With the Washington Capitals continuing to underwhelm on defense, the Ottawa Senators front line will be able to build on their momentum by consistently attacking their net. Before their puck drop takes place, we turn our attention towards the New Jersey Devils as they face off against the New York Rangers who lack the playmakers that are needed to stretch out their coverage.
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After winning their last two games in a row, the Ottawa Senators will be able to continue to chip away at Boston’s lead in the wildcard standings as they face off against Washington who struggles to defend their net.
After a slow start to the year, the Ottawa Senators front line have been able to get into a groove, ranking above league average in Expected Goals For in All Situations. Their top two lines have played a major role in their turnaround this season, fielding five players who all average more than 0.30 Expected Goals per game.
In a favorable matchup against the Washington Capitals, the Senators front line will be able to light up the scoreboard as they face off against a defense who resides near the bottom of the board in Expected Goals Against in 5-on-5 Play. Even with Logan Thompson projected to get the start for the Capitals, the Senators versatility will pull him away from the net, widening the width of the gaps beside him.
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Since the start of the regular season, Brady Tkachuk has been able to relentlessly attack the net, averaging 0.50 Expected Goals and 3.83 Shots on Goal per game. With the Capitals defense struggling to shift their coverage across the ice, Tkachuk will be able to generate higher quality shot attempts in front of the crease when he attacks their back line during a fast break.
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With less than 20 games remaining in the regular season, the New Jersey Devils must continue to string together their wins if they want to remain in contention for the playoffs.
It has been an abysmal year for the New York Rangers as they are currently 28-31-8 and in 29th in the Presidents’ Trophy standings. Their lack of production on offense has brought in a high amount of variance into their contests, ranking well below league average in Expected Goals For in All Situations.
Heading into Wednesday night, expect the Rangers struggles on offense to continue to persist as they face off against the New Jersey Devils who rank in the top half of the board in Expected Goals Against From High Danger Shots while Jake Allen averages just 2.69 Goals Against per game. If the Rangers team total drops down to 2.5, then reduce the size of your wager.
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With Seth Jarvis pulling defensive attention away from him, expect Sebatian Aho to score on Wednesday night as he faces off against the Pittsburgh Penguins who have steadily regressed on defense.
After reconfiguring their lineup, Sebastian Aho has been able to pressure the crease at a high rate, averaging 0.33 Expected Goals per game. With the Pittsburgh Penguins stumbling down the board in Expected Goals Against in All Situations, Aho will be able to generate a higher volume of Shots on Goal which increases his chances of finding the back of the net.
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