England vs Germany Euro 2020 Prediction, Odds, Betting Tips

  • Germany knocked out England at Euro 1996 and want to repeat the feat
  • Gareth Southgate’s side looked solid on home soil in the group phase
  • England look primed to take advantage of Germany’s identity struggles

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England vs Germany Odds

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To Win the Match Odds
England +150
Tie +225
Germany +200

England vs Germany Pick

Our Pick

Back England to beat Germany on Tuesday. The Three Lions do not have a particularly good record against die Mannschaft in international competition, but they are in better shape this summer and should avenge that defeat at Euro 1996.

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How to Watch England vs Germany

England vs Germany Information
Teams England vs Germany
Location Wembley Stadium, London, England
Time Tuesday, 29 June 2021, 12.00 PM EDT
How to watch ESPN

England Not What Everyone What Expected but Still a Contender

Before the tournament began, observers of the England national team drooled over the attack and fretted over the defense. The biggest conundrum facing Gareth Southgate, it seemed, was how to fit all his forward players into the same team. With so many options at the manager’s disposal, several of Phil Foden, Mason Mount, Jack Grealish, Raheem Sterling, Jadon Sancho, Bukayo Saka, and Marcus Rashford were destined to miss out. The less said about the central defensive options, the better.

Yet in the group phase, it was England’s backline that shone. Ably protected by Declan Rice and Kalvin Phillips in midfield, the defense was breached by none of Croatia, Scotland, and the Czech Republic. England was one of only two teams at Euro 2020 not to concede a goal in the first stage (Italy were the other).

On the flip side, only Turkey, Finland and Scotland scored fewer goals than England in the first three matches – and all three of those sides will be watching the rest of the competition unfold from their sofas.

Southgate has faced criticism for some of his team selections, and his team were hugely disappointing in a 0-0 draw with Scotland. England were guilty of moving the ball far too slowly on that occasion, and they struggled to break down a deep and well-organized defense. The challenge posed by Germany will be a different one, and England will probably look sharper and more incisive against a side that will not just sit deep and seek to contain.

England’s solidity stands them in good stead for the rest of the competition. An inability to keep clean sheets is a recipe for disaster in knockout soccer, and England should be pleased that they have found a way to turn a supposed shortcoming into an asset. It is true that they will need to be more fluent in attack against a higher class of opposition like Germany, but England have played with maturity so far and look to be in reasonable shape going into the last 16.

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Inconsistent Germany Might Relish Unfamiliar Role of Underdogs

Germany’s group stage was something of a mixed bag. Joachim Low’s side kicked things off with a 1-0 defeat by France, a game that could easily have finished 1-1 or 3-0. Les Bleus had two goals disallowed over tight offside decisions, but Germany did cause a few problems of their own and, on another day, could have collected a point.

Next up was an impressive 4-2 victory over Portugal that seemed to vindicate Low’s switch to a 3-4-2-1 formation, a system that is not universally popular among German players, fans and pundits. Germany’s tactics worked a treat against the Portuguese, as wing-back duo Joshua Kimmich and Robin Gosens continually found space down the flanks. Switches of play, crosses into the box and well-timed runs were the order of the day, and Germany should perhaps have left the Allianz Arena with an even wider margin of victory.

Then came the 2-2 draw with Hungary that has significantly lowered the mood around die Mannschaft ahead of the round of 16. Germany twice fell behind in their final group game, and showed little in the way of a coherent attacking plan to get back into the match. It seemed as if their individual players were performing off the cuff, and while that was enough to avoid defeat by Hungary, it will surely not be sufficient for Germany to overcome England at Wembley.

England Well Placed to Exploit Major German Vulnerabilities

This is a historic fixture, with Tuesday’s meeting set to be the 33rd between two of the world’s biggest soccer nations. England had the edge early on and famously beat West Germany in the 1966 World Cup, but Germany have a much better record in recent years: they knocked the Three Lions out of the 1990 World Cup, Euro 1996, and the 2012 World Cup, although England did beat the Mannschaft in the group stage of Euro 2000.

This fixture is about the present rather than the past, however, and England look to be a stronger team right now. Toni Kroos and Ilkay Gundogan are fine technicians and should help Germany have a fair amount of possession, but there is more speed, energy and dynamism to this England team. Southgate will encourage his players to play at a higher tempo than they managed in the group stage, and Raheem Sterling will have watched how Kylian Mbappe continually posed a threat to the German backline with his sprints in behind.

In a strange way, Low’s side might relish being underdogs, and a team filled with big personalities is capable of digging deep and causing a minor upset. Yet for those who can put history to one side, the smart money is on England to beat Germany on Tuesday.

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Greg Lea

Expert on Soccer

Greg Lea is a freelance soccer journalist from London. He is the former editor of The Set Pieces, and has contributed to the Guardian, FourFourTwo, and ESPN. A Crystal Palace fan, he is a long-time subscriber to the belief that it's the taking part that counts. Email: [email protected]