Is a Monday Night Football matchup between the New York Giants and the Dak Prescott-less Dallas Cowboys all that exciting? Eh, not really, but that doesn’t mean there isn’t money to be made.
Here, we’ll look at a three-leg Same Game Parlay bet at FanDuel. We’re taking a bit of a risk on one of the legs, but this pushes the odds out to +2072.
Let’s dive in.
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In what is basically a pick ‘em, the Cowboys get the one point on the road.
This should be a hotly contested game. Both teams have some solid offensive playmakers, each with beatable coverage units.
However, the Cowboys have wide receiver CeeDee Lamb and a returning Michael Gallup, which are better pieces than what the Giants can sport.
The Giants do have wide receiver Sterling Shepard, though, to be fair.
According to Pro Football Focus, the Giants rank as the No. 22 coverage unit, while the Cowboys rank 11th. There are plenty of holes on this Giants defense, especially the linebackers. This will allow players like Lamb to make things happen. He saw 10 targets last week on Rush’s 31 attempts, which should rise here.
Also, the Cowboys have running back Tony Pollard, whose explosiveness could be a problem for the Giants.
The Giants have a top-flight left tackle in Andrew Thomas. Still, the Cowboys pass rush mainly comes from linebacker Micah Parsons who will likely avoid him altogether.
Rush may be a slightly worse quarterback option than Jones, but the rest of the Cowboys team makes up for it.
With a total under 40 and two beatable coverage units, it’s hard not to take the over here. Both quarterbacks could be in for multi-touchdown days.
Shepard will match up plenty against Cowboys cornerback Trevon Diggs. Still, he can be beaten, as he’s allowed 10 catches on 15 targets for 98 yards and a touchdown this season.
This game could be somewhat of a shootout. Expect both to cross the 20-point threshold, sending this one way over.
OK, here we go—the sleeper pick.
We discussed Diggs, but on the other side, the Cowboys have Anthony Brown starting at cornerback. While Diggs may focus primarily on Shepard, Brown will see plenty of David Sills V.
In Week 2, Sills led the team in passing down snaps and routes ran, but he had just four targets.
Jones could try to avoid Diggs. He’s beatable in coverage but does have a knack for finding the ball and either picking it off or breaking up passes.
In that case, Sills will see plenty of work against a cornerback allowing a 70.6% reception rate (12 catches on 17 targets) for 160 yards and a touchdown.
In a game that we think goes “over,” Sills V has a great matchup. It’s a bit of a dart throw, but it’s a sound attempt to cash in big.
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