DP World Tour Championship Predictions, Betting Odds & Top Picks

  • This is the final event of the 2021 European Tour season
  • The Earth Course at Jumeirah Golf Estates in Dubai plays host
  • Collin Morikawa heads the Race to Dubai coming into the season closer

DP World Tour Championship Odds

The odds for this tournament are provided by bet365. Click on the odds below to head to bet365 and place a bet.

Player Odds
Rory McIlroy +600
Collin Morikawa +850
Tommy Fleetwood +1600
Matt Fitzpatrick +1600
Abraham Ancer +1600
Sergio Garcia +1800
Tyrrell Hatton +2200
Paul Casey +2200
Bernd Wiesberger +2200
Billy Horschel +2800
Patrick Reed +3000

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DP World Tour Championship

DP World Tour Championship Picks

Bernd Wiesberger has been in great form since the Ryder Cup and is a proven winner on the European Tour. Back the Austrian each-way at +2200 with bet365.

Tommy Fleetwood has better recent form and also better course form than Paul Casey. Take Fleetwood to win their all-English 72-hole match at -120 with bet365.

Frenchman Victor Perez has bounced back to form in the last two events and has a strong record on this track. He can bank a top 10 finish at +300 with bet365.

DP World Tour Championship Predictions

The European Tour reaches its conclusion at this week’s DP World Tour Championship in Dubai.

That refers not only to the current campaign but also the tour’s name.

As revealed last week, a new deal has been struck meaning from next season the European Tour will be known as the DP World Tour as this week’s title sponsors launch a new path.

For the final event of an era that started back in 1972, some world-class names are heading to Dubai.

As well as this week’s title being up for grabs, so is the honor of being crowned Europe’s No.1 golfer.

The current Race to Dubai leader is Open champion Collin Morikawa, who also boosted his points tally with a victory in the co-sanctioned WGC-Workday Championship at The Concession in Florida back in February.

Morikawa is attempting to become the first American to win the Race to Dubai since Europe’s money race was restructured in 2009.

The chances of a US winner being crowned top dog are boosted by Billy Horschel being ranked second in the standings.

Horschel has put himself in position as Morikawa’s biggest threat after winning the prestigious BMW PGA Championship at Wentworth as well as the WGC-Match Play in Texas.

Third-placed Jon Rahm isn’t in the field this week so the two Americans look to have it between them.

Four others in the limited 53-man field can still win the RTD – Tyrrell Hatton, Min Woo Lee, Matt Fitzpatrick and Paul Casey – but the math and permutations start to become complicated.

That’s the sideshow in terms of this preview as we’re focusing on who wins the tournament.

Past history tells us that it’s almost always an elite player.

Ryder Cuppers Rahm and Fitzpatrick have won it twice each in the last five years while the other champion in that period was 2016 Masters winner Danny Willett.

Before that, Rory McIlroy (2012 and 2015) and Henrik Stenson (2013 and 2014) shared the title four times.

The winning score in the last five editions has ranged from -15 to -19 so the Earth Course is scorable although not as easy as last week’s Fire Course on the same property (Jumeirah Golf Estates) where JB Hansen triumphed with 23-under.

Wiesberger Looks Value

It’s almost a must to pick a player who has at least one Ryder Cup under their belt and Bernd Wiesberger fits that bill having played at Whistling Straits.

It wasn’t the week he wanted but just being part of the European team has enabled him to stick his chest out and feel part of a new, elite club.

And it’s showing in his results too.

Since the Ryder Cup, he’s finished tied 12th in the Open de Espana, tied 11th in the Andalucia Masters and, last week, runner-up in the AVIV Dubai Championship.

Wiesberger ranked 2nd for Strokes Gained: Approach in the latter two and he’s striping it wonderfully well at the moment.

Sixth and second on his last two starts in Dubai, the Austrian hasn’t always played his best in this event but a fourth place in 2016 is encouraging.

Unlike those who could still win the Race to Dubai, Wiesberger won’t have that same pressure so can freewheel his way around the Earth Course.

He has momentum after closing with a 65 last week and let’s note that he’s won two Rolex Series events in the past so can land big tournaments.

One of those wins, the Scottish Open, came after he’d finished runner-up the week before in Ireland so that’s a nice and relevant precedent given his second place last time.

Put it all together and Wiesberger looks a great each-way bet at +2200 (1/4 1-2-3-4-5) at bet365.

Fleetwood Can Outscore Compatriot Casey

We landed last week’s 72-hole match bet as a fast-finishing Andy Sullivan got the better of fellow Englishman Jordan Smith.

And I’m going to try my luck in another all-England head-to-head by backing Tommy Fleetwood to outscore Paul Casey.

I was close to putting Fleetwood up as my outright pick at +1600 but am happy to get him onside this way.

The two-time Abu Dhabi Championship winner is in fine form on the European Tour, his last four starts showing finishes of 13-7-12-2.

As well as those two Abu Dhabi wins, he’s also got some impressive course form here.

Fleetwood finished runner-up in 2019 and added another top 10 last year. He’s placed 21st or better in each of his last five visits.

Casey also has a bunch of good form in the desert but his last five worldwide strokeplay finishes read: 31-25-MC-38-64 so his year is petering out a little.

At this course, Casey finished tied 18th (to Fleetwood’s second place) in 2019 and that was his first appearance since 2013 due to him not having European Tour membership.

Fleetwood offers a stronger package and I’ll back him at -120 with bet365.

Perez Can Crack the Top 10

Victor Perez endured a sticky run through October with a trio of missed cuts but has found his mojo again in recent starts.

He rebounded with a tied eighth in the Portugal Masters and warmed up for this week’s finale with a top 25 in the AVIV Dubai Championship.

In both events he closed with a 65.

Now he comes to a venue where he’s finished tied 20th on debut in 2019 and tied ninth last year so he clearly gets on well with the Earth Course.

Also a runner-up in the 2020 Abu Dhabi Championship, Perez can continue his recent uptick by landing at top 10 at +300 (bet365).

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How to Watch DP World Tour Championship

DP World Tour Championship
Tournament DP World Tour Championship
Location Earth Course, Jumeirah Golf Estates, Dubai, UAE
Time Thursday, November 18 – Sunday, November 21
How to Watch Thursday 2 am-10 am (Golf Channel), Friday 2 am-8 am (Golf Channel), Saturday 2 am-8 am (Golf Channel), Sunday 1.30 am-7.30 am (Golf Channel). All 4 days on Sky Sports

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Dave Tindall

Expert on Golf

Dave Tindall is former golf editor at SkySports.com and Golf365.com and has been writing betting previews for the PGA Tour and European Tour since 1997. He has also written for a range of betting companies, including William Hill and Betfair, as well as being a regular columnist for Rotoworld, The Guardian, Sporting Life and Planet Sport. His other area of speciality is football while he's also covered cricket and tennis.

Email: [email protected]