The Kansas City Chiefs lost to the Los Angeles Chargers 27-21 in their season opener
The Philadelphia Eagles' Jalen Carter will not be suspended for spitting on Dak Prescott
Saquon Barkley ranked above league average in Rushing Yards Over Expected per carry
After playing a key role in the Philadelphia Eagles' run to the Super Bowl last year, Saquon Barkley carried over his success into this season as he rushed for 60 yards and 1 touchdown against the Dallas Cowboys. With the Kansas City Chiefs' front seven struggling to stop the run, expect Barkley to continue to thrive and find the back of the end zone in week 2.
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Even though it was rumored that Saquon Barkley may receive a lighter workload earlier in the year, that did not stop the NFL Offensive Player of the Year award winner from maximizing on his usage as he finished week one ranked above league average in Rushing Yards Over Expected per carry. Barkley was also active in the Eagles pass attack as he hauled in four receptions for 24 yards.
In a Super Bowl rematch against Kansas City, Barkley will have the opportunity to thrive as he faces off against a Chiefs defense who ranks below league average in Def DVOA. Jalen Carter also avoiding a suspension will help bolster their defense, potentially resulting in earlier outs for the Chiefs which will lead to an uptick in the number of Eagles possession on offense.
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Do not let the stunning loss to the Buffalo Bills on Monday night fool you, Lamar Jackson was arguably the best quarterback in the league in week one as he led all quarterbacks in EPA per play while generating a total of 279 yards of offense. Jackson had no issue with scrambling away from the Bills' pressure as he also averaged nearly 12 yards per carry.
With the Cleveland Browns' defensive line capable of collapsing their pocket at a consistent rate, Jackson may have to utilize his legs at a heavier rate in order to stay in front of the sticks. Especially when inside the 20 as the Browns secondary will be able to stretch out their coverage without sacrificing too much ground to the Ravens' deep group of pass catchers.
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The loss of Micah Parsons was apparent from the opening snap as the Dallas Cowboys' defense struggled to generate pressure while Jalen Hurts moved the ball down the field at a consistent rate. Their inability to get a push off the line was a major thorn in their side last year as the Cowboys finished the season ranked 29th in Def Adjusted Line Yards.
Their inability to get to the quarterback bodes well for Russell Wilson as he will have more time in the pocket to let his plays develop which gives Malik Nabers a higher probability of exploiting the Cowboys' gaps in coverage. Expect Nabers to receive a higher usage rate in the process, increasing his chances of finding the end zone and cashing this prop.
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It was a successful debut for the New York Jets' Justin Fields as he torched the vaunted Pittsburgh Steelers defense by throwing for 218 yards and 1 touchdown. Fields was also effective on the ground as he generated a total of 48 yards while averaging 4 yards per carry.
His dual threat ability will force the Buffalo Bills to spy their linebackers which leaves Garrett Wilson in single coverage. With less coverage to combat against, Wilson will have more room to work with which will provide Fields with higher quality passing lanes for him to throw to.
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