Swedish phenom Ludvig Aberg leads the betting
International golfers have won three of the last four renewals
Last week’s winner Chris Kirk has a superb tournament record
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Player | Odds |
---|---|
Ludvig Aberg | +1400 BET HERE |
Matt Fitzpatrick | +1600 BET HERE |
Tyrrell Hatton | +1600 BET HERE |
Brian Harman | +2200 BET HERE |
Russell Henley | +2500 BET HERE |
Eric Cole | +3000 BET HERE |
Chris Kirk | +3300 BET HERE |
Corey Conners | +3300 BET HERE |
Sahith Theegala | +3300 BET HERE |
J.T. Poston | +3500 BET HERE |
Harris English win at +4000 and top five at +700 with BetMGM Sportsbook
Russell Henley top 20 at +120 with FanDuel Sportsbook
Matt Kuchar to beat Keegan Bradley at -110 with DraftKings Sportsbook
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There are golf tournaments that offer minimal hints to bettors and there are also other events which have more clues than an Agatha Christie novel.
Having too many clues might create another problem entirely, of course, but it’s preferable to having none and the Sony Open at Waialae is definitely a clue-laden layout.
Winners here tend to have solid course experience and they are also likely to have secured wins at other courses which present a similar test.
Think narrow, tree-lined fairways.
Think blustery, seaside locations.
Think small, Bermuda-grass greens.
Think El Camaleon and Harbour Town and, to a lesser degree, Southwind, PGA National, and Colonial.
Last week’s winner Chris Kirk is chasing back-to-back triumphs and will fancy his chances because he is a two-time runner-up at Waialae.
Who will take the honors this week? Let’s find out.
Year | Champion and Winning Score |
---|---|
2023 | Si Woo Kim (Korea) -18 |
2022 | Hideki Matsuyama (Japan) -23 (Playoff) |
2021 | Kevin Na (U.S.A.) -21 |
2020 | Cameron Smith (Australia) -11 (Playoff) |
2019 | Matt Kuchar (U.S.A.) -22 |
2018 | Patton Kizzire (U.S.A.) -17 (Playoff) |
2017 | Justin Thomas (U.S.A.) -27 |
2016 | Fabian Gomez (Argentina) -20 |
2015 | Jimmy Walker (U.S.A.) -23 |
2014 | Jimmy Walker (U.S.A.) -17 |
The course is a par 70 that plays to 7,044 yards
It was designed by Seth Raynor and renovated by Tom Doak
In contrast to last week, it is a very flat layout
It’s a tree-lined course with a series of tight doglegs
It’s a test that rewards exceptional wedge play
The greens are small, and flat and feature Bermuda grass
The Swede closed 2023 with eight consecutive top-15 finishes, a run that included two wins, a playoff defeat, and a failure to convert a 54-lead. An astonishing run for a man who was still playing college golf in early June. Oh, and he also starred in Europe’s Ryder Cup triumph. He’s gun from the tee and his victories in Crans and at Sea Island suggest he could thrive this week.
A Waialae debut for the Englishman but there is every reason to think he will enjoy the test. He is, after all, a man who has won among the wind-blown trees of Valderrama, on the small greens at Harbour Town, and by the seaside in the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship. He carded a second-round 64 when finishing 14th last week at Plantation.
Another Englishman. Another making his debut this week. And guess what? Another who finished 14th last week, in his case posting a Friday 62. He’s even, like Fitzpatrick, a winner of the Dunhill Links and has finished third at Harbour Town (when the 54-hole leader). His win at Bay Hill in 2020 also reads relatively well for this week.
Head over to BetMGM to bet on our picks - Bet $5, Get $158 in Bonus Bets with Code WSNMGM.
Hark back to all those Sony Open clues and the name of Harris English crops up.
Course form? He’s finished third, fourth, and ninth at Waialae.
Quality golf at similar venues? He’s been a winner at El Camaleon and Southwind.
He’s also won in Hawaii (at Plantation) and has been third at Colonial (also tree-lined with doglegs like this week).
It’s also true that eight of the last 10 winners in the second week of the Tour’s fortnight in Hawaii had played in the first week.
English was ninth last week and just three shot off the lead heading into the final round.
He’s a quality performer who has looked ready to return to the winner’s circle over the last 12 months and this is a great opportunity for him.
BetMGM Sportsbook are offering +4000 for the win and +700 for a top five.
Russell Henley made it pretty clear on his Waialae debut that he liked the place.
How so? Well, he carded three rounds of 63 to win his first PGA Tour title and he has since made it five top 20 finishes there in 11 starts.
His form is even better with 13 of his last 17 starts reaping top 20s.
Moreover, since March last year, every examination similar to Waialae has seen him finish top 20: at Harbour Town, Colonial, Sedgefield, Southwind, and Sea Island.
This is the sort of golf he enjoys and he can be backed to land yet another top 20 with the FanDuel Sportsbook offering +120.
In recent years Matt Kuchar has been an absolute monster every time he tees it up at Waialae Country Club.
The turnaround has been remarkable: he had one top 60 in his first eight Sony Open starts and, in contrast, eight top-15 finishes in his last 10 appearances.
That helps explain why he leads Keegan Bradley 7-1 in Waialae head-to-head.
Moreover, although the pair are 5-5 in the head-to-head since the start of last year, whenever the conditions are Waialae-like Kuchar dominates.
He leads Kuchar 3-0 at Harbour Town, 2-1 at El Camaleon and that run can continue this week.
Take the -110 in the match-up at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Tournament: Sony Open
Location: Waialae CC, Honolulu, Hawaii
Date: Thursday, January 11 - Sunday, January 14
How to Watch: Thursday & Friday 7 - 10:30 p.m. ET (Golf Channel), Saturday & Sunday TBD (NFL determined) (Golf Channel). And all four days on Sky Sports.
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