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Daniel Berger says this course “fits his eye” and he’s backed that up with third and 13th the last two years. Back him for the win at +3500 with Caesars Sportsbook.
Si Woo Kim is a former runner-up here and has plenty of solid form this season. He can beat Chris Kirk in a 72-hole match at -110 DraftKings Sportsbook.
Denny McCarthy has six top 20s in his last 12 starts and was tied 13th at Hilton Head last year. Back him for another Top 20 at +350 with DraftKings Sportsbook.
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After the high-intensity of The Masters, the PGA TOUR breathes out this week with the annual post-Augusta gathering at Hilton Head.
It’s just the tonic after the pressure-packed atmosphere at the year’s first Major and a look at the field shows that many of the big names are more than happy to make the short drive from Georgia to South Carolina and unwind a little.
Over the years, bettors have done well in this event as it’s one of those where ignoring the front of the market is a valid strategy.
One ‘law’ is not to back anyone who has been in serious contention at Augusta. So that would mean striking a line through Cameron Smith for example.
Others such as Shane Lowry and Justin Thomas may feel a little frazzled too while it’s standard practice to swerve Dustin Johnson here.
RBC is one of DJ’s sponsors while South Carolina is his home state. In other words, there’s a certain obligation for him to be here but no top 10s in six visits suggests he’s not giving it the full focus despite the odd good round.
Apart from the stakes, there are other obvious big differences between this week and last.
In contrast to Augusta National, Harbour Town Golf Links has small and slowish Bermuda greens is tight off the tee due to the overhanging trees, and measure in at just 7,191 yards.
Par on this Pete Dye-designed track is just 71.
As a result, big hitters have their powers negated while steady plotters have conditions that rarely come their way.
It’s also a good place for course horses. Stewart Cink won for the third time last year while Luke Donald has no less than seven top-three finishes.
Daniel Berger did his best to try and stay somewhere near the lead at Augusta but gradually drifted away and landed in the 50th spot after a closing 80.
All the adrenaline had gone by then and, to be honest, it could work in our favor that he didn’t really spend any energy completing his final couple of laps.
Maybe Augusta isn’t really his course but you could argue that Harbour Town is.
Berger is 4-for-4 and two years ago finished 63-65 to take third place. He backed that up with tied 13th last year.
The Floridian will enjoy being back on these Bermuda greens and not trying to go toe to toe with the big hitters.
Berger’s game is far more about precision (15th Driving Accuracy) than length (175th Driving Distance) and with plenty of bunkers on the course his 1st place in Sand Saves this season bodes well.
Speaking a couple of years ago, he said of Harbour Town: “I know it’s a course that fits my eye. Obviously, with the Bermuda-style greens and fairways and rough, it’s something that I look forward to.
I think the golf course here actually sets up really well for me. It’s a lot of little chip drivers. I’ve got a great plan for the golf course.
In his last two regular strokeplay events, Berger was the 54-hole leader at the Honda Classic before finishing fourth and then tied 13th on another Pete Dye track, Sawgrass, in THE PLAYERS Championship.
His odds of +3500 look on the generous side.
For this week’s 72-hole match bet, I’m going to take Si Woo Kim to take down Chris Kirk.
Kim had a glorious chance to win this event in 2018 before losing a playoff and that followed a tied 14th on debut. He added tied 33rd last year.
A winner of THE PLAYERS at TPC Sawgrass and The American Express at La Quinta, two of the Korean’s three wins have come on other Pete Dye tracks.
He was going nicely at Augusta before a poor back nine on Sunday and, generally, Kim has been one of the most consistent players on the PGA TOUR this season having racked up eight top finishes of tied 26th or better in his last 12 starts.
Kirk started the Florida Swing in fine style but rather fell away with a missed cut at Sawgrass before a tied 35th in the Texas Open.
A seventh at Hilton Head last year deserves respect but he’d missed two of his three previous cuts at the course and before that top 10 he’d never bettered tied 23rd in nine previous visits.
Back Kim to win this pick ‘em at -110 with DraftKings Sportsbook.
Denny McCarthy closed with a trio of 67s to post tied 13th here last year and this is the type, of course, that should suit him.
That’s shown by some decent form on other coastal tracks such as tied 15th at Mayakoba and tied 10th at the RSM Classic earlier this season.
Those two events along with tied 18th in the Texas Open earlier this month form part of a run of six top 20s in his last 12 starts.
That 50% strike rate allied to his course form makes McCarthy a worthy bet to finish in the top 20 again.
That’s priced at +350 with DraftKings Sportsbook.
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|RBC Heritage Information||Tournament||RBC Heritage|
|Location||Harbour Town Golf Links, Hilton Head, South Carolina|
|Time||Thursday, April 14 – Sunday, April 17|
|How to Watch||Thursday-Friday 12 pm-6 pm ET (Golf Channel). Saturday-Sunday 1pm-3pm (Golf Channel), 3pm-6pm (CBS). All 4 days on Sky Sports|
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Dave Tindall is former golf editor at SkySports.com and Golf365.com and has been writing betting previews for the PGA Tour and European Tour since 1997. He has also written for a range of betting companies, including William Hill and Betfair, as well as being a regular columnist for Rotoworld, The Guardian, Sporting Life and Planet Sport. His other area of speciality is football while he's also covered cricket and tennis.
Email: [email protected]More info on Dave Tindall
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