Andy’s Frozen Custard 300 Predictions: A New Player Enters the Fray

• Justin Allgaier has the best shot at an upset at Texas Motor Speedway.

• You can’t ignore Austin Hill’s chances this week, especially at long odds.

• Latecomer Kyle Larson is determined to crash the Lone Star State party.

Andy’s Frozen Custard 300 Betting Odds

Odds taken from bet365 Sportsbook. Use our promo code WSN365 and claim $150 in bonus bets with a $5 wager, regardless of the bet outcome.

My Picks for the Andy’s Frozen Custard 300

• Kyle Larson to win the race at -150 via bet365

• Ryan Sieg to finish in the top three at +650 via bet365

• Carson Kvapil to finish in the top three at +500 via bet365

Andy’s Frozen Custard 300 Predictions

If Anyone Can Pull Off an Upset, Justin Allgaier Is Most Likely Candidate

Justin Allgaier’s confidence level had to go down on Wednesday, when he picked up a new teammate for Saturday’s Andy’s Frozen Custard 300 at Texas Motor Speedway.

The teammate? Full-time NASCAR Cup Series driver Kyle Larson, who loves to make mincemeat of the Xfinity competition. But more about that later.

Allgaier has never won at Texas, but earlier this season, he picked up maiden wins at two other 1.5-mile tracks, Las Vegas and Homestead-Miami.

Allgaier finished third behind Sam Mayer and Ryan Sieg in last year’s Texas race, and he’s your best bet to win if you can’t stomach a wager on Larson at less than even odds.

Allgaier is priced as second choice at +350 via bet365 Sportsbook.

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On Saturday, Austin Hill Will Try to Prove Us Wrong—for the Third Time

We didn’t think Austin Hill would win at Martinsville, NASCAR’s most venerable short track, earlier this season. We were wrong.

We didn’t think Hill would win last Saturday at Talladega, where he had never scored a top-10 finish. Wrong again.

The bottom line is that Hill is expanding his repertoire as he prepares for an eventual move into the NASCAR Cup Series, and he can’t be counted out at any track.

That applies especially to superspeedways and 1.5-mile intermediate tracks such as Texas Motor Speedway, where the Xfinity Series is racing this weekend.

With Kyle Larson in the field, no fewer than six good drivers are offered at +1300 via bet365. Hill is the best of those, and if you’re inclined to back a long shot who really isn’t a long shot, he’s your guy.

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Latecomer Kyle Larson Wants to Apply Another Whipping This Week

The overwhelming favorite in Saturday’s Xfinity event wasn’t even supposed to be in the field.

When Connor Zilisch was forced to withdraw from the race because of a nagging back injury he sustained during a crash at Talladega, Larson was named as his sub in the No. 88 JR Motorsports Chevrolet.

Larson has made it known that he loves to thrash full-time Xfinity competitors, and he did just that in then No. 17 Hendrick Motorsports Chevrolet at Bristol in April, leading 276 of 300 laps, lapping two-thirds of the field and winning by more than two seconds.

Larson expects to win on Saturday, and we think he will. It’s just a question of whether you want to back him at -150 via bet365.

For alternatives, we like both Carson Kvapil and Ryan Sieg to finish in the top three at +500 and +650, respectively. We scored big last week with bets of top three (+1400) and top five (+650) on Jeb Burton, who lost at Talladega to Austin Hill by inches.

Similarly, Sieg lost to race winner Sam Mayer last year by 0.002 seconds, the second closest finish in series history.

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How to Watch the Andy’s Frozen Custard 300

• Race: Andy’s Frozen Custard 300 NASCAR Xfinity Series race

• Location: Texas Motor Speedway

• Time: Saturday, May 3, 2 p.m. ET

• How to Watch: The CW