The Valspar Championship Predictions, Picks & Odds
- The PGA Tour returns to the Innisbrook Resort after last year’s cancellation
- Englishman Paul Casey chases a hat trick of tournament wins
- Justin Thomas and Dustin Johnson head the betting
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The Valspar Championship Odds
|Justin Thomas||+1000 |
|Dustin Johnson||+1100 |
|Corey Conners||+1800 |
|Patrick Reed||+1800 |
|Viktor Hovland||+2000 |
|Paul Casey||+2200 |
|Tyrrell Hatton||+2500 |
|Abraham Ancer||+2800 |
|Scottie Scheffler||+2800 |
|Sungjae Im||+2800 |
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The Valspar Championship Picks and Predictions
Sungjae Im is the outright pick at +3000 with bet365
Kevin Na can make the top 20 at +200 with DraftKings Sportsbook
Back Charley Hoffman to beat Chris Kirk in their match bet at -110 with bet365
Sungjae Im each way in the outright +3000 with bet365
Kevin Na to make the top 20 +200 with DraftKings Sportsbook
Charley Hoffman over Chris Kirk -110 at bet365
How to Watch The Valspar Championship
|Valspar Championship Information|
|What||The Valspar Championship|
|Where||The Innisbrook Resort, Palm Harbor, Florida|
|When||Thursday, April 29 – Sunday, May 2|
|How to watch||Thursday & Friday 2pm & 7pm ET (Golf Channel), Saturday & Sunday 1pm & 7pm ET (Golf Channel). And all four days on Sky Sports.|
The Valspar Championship Profile
The successful defense of a trophy on the PGA Tour is a rare triumph and this week England’s Paul Casey has the opportunity to go one better: to complete a Valspar Championship three-peat no less.
Back in 2018, he thrashed a sensational 6-under-par 65 on the final day to set a target no one could match. Twelve months later he went head-to-head with the current World No. 1 Dustin Johnson in the final round and emerged victorious yet again.
Covid denied him the chance to win in three successive years, but Casey is unlikely to be entirely despondent because he approaches this year’s event in better form than he was in 12 months ago – in theory, therefore, in better shape to make it a remarkable hat trick of wins.
Should he be successful he will join the elite company because only nine players have ever won a PGA Tour event three years running.
Gene Littler, Billy Casper, Jack Nicklaus, Johnny Miller, Tom Watson, Stuart Appleby, and Steve Stricker all achieved it once, Arnold Palmer twice, and Tiger Woods? He did so a staggering six times.
Whenever we need reminding just how magnificent he was at his peak, a visit to the record books quickly reminds us!
Justin Thomas leads the betting ahead of Thursday’s first round, but he is seeking to improve on the best course finish of just T10th in his fourth start.
Dustin Johnson is close behind him and will be encouraged by his best-putting form of the year when recorded a career-best T13th at Harbour Town last time out – he will also want to atone for not winning two years ago. Both players are, to some extent, fighting tournament trends because the event has tended to be won by players who don’t hit the ball big distances from the tee, short and straight being a better method of attack.
Im Can Emulate Choi
International golfers have a superb record at the Innisbrook Resort and the first to stamp his authority over the course and the field was Korea’s KJ Choi in 2002. He then proved how much he liked the track by winning again four years later.
Can Sungjae Im complete a third tournament win for Korea this week?
He more than hinted it was a possibility when spending the last 54 holes in the top six on the leaderboard in 2019 before logging tied fourth. He ranked third for Strokes Gained Tee to Green that week, a vital statistic on the course which tests players both from the tee and also with approach shots.
It’s also important to have a warm putter and the good news is that Im’s SG Putting stats have been in great shape this season. If he can marry the two factors he can once again thrive in Florida, a state he has always enjoyed playing in.
In 10 starts there he’s landed eight top 30 finishes, four of them top fours including his first PGA Tour win in the 2019 Honda Classic. The clinching factor is that his price has drifted into the tasty territory after he has spent a long time being highly rated by the compilers.
Don’t miss the +3000 each way in the outright market with bet365.
Na Can Swoop For a Top 10
Three key features of Innisbrook are the elevation changes, undulating fairways and the sloping greens. Those aspects are reminiscent of Augusta National and TPC Deere Run – indeed three golfers have completed the double of winning this event and the Masters, whilst four have won the Deere Classic and this one.
Kevin Na has landed finishes of tied eighth and T13th in his last three visits to Deere Run and has also logged T12th and T13th at Augusta National in the last six months.
He’s also produced rather more obvious reasons to like him this week: he’s got finishes of second, tied tenth and T22nd in his last four starts at Innisbrook.
Take the +200 at DraftKings Sportsbook for him to land another top 20 this week.
The Hoff Can Take Down The Captain
This year has been a fine one for Chris Kirk, but despite it all he remains behind in the head-to-head count with fellow American Charley Hoffman.
In fact, the advantage to Hoffman is 5-3 and if you extend it back to the start of 2020 it remains steady at 10-8 whilst it’s 15-12 since the start of 2019.
At Innisbrook itself, the gap stretches to 3-1 and a closer look at their records adds further reason to favor Hoffman because while he has recorded seven top 40 finishes in 13 starts, Kirk has failed to land even one in five attempts.
Take the hint and back Hoffman at -110 with bet365.
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Matt Cooper has been a sports journalist since 2009 with his work appearing at ESPN, Sky Sports, NBC, Sporting Life and the Planet Sport Network among many others, in addition to guest appearances on the BBC and CNN. Although a specialist in golf, who has traveled the world to cover the sport, Matt has also covered rugby, cricket, football and the Olympics.
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