Barcelona vs Bayern Munich Prediction, Betting Odds & Picks

  • Two of Europe’s heavyweights lock horns on Friday with a place in the semi-finals up for grabs
  • Bayern Munich dismantled Chelsea in the last round and are among the favorites to win the tournament
  • Barcelona have steadily declined in recent years but still have plenty of talent in their ranks

Barcelona vs Bayern Munich Odds

Match Winner
Barcelona +225
Tie +270
Bayern Munich +105


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Barcelona vs Bayern Munich Predictions and Picks

A forward line of Antoine Griezmann, Luis Suarez and Lionel Messi has not functioned as well in tandem as Barcelona fans hoped at the start of this season, but the presence in the side of the star-studded trio means Quique Setien’s side can beat any team on the planet in 90 minutes.

Having said that, Bayern possession much better balance and cohesion than their upcoming opponents, and Hansi Flick have the tactical intelligence to devise a game plan that will allow his team to exploit Barcelona’s weaknesses. Back Bayern to come out on top in this one.

Back Bayern Munich to defeat Barcelona in this heavyweight clash – unless Messi can produce one of his best-ever performances, the Bundesliga champions should prove too strong for a relatively mediocre Barca team.


Bayern Munich to win +105

How to Watch Barcelona vs Bayern Munich

Barcelona vs Bayern Munich Event Information
What Barcelona vs Bayern Munich
Where Estadio da Luz, Lisbon, Portugal
When Friday, 14 August, 3 PM ET
How to Watch CBS All Access

Bayern Munich the Most Well-Rounded Team Remaining in the Competition

The 2019/20 campaign has lasted longer than any other in living memory, but it is still hard to get your head around the fact that the Bayern team which is now one of the favorites to win the Champions League has mired in crisis earlier this term. The Bavarians slipped as low as seventh in the Bundesliga standings last winter, and under former manager Niko Kovac it looked as if the club’s monopolization of the league title was about to come to an end.

The Bayern board acted decisively in dispensing of Kovac and hiring Flick in his stead, and their boldness has been rewarded with a remarkable upturn in fortunes in 2020. Bayern climbed from seventh in the Bundesliga to the summit, finishing the season 13 points clear of second-placed Borussia Dortmund after scoring 100 goals and conceding 32 – the best attacking and defensive numbers in the division.

Bayern has also impressed in continental competition, with Saturday’s 4-1 victory over Chelsea at the Allianz Arena giving them a 7-1 triumph on aggregate in the round of 16. Bayern is strong in defense as well as attack, which perhaps gives them an edge over Manchester City – the other team who has been widely tipped to lift the trophy this term. Atletico Madrid, another contender, are incredibly solid but relatively blunt in forward areas. Bayern are the most well-rounded team remaining and, as such, this tournament is theirs to lose.

Messi Will Need to Carry This Barcelona Side to Champions League Glory

A nervy 1-1 draw in the first leg of their last-16 meeting with Napoli left the tie in the balance, but Barcelona came through the return fixture unscathed. Their 3-1 win on Saturday was not one that will have left the rest of Europe shaking in their boots, but Barca can at least be pleased with the manner in which they controlled the vast majority of the match after a slow start in the first 10 minutes.

Messi may have scored just one of their three goals at the Camp Nou, but it was clear – as it has been all season – that Barcelona will need their captain to be close to his best as possible if they are to avoid ending the campaign empty-handed. A front three of Griezmann, Suarez, and Messi looks better on paper than it has on the pitch to date, with the Frenchman having been particularly out of sorts in 2019/20.

Of course, the chances of a team with such individual quality in attack can never be dismissed out of hand, and it is fair to say that this Bayern side has not yet come up against a forward line this strong in 2019/20. But the La Liga season showed that Barcelona can be vulnerable at the back and their midfield has regressed since the glory days of Sergio Busquets (who is no longer as good as he once was), Xavi Hernandez and Andres Iniesta.

Bayern’s Better Balance Likely to Shift This Quarter-Final Tie in Their Favor

Comparing the two teams’ results in recent months shows why Bayern are justifiably favorites to make it through to the last four. Flick’s charges have now won 22 of their 23 matches in all competitions in 2020, with the only ‘blot’ on their copybook a creditable draw with RB Leipzig.

By contrast, Barcelona emerged triumphant in just 16 of their 26 encounters across the board this calendar year, with Osasuna, Celta Vigo and Athletic Club among the teams to deny them victory.

Robert Lewandowski has enjoyed an incredible season for Bayern, but Messi is the best individual footballer among those who will take the field on Friday. It is even possible to argue that Barcelona’s front three is more gifted than Bayern’s forward line, which as well as Lewandowski contains Serge Gnabry and Ivan Perisic, with Thomas Muller providing support in behind.

However, Bayern’s collective is much stronger than Barcelona’s, which is a result of Flick’s coaching, well-thought-out recruitment, and the team’s overall style. That is what gives them the edge.

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Greg Lea

Expert on Soccer

Greg Lea is a freelance soccer journalist from London. He is the former editor of The Set Pieces, and has contributed to the Guardian, FourFourTwo, and ESPN. A Crystal Palace fan, he is a long-time subscriber to the belief that it's the taking part that counts. Email: [email protected]