UNOH 200 Predictions, Odds & Picks (Camping World Truck Series)

UNOH 200 Predictions

  • As the first round of the Playoff winds down, who will grab a ticket to the next round?
  • Defending champion Sheldon Creed looks to sweep the first round of the Playoff.
  • John Hunter Nemechek comes to Bristol hoping to break out of his “slump.”

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The Round of 10 in the NASCAR Camping World Truck Series Playoff concludes with Thursday night’s UNOH 200 presented by Ohio Logistics, after which two drivers will be eliminated from the chase for the championship.

Reigning series champion Sheldon Creed knows he’ll advance to the Round of 8, thanks to victories in the previous two races (and you’ll note that we nailed our pick of Creed in the most recent race at Darlington).

Regular-season winner John Hunter Nemechek also has clinched a berth in the next round on points. That leaves six spots still available.

Thursday’s race will be contested over 200 laps (106.6 miles) at the .533-mile concrete track, with stage breaks scheduled after 55 and 110 laps. Sam Mayer is the defending winner of this event.

Eight Drivers Are Vying for Six Remaining Spots in Playoff’s Round of 8

With reigning series champion Sheldon Creed and regular-season winner John Hunter Nemechek already locked into the Round of 8 in the NASCAR Camping World Truck Series Playoff, there are six berths left.

Any of the other eight postseason drivers can clinch a spot in the next round by winning Thursday night’s UNOH 200, but is that likely to happen?

Believe it or not, our leading candidate for an upset win is rookie Chandler Smith, who’s currently last (10th) on the Playoff grid, 12 points below the cutline.

Smith, listed at +1200 via DraftKings Sportsbook, has the best average finish at Bristol among the Playoff drivers, though the sample size is admittedly small. Smith was runner-up at Thunder Valley in his 2019 debut at the track. Last year he finished fifth—for an average result of 3.5.

Smith is driving outstanding Kyle Busch Motorsports equipment, and though he has yet to win in the Truck Series, there’s always a first time. Accordingly, the driver of the No. 18 KBM Toyota is our top long-shot pick.

Is it a First-Round Sweep in the Cards for Defending Champ Sheldon Creed?

Defending series champion Sheldon Creed has been dominant in the first two Playoff races. He led 142 of 163 laps in his win at the World Wide Technology Raceway and 104 of 147 circuits in his Labor Day weekend victory at Darlington.

As strong as Creed has been, however, we think his winning streak will end at Bristol, where he has run sixth (2019) and 11th (2020) in his two starts at the track.

Creed has never led a lap at Bristol, though he has completed all 400 circuits in his two races there. It’s a good bet the driver of the No. 2 Chevrolet will lead his first lap on Thursday night since he starts on the pole via metric qualifying.

We just don’t think he’ll be out front at the end of the race. At +450 via DraftKings, he’s not a good bet to win.

John Hunter Nemechek Looks to End Recent “Slump” at Thunder Valley

Already qualified on points for the Round of 8 in the Playoff, John Hunter Nemechek has free rein to go for the win in Thursday night’s race.

A five-time winner and regular-season champion this year, Nemechek has gone four races without a victory, his longest such “drought” of the season.

In six starts at Bristol—all with his family-owned team—Nemechek has finished third three times and has run sixth and eighth in two other starts.

This year, he’s in top-of-the-line Kyle Busch Motorsports equipment, and we expect him to find Victory Lane at Bristol for the first time and end his “slump.” As a +350 favorite, Nemechek is paying decent money to win, and that’s where we recommend placing your bet.

How to Watch UNOH 200

UNOH 200 Information
Race UNOH 200 NASCAR Camping World Truck Series race
Location Bristol Motor Speedway
Time Thursday, September 16, 9 p.m. ET
How to Watch FS1

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Reid Spencer

Expert on NASCAR

Award-winning motorsports writer Reid Spencer has served as lead writer for the NASCAR Wire Service for 16 years, having also spent a four-year stint as NASCAR columnist and beat writer for Sporting News. He is currently serving as president of the National Motorsports Press Association. Email: [email protected]