Trevor Lawrence is fresh off a five-touchdown performance, giving him five straight games with multiple touchdown passes.
The Broncos have forced opposing quarterbacks to attempt at least 40 passes in three of their last four games.
Denver’s defense has allowed the fourth-most pass plays of 40 yards or more this season.
During the second half of the NFL season, the Jacksonville Jaguars have become one of the hottest teams in the NFL, winning five straight games. Naturally, quarterback Trevor Lawrence has been a big reason why. Lawrence has four straight games with multiple touchdowns, including five in last week’s win over the Jets. Of course, a big test awaits Lawrence and the Jags this week when they visit the Rocky Mountains to face the Denver Broncos, who currently have the best record in the AFC.
Behind Lawrence, the Jaguars are currently the favorites to win the AFC South for the second time in four years. They are also starting to be taken seriously as a Super Bowl LX contender, while Liam Coen is in the running for NFL Coach of the Year honors. However, Lawrence and the Jags face a tough test against the team that’s currently favored to win the AFC.
With Lawrence facing one of the NFL’s elite defenses, we decided to focus on prop bets involving Jacksonville’s quarterback in Week 16. After closely examining Lawrence and the Denver defense, we chose three prop bets available at bet365 Sportsbook this week.
The odds for our prop bets come from bet365 Sportsbook, which is among the best prop betting sites. Sign up for bet365 bonus today with our promo code WSN365 and receive $150 in bonus bets after placing an initial bet of $5 or more. Read more about this promo in our bet365 Sportsbook review.
| Best Trevor Lawrence Player Props | Odds | Claim $150 in Bonus Bets at bet365 |
|---|---|---|
| Trevor Lawrence Over 1.5 Touchdown Passes | +145 | CLAIM HERE |
| Trevor Lawrence Over 32.5 Pass Attempts | +100 | CLAIM HERE |
| Trevor Lawrence Longest Pass Completion Over 34.5 Yards | -115 | CLAIM HERE |
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This is a tough bet because the Broncos have allowed the third-fewest passing touchdowns in the league this season. Even MVP contender Jordan Love only had one last week against Denver. On the other hand, Lawrence has four straight multiple-touchdown games, throwing three or more touchdowns in two of those games.
In this case, it’s best to ride the hot hand of Lawrence, especially with plus odds. Lawrence seems to be on the same page with receivers like Brian Thomas and Jakobi Myers, not to mention running back Travis Etienne, who is also a threat in the passing game. While Pat Surtain can take away one receiver, the Jags have enough passing targets to help Lawrence throw multiple touchdown passes yet again.
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This is another example of strength vs strength. The Jaguars do a great job of staying balanced offensively, which is why Lawrence hasn’t attempted more than 32 passes in six straight games. Jacksonville has won five of those games, so there’s no doubt the Jags will try to run the ball and stay balanced.
On the other hand, the Broncos tend to force other teams to throw the ball more than they’d like. The Broncos have won 11 in a row, so they tend to play with a lead, especially late in games. As a result, three of the last four quarterbacks they’ve faced have thrown at least 40 passes. No matter how hard they try, the Jaguars may need Lawrence to throw the ball a little more often than he’s used to in this game.
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The deep ball has been a key part of the recent success for Lawrence and the Jaguars. He’s completed a pass of at least 39 yards or more in three straight games, including a 45-yarder last week. Even against one of the best defenses in the NFL, the Jaguars aren’t going to be shy about trying deep shots after how well it’s worked for them lately.
Ironically, this has been an area where the Broncos have struggled. They’ve allowed nine plays of 40 yards or more this season, which is the fourth most in the NFL. Again, Surtain can usually shut down one wide receiver. But Riley Moss and Denver’s other corners get picked on a lot, which is why they’ve been vulnerable to big plays. It’s a safe bet that Lawrence and the Jags will try to exploit that.
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Completions: 273
Attempts: 457
Completion Percentage: 59.7%
Yards: 3,210
Yards Per Pass: 7.0
Touchdowns: 23
Interceptions: 11
Carries: 66
Rushing Yards: 302
Yards Per Carry: 4.6
Rushing Touchdowns: 6
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