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Crayon 200: Berry’s Obvious Short-Track Skills Will Come Into Play on Saturday

Written by: Reid Spencer
Updated October 14, 2022
12 min read
  • Short-track ace Josh Berry gets the nod as our favorite in the Granite State
  • NASCAR Cup Series interloper William Byron gets a shot in the JRM car
  • Without Christopher Bell in the field, Justin Allgaier’s prospects are improved

Crayon 200 Betting Odds

Odds taken from BetMGM sportsbook. Have a look at our full review of BetMGM for such details as payment options, bonuses, mobile betting and more.

Driver Odds
William Byron +275
Ty Gibbs +400
Justin Allgaier +550
Josh Berry +600
Noah Gragson +650
Trevor Bayne +900
AJ Allmendinger +1000
Sam Mayer +1400
Brandon Jones +1800
Daniel Hemric +2200
Austin Hill +3300

Crayon 200 Picks

Josh Berry to win the race at +600

Noah Gragson to beat Ty Gibbs heads-up at +100

Trevor Bayne to finish in the top three at +220

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Crayon 200 2022 07 16 Josh Berry

Crayon 200 Predictions

Josh Berry’s Short-Track Skills Should Come in Handy at Flat New Hampshire

Color me perplexed.

New Hampshire Motor Speedway, site of Saturday’s Crayon 200, is a one-mile track, but it drives like a short bullring because the corners are so flat.

In addition, the use of traction compound on the racing surface—and its location on the asphalt—will have a lot to do with drivers’ ability to find grip on the Magic Mile.

As uncertain as the outcome is, we think Josh Berry’s obvious short-track skills will come into play on Saturday, and we favor the driver of the No. 8 JR Motorsports Chevrolet to win the race at the very reasonable price of +600, via BetMGM.

Berry has two victories to his credit this season, and he’s coming off consecutive third- and second-place finishes at Road America and Atlanta, respectively.

He also had a third-place run at Phoenix in March, and that’s the track that most closely resembles New Hampshire in terms of its driving characteristics.

William Byron Is Slumming in the Xfinity Series in Hopes of Righting His Ship

William Byron has experienced the sort of turnaround no driver wants. After picking up two victories in the NASCAR Cup Series this season, Byron has fallen on hard times—with the lone exception of his non-NASCAR late model win in the Slinger SuperNationals.

Since his second victory of the year at Martinsville, Byron has posted just one top 10 and no top fives in NASCAR’s premier division and has fallen from third to 10th in the standings.

Consequently, it’s a good time for Byron to moonlight in the Xfinity Series to try to regain some of his lost performance.

Unfortunately, we don’t think New Hampshire is the venue for him to do that. Though he finished second in his only Xfinity start so far this season (Texas), he had a mediocre run in the Cup at Phoenix, another one-mile flat track.

Hence, we’re not buying Byron as the favorite at Loudon, particularly at the stingy price of +275.

With Christopher Bell Absent, Chances Are Much Better for Justin Allgaier

The driver who dominated the last three NASCAR Xfinity Series races at New Hampshire Motor Speedway isn’t racing in Saturday’s Crayon 200.

Christopher Bell is competing only in Sunday’s Cup race, and that’s great news for Justin Allgaier, who finished second to Bell on the Magic Mile last year.

With his dirt-racing background, Allgaier is adept at sliding his No. 7 JRM Chevy through flat corners, a useful trait at New Hampshire.

That’s why he’s our second choice at +550. Last week we gave you Austin Hill as our favorite long-shot pick—and he came through with a victory.

Just because we’re enamored with the JR Motorsports drivers this week, however, doesn’t mean we can’t look elsewhere for a good bet.

Trevor Bayne will be making his sixth start in the No. 18 Joe Gibbs Racing Toyota this season. In his previous five races, he posted three top fives—a second, third and fourth. We like him to finish in the top three in the Crayon 200 at +220.

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How to Watch the Crayon 200

Event Information
Race Crayon 200 NASCAR Xfinity Series race
Location New Hampshire Motor Speedway (Loudon, N.H.)
Time Saturday, July 16, 2:30 p.m. ET
How to Watch USA
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Reid Spencer

218 Articles

Award-winning motorsports writer Reid Spencer has served as lead writer for the NASCAR Wire Service for 16 years, having also spent a four-year stint as NASCAR columnist and beat writer for Sporting News. He is currently serving as president of the National Motorsports Press Association. Email: [email protected]

More info on Reid Spencer
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