Queen's Plate (Woodbine Racetrack) Predictions, Betting Odds & Picks

Queens Plate 2020

If you're playing only to win, go with my top pick Clayton (2/1)

Post Position and Odds – Queen’s Plate

Check out our predictions and odds for the 2020 Queen’s Plate at Woodbine Racetrack!

PPHorseOddsJockeyTrainer
1SWEEPIN HARD50/1
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L SallesD Vella
2MERVEILLEUX10/1
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K KimuraK Attard
3BELICHICK30/1
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S CallaghanJ Carroll
4TRUE BELIEVE30/1
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K NichollsC Bennett
5HOLYFIELD30/1
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D HollandC Day Phillips
6HALO AGAIN5/1
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L ContrerasS Asmussen
7GLORIOUS TRIBUTE30/1
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D MoranB Minshall
8OLLIEMYBOY30/1
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S BahenS Attard
9DOTTED LINE8/1
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J SteinS Attard
10CURLIN’S VOYAGE5/2
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P HusbandsJ Carroll
11F F ROCKET50/1
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S CivaciA Stall Jr.
12CLAYTON2/1
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R HernandezK Attard
13MIGHTY HEART20/1
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D FukumotoJ Carroll
14TECUMSEH’S WAR12/1
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E J WilsonC Day Phillips

Best Bets for the Queen’s Plate

Here are my plays ($64 in total)

$2 Exacta Box – Clayton, Curlin’s Voyage and Olliemyboy = $12

$2 Exacta Box –  Clayton, Curlin’s Voyage, Olliemyboy, Merveilleux, and Belichick = $40

$4 Exacta part wheel –  Clayton over Curlin’s Voyage, Olliemyboy, Merveilleux= $12

Pick:

 Clayton (2/1)

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Plate Trial hero Clayton and Curlin’s Voyage, the Woodbine Oaks winner, will put their winning streaks on the line as they square off and face 12 others in Saturday’s Queen’s Plate at Woodbine on  Saturday.

The Queen’s Plate is the first leg of the Canadian Triple Crown, a tri-surface series for Canadian-bred three-year-olds, and is also North America’s oldest continually run race. To be run at 1 ¼ mile on Woodbine’s Tapeta surface, Saturday will mark its 161st edition.

The lightly raced Clayton enters the $1 million classics off a determined win last month in the Plate Trial. His popular rally at Woodbine on August 15 came at the direct expense of Halo Again and Dotted Line, who are listed as the third and fourth choices in the Queen’s Plate respectively. A son of Bodemeister, Clayton has three wins and one second from only four lifetime starts for trainer Kevin Attard.

Meanwhile, Curlin’s Voyage enters her biggest test yet off an impressive win over other fillies in the Woodbine Oaks on the same afternoon that Clayton took home the Plate Trial. A four-time stakes winner, the daughter of Curlin was the Champion 2-year-old filly in Canada last year. She will look to give her trainer, Josie Carroll, her third-lifetime victory in the prestigious Queen’s plate.

How to Watch the Queen’s Plate

Queen’s Plate Race Information
WhatQueen’s Plate (G1)
WhereWoodbine
WhenSaturday, September 12 — 5:41pm Eastern time
How to WatchTVG
Purse$1,000,000

Race Analysis

Clayton

This son of Bodemeister has been impressive from day 1 for trainer Kevin Attard. A romping winner of his only start as a juvenile, he returned to his winning ways with another big win in his second start this year, after a game runner-up finishes in his seasonal debut. A big favorite for the Plate Trial in his stakes debut, he was a little overeager early and green in the stretch, but he still managed to prove best down the lane. Off that experience, look for him to take another step forward as he proves to be the best Canadian-bred of his foal crop in the Queen’s Plate. He is the top pick

Curlin’s Voyage

While Clayton looks to be full of potential, we already know how good his female counterpart is. The champion filly of last year has come back in 2020 even better. After a rallying second in a sprint stakes to begin her year, the daughter of Curlin has proven best in a pair of stakes races at Woodbine against the girls. While this will be her first try against the boys since her career debut, nine consecutive solid races locally have well-proven her class, Only the 10-furlong distance of the Queen’s Plate is a question for the filly, who is the main challenger to the top choice.

Halo Again

Familiar to American race fans, he’s run in the States three times with some success. In Canada, and over the Woodbine Tapeta track, he’s done quite well, with only a second last time to Clayton getting in the way of a perfect record in three tries. In that Plate Trial defeat, he was very game, which could bode well for the longer Queen’s Plate. He is a very deserving third choice in here, but I am expecting further improvement from the horse who beat him last time. I will try to beat him in the exotics to add value to my wagers.

Dotted Line

The other horse who made Clayton work for his Plate Trial victory, he hung in there with Halo Again from gate to wire last time. He enjoyed more success as a juvenile, but his last effort was his best yet. He’s also kept strong company having finished third behind Preakness contender Shirl’s Speight two races back. Certainly another one in with a chance, but I do like a few others just a bit better.

Merveilleux

The second filly of the Queen’s Plate cannot be discounted. She ran three very good two-turn races at Woodbine last year, and her last, in which she was a fast-closing third in the Woodbine Oaks behind Curlin’s Voyage, points her out as a filly who could be ready to run her best on Saturday. While 1 ¼-miles will be a question for all, I like her experience in six consecutive races over a mile. She is one I will use in my tickets.

Tecumseh’s War

Breaking from the far outside post in the 14-horse field is not ideal, but this one is not without hope. The son of Summer Front broke his maiden on the grass at Indiana Grand in his career debut, but has been winless since. He has kept good company, though, and in his last, he overcame trouble to finish a good second.

Mighty Heart

Another in with a shot, he has looked good since coming to Woodbine for his last two. A strong win in the maiden company was followed by a good rally when racing against Tecumseh’s War last time. He did come up short late in that one, however. My opinion is that 10 furlongs will be tough for him, but I wouldn’t be surprised by a good effort either.

Glorious Tribute

One of the most experienced horses in the race, he has run against the big boys since returning from a winter in Tampa. His three local races have not been terrible, but he didn’t exactly threaten for the win either. He has some rally to him, but in this deep field, it would seem anything better than a minor share would be a surprise.

Olliemyboy

If you are looking for a horse who might just be getting good at the right time, look no further than this son of Union Rags. The late runner has gotten better each time, and in his last he swept on by to the win while going 9 furlongs. It will be a step up for him from the maiden company, but he has run against some decent horses already. Sired by a Belmont winner, and with another Belmont winner as his broodmare sire, the distance should not be a problem. He is my top longshot.

Holyfield

Still a maiden after five tries, he has twice been rallied past by Olliemyboy recently. Considering the stretch out to 10 furlongs on Saturday, I have a hard time believing the son of Uncle Mo will turn it around in this million-dollar affair.

Trubelieve

He was stakes-placed last year, but his only two wins came sprinting against cheaper. In his last race, Clayton beat him by 14 lengths. It would be a shock if he was in the thick of things late in the Queen’s Plate.

Belichick

It would be a big step up for a horse who has not yet won in two career starts to make some serious noise in Canada’s biggest race for 3-year-olds. Having said that, there is plenty to like. Trained by a two-time Queen’s Plate winner, the son of Lemon Drop Kid is bred to run all day. He also ran against good horses when third behind Shirl’s Speight in his debut and second to Olliemyboy last time. With a little improvement third start out, I could see him running a big race at big odds.

Sweepin Hard

Like Olliemyboy, he did come from well back to break his maiden last time going 9 furlongs at Woodbine. Unfortunately, I like the maiden win by that one quite a bit better than this one’s effort. Perhaps he can take another step forward, but still, it’s not enough to like his chances on Saturday.

F F Rocket

After three dismal races to begin his career on dirt, he did step up last time to win a maiden race on the synthetic main track at Presque Isle. Still the effort was not enough to think he could do much against these. He is not for me.

Bet on  Clayton (2/1)

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Brian Zipse

Expert on Horse Racing

Taken to the races at a very young age, Brian has been a passionate fan of horse racing his entire life. Professionally, his work has been published on several leading industry sites. Brian served as the Editor of Horse Racing Nation from 2010-2017, where he still writes a regular column and hosts the popular weekly webcast HorseCenter.

Email: brian.zipse@wsn.com