Cowboys vs. Eagles Prop Bets TNF Week 1: Expect Saquon Barkley to Get Off to a Hot Start

• Philadelphia’s Saquon Barkley won the 2024 Offensive Player of the Year award

• The Dallas Cowboys traded Micah Parsons to the Green Bay Packers

• The Cowboys' front seven ranked 29th overall in Def Rush DVOA last season

After winning the 2024 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award, Saquon Barkley has the opportunity to carry over his momentum into this season as he faces off against a Dallas Cowboys front seven who struggles to stop the run. This shades value towards his rushing yardage prop, especially if Philadelphia gets off to a hot start and tries to control the time of possession.

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Best Cowboys vs. Eagles Prop Bets in TNF Week 1

Saquon Barkley Over 93.5 Rushing Yards (-115) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Saquon Barkley revived his career in his first year with the Philadelphia Eagles as the star running back finished the season with 2,005 rushing yards and 13 rushing touchdowns while averaging 5.8 yards per carry. His production played a key role in Philadelphia’s run to the Super Bowl as he led the Eagles to top-10 marks in Rush DVOA, EPA, and in Success Rate.

In an NFC East divisional matchup against Dallas, Barkley is in a favorable position to put together a dominant performance as he faces off against a Cowboys defense who ranked near dead last in Def Rush DVOA and in Adjusted Line Yards. For some more exposure, escalator bet Barkley’s yardage prop by placing smaller wagers on his alternate overs.

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Dak Prescott Over 35.5 Pass Attempts (-130) at BetMGM Sportsbook

With the Cowboys listed as a sizable underdog, it’s expected they will be playing from behind for the majority of the contest. This will force their offense to be more aggressive in their efforts of moving the ball down the field, potentially leading to an uptick in pass attempts for Dak Prescott.

Establishing the pass also helps the Cowboys avoid getting stuffed on the ground as the Eagles' front seven ranked top-3 in Def Rush DVOA, EPA, and in Success Rate. The addition of George Pickens will also help free up more space for CeeDee Lamb as opposing defenses can no longer heavily shade their coverage towards the Cowboys' star wide receiver.

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Dak Prescott Under 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-130) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Even though Prescott may see an increase in his number of pass attempts, converting them to touchdowns will still be a struggle. Especially with the Eagles anchoring their linebackers in coverage as their defense ranks below league average in Blitz Rate and in Pressure Rate.

Especially with the Eagles secondary getting the benefit of stretching out their coverage when backed up inside the 20, allowing them to cover more ground which drastically lessens the quality of Prescott’s passing lanes. The Cowboys' offense may also see a decrease in their number of possessions should the Eagles pull away on the scoreboard and control the time of possession.

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DeVonta Smith Anytime Touchdown (+185) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Not only did the Eagles excel on the ground, but their pass attack also thrived in the red zone as their offense ranked ninth overall in Pass EPA. With the Cowboys trading Micah Parsons to the Green Bay Packers, their pass rush is expected to regress which will give Jalen Hurts more time in the pocket to operate.

When inside the 20, DeVonta Smith has been a reliable target for Hurts to throw to as the Eagles' speedy wideout led the team in Total Red Zone Targets and in Red Zone Catchable Passes. This is due to opposing safeties shading their coverage towards AJ Brown which increases Smith’s chances of breaking free off the line while dealing with single coverage.

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