The RBC Heritage Predictions, Picks, Betting Odds

• This event at Harbour Town Golf Links is the traditional stop after The Masters 
• The Pete Dye course is a par 71 measuring under 7,200 yards 
• History says it usually pays to swerve the market leaders 

RBC Heritage Odds

The odds for this tournament are provided by Caesars Sportsbook. Click on the odds below to head to Caesars Sportsbook and place a bet.

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RBC Heritage Picks

Daniel Berger says this course “fits his eye” and he’s backed that up with third and 13th the last two years. Back him for the win at +3500 with Caesars Sportsbook.

Si Woo Kim is a former runner-up here and has plenty of solid form this season. He can beat Chris Kirk in a 72-hole match at -110 DraftKings Sportsbook.

Denny McCarthy has six top 20s in his last 12 starts and was tied 13th at Hilton Head last year. Back him for another Top 20 at +350 with DraftKings Sportsbook.

After the high-intensity of The Masters, the PGA TOUR breathes out this week with the annual post-Augusta gathering at Hilton Head.

It’s just the tonic after the pressure-packed atmosphere at the year’s first Major and a look at the field shows that many of the big names are more than happy to make the short drive from Georgia to South Carolina and unwind a little.

Over the years, bettors have done well in this event as it’s one of those where ignoring the front of the market is a valid strategy.

One ‘law’ is not to back anyone who has been in serious contention at Augusta. So that would mean striking a line through Cameron Smith for example.

Others such as Shane Lowry and Justin Thomas may feel a little frazzled too while it’s standard practice to swerve Dustin Johnson here.

RBC is one of DJ’s sponsors while South Carolina is his home state. In other words, there’s a certain obligation for him to be here but no top 10s in six visits suggests he’s not giving it the full focus despite the odd good round.

Apart from the stakes, there are other obvious big differences between this week and last.

In contrast to Augusta National, Harbour Town Golf Links has small and slowish Bermuda greens is tight off the tee due to the overhanging trees, and measure in at just 7,191 yards.

Par on this Pete Dye-designed track is just 71.

As a result, big hitters have their powers negated while steady plotters have conditions that rarely come their way.

It’s also a good place for course horses. Stewart Cink won for the third time last year while Luke Donald has no less than seven top-three finishes.

Berger Can Bounce Back

Daniel Berger did his best to try and stay somewhere near the lead at Augusta but gradually drifted away and landed in the 50th spot after a closing 80.

All the adrenaline had gone by then and, to be honest, it could work in our favor that he didn’t really spend any energy completing his final couple of laps.

Maybe Augusta isn’t really his course but you could argue that Harbour Town is.

Berger is 4-for-4 and two years ago finished 63-65 to take third place. He backed that up with tied 13th last year.

The Floridian will enjoy being back on these Bermuda greens and not trying to go toe to toe with the big hitters.

Berger’s game is far more about precision (15th Driving Accuracy) than length (175th Driving Distance) and with plenty of bunkers on the course his 1st place in Sand Saves this season bodes well.

Speaking a couple of years ago, he said of Harbour Town: “I know it’s a course that fits my eye. Obviously, with the Bermuda-style greens and fairways and rough, it’s something that I look forward to.

I think the golf course here actually sets up really well for me. It’s a lot of little chip drivers. I’ve got a great plan for the golf course.

In his last two regular strokeplay events, Berger was the 54-hole leader at the Honda Classic before finishing fourth and then tied 13th on another Pete Dye track, Sawgrass, in THE PLAYERS Championship.

His odds of +3500 look on the generous side.

Si Woo Kim Can Outscore Kirk

For this week’s 72-hole match bet, I’m going to take Si Woo Kim to take down Chris Kirk.

Kim had a glorious chance to win this event in 2018 before losing a playoff and that followed a tied 14th on debut. He added tied 33rd last year.

A winner of THE PLAYERS at TPC Sawgrass and The American Express at La Quinta, two of the Korean’s three wins have come on other Pete Dye tracks.

He was going nicely at Augusta before a poor back nine on Sunday and, generally, Kim has been one of the most consistent players on the PGA TOUR this season having racked up eight top finishes of tied 26th or better in his last 12 starts.

Kirk started the Florida Swing in fine style but rather fell away with a missed cut at Sawgrass before a tied 35th in the Texas Open.

A seventh at Hilton Head last year deserves respect but he’d missed two of his three previous cuts at the course and before that top 10 he’d never bettered tied 23rd in nine previous visits.

Back Kim to win this pick ‘em at -110 with DraftKings Sportsbook.

Make it McCarthy for a Top 20

Denny McCarthy closed with a trio of 67s to post tied 13th here last year and this is the type, of course, that should suit him.

That’s shown by some decent form on other coastal tracks such as tied 15th at Mayakoba and tied 10th at the RSM Classic earlier this season.

Those two events along with tied 18th in the Texas Open earlier this month form part of a run of six top 20s in his last 12 starts.

That 50% strike rate allied to his course form makes McCarthy a worthy bet to finish in the top 20 again.

That’s priced at +350 with DraftKings Sportsbook.

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