NBA Player Props and Best Bets: Nikola Jokic, Jalen Green & More Picks for Sunday, March 22

The NBA has been on fire heading into the spring months, and I’ve picked my favorite player prop bets for the Sunday slate of games.

Bam Adebayo went for a monstrous 32 points and 21 rebounds against the Houston Rockets last night, but it was Amen Thompson who tipped in the game-winning shot. Darius Garland also played the best game of his Los Angeles Clippers career, putting up 41 points and 11 assists in an overtime victory against the Dallas Mavericks.

There are five games on Friday, headlined by the Boston Celtics hosting the Minnesota Timberwolves in a cross-conference showdown.

Here are my top NBA player prop picks and bets for Sunday, March 22.

Best NBA Prop Bets for Sunday, March 22

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Nikola Jokic under 10.5 assists (-125) at FanDuel Sportsbook

The Denver Nuggets’ main man leads the NBA with 10.5 assists per night, and he went over in five straight games before logging unders in consecutive games. However, he went under in both matchups with the Portland Trail Blazers, and I am expecting that trend to continue today.

The Blazers have gotten much better on defense, and they ranked 13th in assists allowed per game over their last few weeks of action. Donovan Clingan is a great deterrent at the rim, and while Jokic might not mind, he should do a good job of keeping the rest of the Nuggets’ shots away from the interior.

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Maxime Raynaud over 17.5 points (-125) at FanDuel Sportsbook

It’s important to know when to ride the hot hand, just like I did yesterday, taking Luka Doncic over his points total. I'm now turning to the second-round rookie, Raynaud, who scored 30 and 32 points in his last two games and went over in five of his last seven outings, while averaging 18.9 points per game in March.

Amid the Sacramento Kings’ season-long collapse, Raynaud has emerged as a real bright spot and possible building block. The Brooklyn Nets ranked 21st in average points allowed over their last 15 contests and will be without Nic Claxton, giving Raynaud more freedom to roam on the interior.

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Mohamed Diawara over 1.5 threes (+138) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Diawara is a high-volume three-point shooter on a per-minute basis, taking 1.9 threes in 8.7 average minutes of action, which translates to 7.9 attempts per 36 minutes. He also shot 39.3 percent from beyond the arc and logged an over in his last outing, going 2-4 in Friday’s matchup with the Nets.

While Diawara’s minutes distributions are somewhat erratic, he gained some consistency in March. He’s also facing a Washington Wizards team that has been terrible at defending the three-point line nearly all year, and that has much greater priorities to deal with on defense.

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Donte DiVincenzo over 3.5 assists (-102) at FanDuel Sportsbook

DiVincenzo is known for his quick-trigger threes and either going running very hot or very cold from beyond the arc. He also went under this line in six of his last seven games and is taking on a Celtics defense that is seventh in assists allowed per game, which might be the question, “Why bet his under?”

The Celtics’ glacial pace of play ensures that they get to set their defense and cut off quick transition opportunities, which means fewer instant-three opportunities for DiVincenzo and company. The 29-year-old is capable of driving and dishing to teammates, and he had eight assists in his only previous matchup with the C’s this season.

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Jalen Green over 3.5 assists (+104) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Green went over this line in five of his last seven outings, including one against these same Toronto Raptors on March 13. He’s also getting to play a lot of minutes on a nightly basis, and his shooting production should help him earn lots of touches.

The Raptors are second in assists allowed per game and generally do a good job of shutting down the lanes for playmakers. That said, this is a low number to get over, and Green will get plenty of opportunities to add to his stat sheet.

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