Ukraine vs England Euro 2020 Prediction, Odds, Betting Tips

  • Germany knocked out England at Euro 1996 and want to repeat the feat
  • Gareth Southgate’s side looked solid on home soil in the group phase
  • England look primed to take advantage of Germany’s identity struggles

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Ukraine vs England Odds

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England – To Win to Nil Odds
Yes +100
No -139

Ukraine vs England Pick

Our Pick

Gareth Southgate’s side are yet to concede a goal at Euro 2020, and their well-deserved – if unforeseen – defensive solidity should help them see off the challenge of Andriy Shevchenko’s team.

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How to Watch Ukraine vs England

Ukraine vs England Information
Teams Ukraine vs England
Location Stadio Olimpico, Rome, Italy
Time Saturday, 3 July, 15.00 PM EDT
How to watch ESPN

England Go All-in on Defense as They Eye Rare Trophy

Before Euro 2020 began, followers of the England national team fretted about the team’s defense. That was widely seen as the weakest section of the side, with supporters envisaging a leaky backline letting down a free-flowing attack. Gareth Southgate seems to have shared that concern, which is why he has adopted a relatively cautious approach in this competition. England have played with two holding midfielders and conservative full-backs – and so far it has reaped rewards.

England’s latest victory was by far their most significant of the tournament to date, and not just because it was a knockout tie. Germany have knocked the Three Lions out of several major competitions in the past – the 1970, 1990 and 2010 World Cups, as well as the European Championship of 1996. England fear Germany more than any other nation, but on Wednesday at Wembley they registered their first victory over die Mannschaft in a knockout match since the 1966 World Cup final.

England’s approach was much the same as it was in the group phase. They defended stoutly and were tenacious without possession, particularly in midfield. Germany had a numerical advantage in the center of the pitch but were unable to capitalize on it, save for a dominant spell in the first 15 minutes.

Raheem Sterling and Harry Kane got the goals in the second half, but it was their now customary defensive resilience that secured England’s passage to the quarter-finals of this competition for only the second time since 2004. They will probably have to play on the front foot against Ukraine, but that is unlikely to come at the expense of their solidity at the back.

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Ukraine Squeeze Past Sweden but Are the Weakest Team Left

Ukraine were rather fortunate to advance to the round of 16. They finished third in their group after losing two and winning one of their three matches and became the first team ever to progress with three points and a negative goal difference. Underdogs against Sweden in the first knockout round, Ukraine scored a last-minute winner in extra time to qualify for the quarter-finals of the European Championship for the first time in the post-Soviet Union era.

The red card shown to Sweden defender Marcus Danielson in the 99th minute proved to be the turning point. The game looked to be ambling towards penalties at that point, but Ukraine eventually took advantage of the extra man as Artem Dovbyk nodded home from an Oleksandr Zinchenko cross with just seconds left on the clock.

It was a dramatic finish, but the additional 30 minutes of action must have taken something out of Ukraine – both physically and mentally. They already looked to be tiring in the second half of regulation time, when Sweden had the better chances to find a winner.

Shevchenko switched to a 3-5-2 formation against the Swedes but it is unclear which shape he will use on Saturday – although the same can be said of England. Ukraine will probably sit behind the ball and look to spring forward on the counter-attack, with Andriy Yarmolenko perhaps their key player in that regard. Ukraine have some decent technicians within their ranks – Yarmolenko, Roman Yaremchuk, Zinchenko and Ruslan Malinovskyi – but this could be a game too far for a squad that has been weakened by several injuries.

England Should Make It Five Clean Sheets From Five

England will have to adopt a more front-foot approach than the one utilized in the victory over Germany. That will influence Southgate’s selection, with one of Jack Grealish or Phil Foden expected to start in place of Bukayo Saka. We are also likely to see a return to the 4-3-3 formation used during the group phase, with Mason Mount the favorite to start in advance of midfield duo Kalvin Phillips and Declan Rice.

Southgate is not about to go gung-ho in attack, however. He has deliberately set up his side in a conservative manner for this summer’s tournament, and while some fans have expressed frustration at the game plan, it has worked up to now. England will certainly need to show attacking ambition against Ukraine, who have still won just one game in the tournament – against the minnows of North Macedonia – inside 90 minutes, but this will be another measured, controlled display from the Three Lions.

Another clean sheet looks likely too, particularly now that Harry Maguire has been restored to the backline. The Manchester United central defender was the standout performer against Germany in midweek, and he brings additional solidity to a defence that has not yet been breached at Euro 2020.

Ukraine will hope to hit England on the counter-attack, but they are unlikely to keep out an attack comprising of Kane, Sterling and probably Grealish. Back Southgate’s side to win to nil for the fourth time at this tournament.

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Greg Lea

Expert on Soccer

Greg Lea is a freelance soccer journalist from London. He is the former editor of The Set Pieces, and has contributed to the Guardian, FourFourTwo, and ESPN. A Crystal Palace fan, he is a long-time subscriber to the belief that it's the taking part that counts. Email: [email protected]