When you sign-up through links on our site, we may earn an affiliate commission. Learn more >

Villarreal vs Liverpool Champions League Prediction, Odds, Picks

Written by: Greg Lea
Updated October 14, 2022
13 min read
  • Liverpool lead 2-0 at the midway point of this Champions League semi-final tie
  • Villarreal will need an early goal if they are to advance to the final for the first time
  • Liverpool are in pole position to book a place in the showpiece game in Paris

Villarreal vs Liverpool Odds

Villarreal Vs Liverpool Champions League

Play Fantasy Sports Here!

🔥 Claimed by 101 people this week!



Bet $5, Get $200 in Bonus Bets Instantly

21+ | T&Cs apply

Liverpool Dominate First Leg and Are Close To Reaching Final

Liverpool did not have everything their own way in the first half of this Champions League semi-final first leg. Villarreal, as expected, set up with a deep backline and left little space in between the lines. Liverpool were not able to break them down easily, and Unai Emery must have been delighted to go in at the break with the score still level. They did not offer much in attack, but Villarreal achieved their first objective of keeping a clean sheet in the first half.

Ninety minutes is a long time to hold out against this relentless Liverpool team, though. The opening goal was fortuitous, as Jordan Henderson’s cross was deflected past the Villarreal goalkeeper Geronimo Rulli.

Yet the likelihood is that Liverpool would have made the breakthrough at some point. Once they had, Villarreal were in trouble. The Reds duly dominated the remainder of the match, adding a second goal through Sadio Mane and fashioning several opportunities to score a third.

It is hard to know what the best approach is when facing a team of Liverpool’s quality. There was some criticism of Villarreal’s defensive tactics after the match, but it is hard to avoid the feeling that the tie would already be over if the Yellow Submarine had turned the first leg into an end-to-end basketball match. It is true that the Spanish side rarely threatened at Anfield, but conceding only two goals was far from a disastrous outcome.

Villarreal Will Have To Adopt a More Attacking Approach Here

Having said that, Villarreal will need to adopt a more front-foot approach in the return fixture on Tuesday. A 0-0 draw would have been an excellent result away from home, but that outcome this week would see Emery’s side eliminated. Playing in front of their own supporters will also compel Villarreal to commit more bodies to the attack. The fans at the Estadio de la Ceramica will be roaring on their side from the first whistle as they attempt to pull off what would be a remarkable comeback.

Villarreal’s chances should not be dismissed out of hand, even though it is difficult to see them going through to the final from here. They did knock out Juventus and Bayern Munich in previous rounds, though, while Emery has won 21 two-legged European ties on the bounce excluding his ill-fated spell at Paris Saint-Germain.

However, it is hard to argue against the contention that Villarreal are the weakest side remaining in the competition. Real Madrid have already won the La Liga title, while Manchester City and Liverpool are engaged in a two-way tussle to be crowned champions of England in a hotly contested Premier League title race.

Villarreal, by contrast, are seventh in La Liga. The only way they can qualify for the Champions League is by winning this season’s edition of it – their hopes of a top-four finish were extinguished weeks ago. They might not be successful, but Villarreal will throw everything at this semi-final second leg.

Liverpool Might Concede This Time but Another Win Beckons

The problem for Villarreal is that this Liverpool team is at its best when given space to break into. Mohamed Salah, Luis Diaz and Sadio Mane – the three players likely to be given the nod to start up top on Tuesday – possess speed in abundance. With Villarreal forced to push up the pitch and defend with a higher line, they could be undone by Liverpool’s quick breaks forward.

On their day, the Yellow Submarine are a dangerous attacking side themselves. Arnaut Danjuma, the former Bournemouth forward who lined up against Liverpool during his time in the Premier League, is enjoying a fantastic season. Gerard Moreno is another player with a good goalscoring record in 2021/22. Villarreal have found the back of the net in all but one of their home games in La Liga since the opening weekend of the campaign.

Yet although the hosts have a decent chance of scoring on Tuesday, they will probably succumb to another defeat by arguably the most in-form team on the planet right now. Jurgen Klopp’s side have lost only one of their 25 matches since the middle of January, and that was a second-leg defeat by Inter which proved immaterial given Liverpool’s triumph in the first match.

The Reds are targeting a third Champions League final in the last five years. Back them to reach the Paris showpiece by winning a game which features goals for both sides.

Play Fantasy Sports Here!

Logo #1



Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets

21+ | Terms and conditions apply

Logo #2



$500 Bonus Bet

21+ | VA only | Gambling problem? Call 1-800-532-3500

How to Watch Villarreal vs Liverpool

Villarreal vs Liverpool Information
Teams Villarreal vs Liverpool
Location Estadio de la Ceramica, Villarreal, Spain
Time Tuesday, 3 May 2022, 3.00 PM EDT
How to watch CBS
Image for Greg Lea


Greg Lea

786 Articles

Greg Lea is a freelance soccer journalist from London. He is the former editor of The Set Pieces, and has contributed to the Guardian, FourFourTwo, and ESPN. A Crystal Palace fan, he is a long-time subscriber to the belief that it's the taking part that counts. Email: [email protected]

More info on Greg Lea
We've been featured on:
espn logo
reuters logo
cbs-news logo
forbes logo
entrepreneur logo
entrepreneur logo
We only list licensed sportsbooks

© Rebel Penguin ApS 2024 (a subsidiary of Gaming Innovation Group Inc.)

We support responsible gambling. 21+ Only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-Gambler.

WSN.com is run by iGaming Cloud Inc (a Gaming Innovation Group Subsidiary) and is registered with the New Jersey Division of Gaming Enforcement (DGE) under affiliate vendor ID 89744, with the Indiana Gaming Commission (IGC) under certificate of registration number SWR-000148, approved by the Pennsylvania Gaming Control Board as a gaming service provider, under certificate registration number 117656-1, possesses a Vendor Minor sports betting license from the Colorado Limited Gaming Control Commission (account number 94414163), granted a vendor registration number VR007603-20-001 by the Michigan Gaming Control Board, an interim Sports Wagering Supplier license, under license number SWS 066, issued by the West Virginia Lottery Commission, a sports betting vendor registration, under registration number #100400, issued by the Director of Gaming Licensing and Investigations of the Virginia Lottery to operate in the State of Virginia, and a Vendor Registration issued by the Sports Wagering Committee of the Tennessee Education Lottery Corporation.

Advertising disclosure: WSN contains links to online retailers on its website. When people click on our affiliate links and make purchases, WSN earns a commission from our partners, including ESPN and various sportsbooks.