The Broncos have just two wins over the Chiefs in their last 18 head-to-head matchups.
Denver’s defense leads the NFL with 46 sacks, putting them on pace to set a new NFL record.
Troy Franklin has surpassed Courtland Sutton as the most targeted receiver on Denver’s roster.
There might be no bigger game in the NFL this week than the AFC West rivalry game between the Denver Broncos and the Kansas City Chiefs. While the Broncos are the current AFC West leaders, they have just two wins over the Chiefs in their last 18 head-to-head games. As home underdogs in this game, Denver will need Bo Nix to step up and play one of his best games of the season. Meanwhile, Patrick Mahomes will be challenged by one of the NFL’s best defenses, as the Broncos are yielding just 17.3 points per game.
Even if the Chiefs aren’t having their best season, Mahomes remains a slight favorite to lead the NFL in passing yards this year. He’s also among the top favorites in NFL MVP odds, even if there is a lot left to be decided in that race. Meanwhile, Denver’s 8-2 record is only good enough to make them co-favorites to win the AFC West along with the Chiefs, who now have the shortest Super Bowl odds.
For more details, check out the latest AFC West predictions and odds.
With so many subplots to this game, we decided to pick out some of our favorite player props for Sunday’s Broncos-Chiefs matchup.
The odds for these props come from bet365 Sportsbook, which is ranked as one of the best prop betting sites. New users who sign up with our bet365 promo code WSN365 will get $200 in bonus bets after placing an initial $5 wager.
| Broncos vs Chiefs Prop Bets | Odds | Get $200 in Bonus Bets at bet365 |
|---|---|---|
| Patrick Mahomes Under 262.5 Passing Yards | -110 | CLAIM HERE |
| Kareem Hunt Over 42.5 Rushing Yards | -110 | CLAIM HERE |
| Troy Franklin 5+ Receptions | +145 | CLAIM HERE |
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In theory, this should be an easy target for Mahomes to hit. After all, he’s thrown for at least 270 yards in four of his last six games and has finished all six of those games with no fewer than 250 passing yards. Surely, in a rivalry game that the Chiefs need to win to have a chance in the AFC West, they’ll rely heavily on Mahomes and the passing game.
However, Mahomes and the Chiefs will have to deal with Denver’s defense. The Broncos are allowing a mere 206.6 passing yards per game and just 6.4 yards per attempt. More importantly, the Broncos lead the NFL with 46 sacks, putting them on pace to set a new NFL record. While Mahomes has only taken 17 sacks this season, the Chiefs may be inclined to throw the ball less this week. Denver’s pass rush could also take away deep passes, making it harder for Mahomes to throw for a lot of yards in this game.
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If the Chiefs indeed fear Denver’s pass rush, they’ll have no choice but to put more emphasis on the running game. By trying to establish the run and prevent Denver’s pass rush from taking over the game, Hunt will be positioned for a big game. While Hunt has only gone over 42.5 rushing yards twice this season, he doesn’t have to share carries with Isiah Pacheco, who is sidelined with a knee injury.
Of course, Denver’s rush defense is among the best in the NFL. The Broncos are allowing a league-low 3.6 yards per carry and just 91.2 yards per game. But with Pacheco out, Hunt is in line to get most of Kansas City’s rushing yards the same way Ashton Jeanty rushed for 60 yards on 19 carries against Denver last week.
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Courtland Sutton is Denver’s leading receiver this season, but for the past month, Franklin has been Bo Nix’s top target. Keep in mind that these two played in college together and are now in their second season as teammates on the Broncos. The two have good chemistry, and with Franklin getting at least eight targets in four straight games, he now has more targets this season than Sutton.
More importantly, Franklin has caught at least five passes in two of his last three games. The volume of targets that Franklin has been getting makes it hard to believe he won’t make it to five catches, especially since you can get plus odds with this bet. The Chiefs still need to respect Sutton, making it hard to take Franklin out of the game, setting him up for another five-catch game.
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