As another week of NBA basketball comes to a close, here are my favorite player prop picks for Sunday.
Stephon Castle posted a 22-point, 10-rebound, 10-assist triple-double to help the San Antonio Spurs secure a top-two seed in the Western Conference with a win over the Milwaukee Bucks. Tyrese Maxey also had 26 points, eight assists, seven rebounds, and a monster poster dunk as the Philadelphia 76ers extinguished the red-hot Charlotte Hornets.
Sunday’s slate of games is loaded from start to finish, but it is headlined by matchups between the Hornets and the Boston Celtics, as well as the Oklahoma City Thunder and the New York Knicks.
Here are my top NBA player prop picks and bets for Sunday, March 29.
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| Best NBA Prop Bets Today | Odds | Get Up to $300 Back in Bonuses at FanDuel |
|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo over 21.5 points | -130 | CLAIM HERE |
| Moussa Diabate under 9.5 rebounds | -146 | CLAIM HERE |
| Jalen Brunson under 7.5 assists | -132 | CLAIM HERE |
| Paolo Banchero under 5.5 assists | -136 | CLAIM HERE |
| Donovan Clingan under 17.5 points | -136 | CLAIM HERE |
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Adebayo hasn’t quite come close to scoring 83 points again like he did earlier this month, and he went under in three straight games. He also scored just 13 points in 25 minutes in his lone previous matchup with the Indiana Pacers this season.
I’ve mentioned this before when discussing the Pacers, but their glaring lack of interior presence opens up scoring and rebounding opportunities for virtually every big man in the league. Indy allowed the second-most points per game over the last few weeks, and I don’t expect Adebayo to struggle to add to their terrible record.
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Diabate has proven himself to be an integral part of the Hornets’ miraculous turnaround, having averaged 8.1 points and 8.8 rebounds per game for the year. He had a solid game in the last matchup between the Hornets and the Celtics on March 4, but he still went under with exactly nine rebounds.
The Celtics shot uncharacteristically poorly from the field in that last matchup, and Diabate still cashed the under. Factoring in an increase in Boston’s efficiency, as well as the slow pace that both teams play at and the lack of shots that will come as a result, I believe that this shapes up for Diabate to cash the under.
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Brunson averaged 6.7 assists per game for the year, yet his line has been bumped against what many would consider to be the best defense in the NBA. This comes on the heels of him going over in nine of his last 12 games and logging a whopping 15 assists in a March 4 showdown with the Thunder.
While the Knicks’ point guard recently did a great job of dishing the rock, he’s still a score-first point guard. The Thunder rank fifth in assists allowed per game and can stay home on their assignments because of their perimeter defenders, meaning that Brunson could look to dance one-on-one more than set the table for his teammates.
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Banchero flashed his playmaking chops over the last week and changes, going over this line in four of his last five games. However, he still is not a pass-first player with natural playmaking instincts, and he only averaged 5.1 assists per game for the year.
Again, to Banchero’s credit, he went over in both previous matchups with the Toronto Raptors. However, the Raptors allowed the second-fewest assists per game for the year and didn’t deviate from that standard in recent weeks, and the juiced odds indicate that the smart money is still on the under.
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Let me start by saying that I really enjoy Clingan as a player, and I understand that he could be in store for a monster game against the Washington Wizards' horrible defense that doesn’t have Alex Sarr available due to an injury. However, that doesn’t change my bottom line.
Clingan went under this line in three straight games and only averaged 12.3 points per game. The Blazers have Jrue Holiday, Scoot Henderson, and Deni Avdija, among others, available to them, and if anyone is going to go for a monster scoring day because of the Wizards’ terrible defense, it should be one of them.
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