Valspar Championship 2026 Predictions: Jump in for Jordan

After wins for Nico Echavarria (Cognizant Classic), Akshay Bhatia (Arnold Palmer Invitational) and Cameron Young (THE PLAYERS Championship), the Florida Swing finishes up at the Valspar Championship.

And although some of the top names are taking a breather, we still have seven of the world’s top 20 contesting the last leg of the PGA TOUR’s jaunt around the Sunshine State.

That includes last year’s 1-2 when Viktor Hovland shook off some poor form to edge out Justin Thomas by a shot.

This is the 25th edition of a tournament (2020 didn’t take place due to the pandemic) which started as an autumn event in 2000.

The Copperhead Course at Innisbrook Resort is, unusually, a par 71 that features five par 3s, the usual four par 5s and nine par 4s.

Due to its tree-lined nature and undulations it’s also atypical of a Florida course, perhaps reminding players more of tracks they would face in the Carolinas.

It measures over 7,300 yards and has overseeded Bermuda greens.

Hovland was the 12th overseas winner in the last 20 editions and given that the tournament has already seen four dual winners - KJ Choi, Retief Goosen, Paul Casey and Sam Burns - the Norwegian will be a popular pick to defend his title.

• This is the final leg of the four-tournament Florida Swing

• The Copperhead Course at Innisbrook hosts again

• Seven of the world’s top 20 are teeing it up in Tampa

Valspar Championship 2026 Odds

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Valspar Championship 2026 Predictions

• Jordan Spieth each-way at +2500 (1/5, 6 places) with BetMGM

• Corey Conners to beat Keegan Bradley over 72 holes at -138 with FanDuel

• Brooks Koepka for Top 10 at +340 with FanDuel

Last 5 Winners of the Valspar Championship

Course Notes

• The Copperhead Course, designed by Larry Packard, measures 7,352 yards

• It closes with the “Snake Pit” - two tough par 4s and a 200-yard par 3

• The weather forecast shows 15mph winds on Thursday before it calms later in the week

• The last five winners have ranked in the top 10 for Strokes Gained: Putting 

• Vijay Singh (2004) holds the 72-hole record of 266

• Padraig Harrington (2012) has the 18-hole course record of 61

Favorites to Win the Valspar Championship

Xander Schauffele (+800) at BetMGM

It’s been a rather slow start to the season for Schauffele, a man who won two majors in 2024 and ended 2025 with victory at October’s Baycurrent Classic. But, with Augusta on the horizon, things are starting to click. Seventh place in the Genesis Invitational was his first top 10 of 2026 and at last week’s PLAYERS Championship Schauffele opened 69-65 to sit second at halfway before bouncing back from a Saturday 74 to finish third. He ranked 1st for Strokes Gained: Approach. At this week’s venue he’s teed it up three times and posted 12-5-12 so the Californian looks the man to beat.

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Matt Fitzpatrick (+1400) at BetMGM

Fitzpatrick led THE PLAYERS Championship with two holes to play but his par-bogey finish allowed Cameron Young to pinch the title from under his nose after the New Yorker birdied 17 and tapped in for par at the last. Also ninth in Phoenix, the Englishman is 6-for-6 this season with four top 25s from his last five outings. He’s been feast or famine at Copperhead, finishing fifth in 2022 but missing his other two cuts (2018 and 2023).

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Viktor Hovland (+1400) at BetMGM

Hovland arrived at this tournament last year on the back of three missed cuts and seemingly rather lost. But having opened with an 80 at Sawgrass a week earlier, the Norwegian dug deep, got the scent of victory and came through to secure his seventh PGA Tour title. He’s not at his absolute best still but in the last five starts Hovland has a 10th in Phoenix and back-to-back 13ths at Bay Hill and Sawgrass.

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Side with Spieth

Jordan Spieth had managed just one top 40 in the last 10 editions of THE PLAYERS Championship and six times in that run he hadn’t even made the weekend.

So the fact that he shot two rounds in the 60s (days two and four) and posted 32nd was more of a positive than the bare result suggested.

When added to his 11th at Bay Hill and 12th at Riviera it provided further evidence that the three-time major champion is close to getting another ‘W’.

Spieth ranked 8th for SG: Approach at Sawgrass having been 16th in that category at Bay Hill while in his both starts before that (Pebble and Riviera) the Texan ranked in the top three for SG: Putting.

The planets are close to aligning and this could be the place where it happens.

Spieth posted a win, a seventh and two other top 20s in his first four Valspar starts and then added third in 2023.

Back him each-way at +2500 with BetMGM (1/5, 6 places).

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Conners to Beat Bradley

For a 72-hole match bet, I’ll back course horse Corey Conners to get the better of Keegan Bradley.

Conners looked set for a big week at THE PLAYERS after sitting fourth after both 36 and 54 holes but his final finish of 13th was still a decent effort and marked the latest step of a real return to form.

And this is a spot where it can continue. The Canadian was eighth last year and that built on previous finishes of 21-16.

Bradley was runner-up here in 2021 but that’s a real outlier as in seven other visits he’s missed five cuts and never managed a top 30.

The 2025 US Ryder Cup skipper is also struggling for form and followed missed cuts at Riviera and Bay Hill with 50th at THE PLAYERS.  

Back Conners to take down Bradley at -138 with FanDuel.

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Hovland For Top 10

After a slow start to life back on the PGA TOUR following his return from LIV, Brooks Koepka has really found his feet on the Florida Swing.

The five-time major winner was ninth at the Cognizant Classic and added 13th at Sawgrass last week.

With a 12th here on his last visit, Koepka is worth a play +340 for a Top 10 with FanDuel.

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How to Watch the Valspar Championship 2026

• Tournament: Valspar Championship

• Location: Innisbrook Resort (Copperhead Course), Palm Harbor, FL

• Date: Thursday March 19 - Sunday March 22

• How to Watch: Thursday-Friday 2 p.m.-6 p.m. ET (Golf Channel/NBC Sports App), Saturday-Sunday 1 p.m.-3 p.m (Golf Channel/NBC Sports App), 3 p.m.-6 p.m. (NBC/Peacock) And all four days on Sky Sports