DP World Tour Championship Predictions, Betting Odds & Top Picks

  • This is the concluding tournament of the European Tour’s Race to Dubai
  • Patrick Reed leads the standings and heads to Dubai to try and secure No.1
  • The Earth Course at Jumeirah Golf Estates plays host again

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DP World Tour Championship Odds

Player Odds
Patrick Reed +800
Tyrrell Hatton +1100
Viktor Hovland +1200
Tommy Fleetwood +1200
Collin Morikawa +1400
Matthew Fitzpatrick +1600
Sungjae Im +1800
Christiaan Bezuidenhout +2000
Robert MacIntyre +2200
Matt Wallace +2500
Bernd Wiesberger +2500


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DP World Tour Championship Picks and Predictions

South African Christiaan Bezuidenhout has won for us at +1600 and +700 the last two weeks and is worth an each-way bet at +2000 with bet365 (1/4 1-2-3-4-5).

Tommy Fleetwood was second here last year and has an elite record in the Euro Tour’s desert events. He can beat Sungjae Im over 72 holes -118 DraftKings Sportsbook.

Scotland’s Marc Warren has found his mojo again and was T8 in last week’s Dubai tournament; he can land another top 20 at +450 DraftKings Sportsbook.


Christiaan Bezuidenhout each-way (1/4 1-2-3-4-5) +2000 at bet365

Tommy Fleetwood to beat Sungjae Im in a 72-hole match -118 at DraftKings Sportsbook

Marc Warren to land a top 20 +450 at DraftKings Sportsbook

DP World Tour Championship

DP World Tour Championship Information
What DP World Tour Championship
Where Jumeirah Golf Estates, Dubai, United Arab Emirates
When Thursday, December 10 – Sunday, December 13
How to Watch Thursday 2.00am-8.00am ET (Golf Channel), Friday 2.00am-8.00am (Golf Channel), Saturday 2.00am-8.00am (Golf Channel), Sunday 1.30am-7.30am (Golf Channel). All 4 days on Sky Sports

DP World Tour Championship Profile

After a season that no-one could ever have imagined, the European Tour finally reaches its conclusion. The DP World Tour Championship in Dubai is once again the destination and Patrick Reed – the man at the top of the standings heading in – has the chance to create history.

No American player has ever been crowned European No.1 but Reed leads the way thanks to a case of quality over quantity. The 30-year-old has pegged it up just seven times and five of those were co-sanctioned majors and WGCs. That said, Reed did come over to Europe in October to bank tied third in the BMW PGA Championship at Wentworth.

In contrast to previous years, any of the 65-man field can win the Race to Dubai although it would take some crazy math for those near the bottom of the list to come through.

What we do know is that just four players control their own destiny. If any of Reed, Tommy Fleetwood, Collin Morikawa, or Lee Westwood take the trophy this week, they win the Race to Dubai. If Reed doesn’t finish second alone, Christiaan Bezuidenhout, Victor Perez, Aaron Rai and Tyrrell Hatton can land the RTD with a victory. Another factor against those near the lower end of the current rankings is that this event is usually won by a top name.

It was first played in 2009 and six of those 11 editions have been won by Jon Rahm, Rory McIlroy, and Henrik Stenson (twice each). Also on the winner’s roll-call: former Masters champion Danny Willett and Ryder Cup stars Lee Westwood, Matthew Fitzpatrick, and Robert Karlsson.

The Earth Course at Jumeirah Golf Estates is a lengthy 7,675-yard par 72 and ends with a 620-yard par 5 where water comes into play. The tee can be moved up though, bringing in the opportunity for eagle and a dramatic last-gasp change on the leaderboard.

Finishes are traditionally tight with four of the last five being won by a single stroke.

Don’t Desert Bezuidenhout; South African Can Challenge Again

It’s fair to say that Christiaan Bezuidenhout is this column’s favorite golfer right now. I put him up at +1600 to capture the Alfred Dunhill Championship two weeks ago and he won by four. And I went in again at +700 in last week’s South African Open. Once more he hit the jackpot, this time winning by five.

So it seems appropriate to ride the hot horse and play up our winnings – especially as he knows that a third win would see him crowned European No.1. Three-timers are rare in golf so we have to bear that in mind. But the flip side is that Bezuidehout’s confidence must be through the roof.

Also, this is not a bet purely based on current form.

The 26-year-old made his debut at the Earth Course last year and fired 71-67-70-73 to take tied 12th. He was a leaderboard presence, sitting fifth at halfway and T7 with a lap to go. If that hinted at a liking for desert golf, Bezuidenhout really rubber-stamped the idea when reaching a play-off at the Dubai Desert Classic on his most recent start in the United Arab Emirates. He lost on that occasion but at the moment everything he touches is turning to gold.

Now 35th in the world – a spot higher than Gary Woodland and three better than Tiger Woods – Bezuidenhout is definitely worth an each-way bet (1/4 1-2-3-4-5) at +2000 with bet365.

Fleetwood To Outscore Im

On world rankings, pitching Tommy Fleetwood against Sungjae Im in a 72-hole match bet seems a reasonable decision. It’s No.16 v No.20; surely a hard one to call. And yet, on another level, it seems a strange choice. Fleetwood is vastly experienced and has a great record on the deserts courses used in the United Arab Emirates while Im is experiencing one for the first time.

Fleetwood won the Abu Dhabi Golf Championship in both 2017 and 2018, finished runner-up in this week’s event last year, and also placed second in Abu Dhabi back in January before taking T11 in the Dubai Desert Classic.

Im has played quite well in desert conditions on the PGA Tour but Fleetwood has a huge edge in terms of course knowledge here.

Fleetwood’s current form may not look too hot but a top 20 at The Masters along with three 67s and a 70 for T37 at the RSM Classic were fair efforts. And it’s worth pointing out that he’s a bit of a beast in regular European Tour events. His last three finishes? 13-2-3. Im played superbly at Augusta National when T2 but he missed the cut the week after that and prior to The Masters could only manage 50-41-45.

Take Fleetwood -118 at DraftKings Sportsbook to win their match-up.

Warren To Land In Top 20

Sure, this is a classy field but, on pure numbers, making the top 20 is easier than usual as the field is restricted to just 65 players. Marc Warren finds himself as one of the rank outsiders but the oddsmakers may be underestimating him somewhat.

The Scot had lost status on the European Tour so qualifying for the season-ender shows how far he’s come over the last few months. A win at July’s Austrian Open was a big moment and he landed a huge purse when fourth at October’s Scottish Open – a Rolex Series event.

Warren continued the upwards turn with T8 in last week’s Golf in Dubai Championship and he can also lean on five previous starts at this venue so has course knowledge too.

With confidence high, Warren is great value to land a top 20 at +450 at DraftKings Sportsbook.

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Dave Tindall

Expert on Golf

Dave Tindall is former golf editor at SkySports.com and Golf365.com and has been writing betting previews for the PGA Tour and European Tour since 1997. He has also written for a range of betting companies, including William Hill and Betfair, as well as being a regular columnist for Rotoworld, The Guardian, Sporting Life and Planet Sport. His other area of speciality is football while he's also covered cricket and tennis.

Email: [email protected]