betting companies, including William Hill and Betfair, as well as being a regular columnist for Rotoworld, The Guardian, Sporting Life and Planet Sport. His other area of speciality is football while he's also covered cricket and tennis.



Email: dave.tindall@wsn.com