Over 0.5 tie-breaks in Nick Kyrgios v Adrian Mannarino at +162 at bet365
Lorenzo Musetti to beat Alexei Popyrin 2-0 at +165 at FanDuel
Dominik Koepfer to beat Mackenzie McDonald at +215 at PointsBet
Soonwoo Kwon to beat Brandon Nakashima at +130 at Caesars Sportsbook
Jannik Sinner to win the Miami Open at +3000 at FanDuel
See what’s the best online sportsbook for payouts before you sign up!
Bonus Code WIN$100
Bet $20 Win $200
21+ CO, VA, MI Only | Terms and conditions apply
With his strong serve and relatively poor return game, Kyrgios is a tie-break regular and I think +162 about there being one in this clash is overpriced.
Mannarino, who has seen a tie-break in four of his last seven matches on outdoor hardcourts, has dealt with some of the game’s biggest servers pretty well in the past. For example, he’s forced a tie-break in five of eight meetings with John Isner, four of seven v Sam Querrey and two of four against Milos Raonic.
These two haven’t met before which should only enhance the chances of serve dominating.
Admittedly Kyrgios played rather well in Indian Wells earlier this month with only one of his four matches featuring a breaker, which probably helps explain the price.
Still, +162 looks worth a go.
It’s been a tough season so far for Popyrin, who is just 2-8 in 2022.
His most recent loss came against Musetti at the Phoenix Challenger last week when he won only four games and didn’t break serve.
That’s hardly a good omen for this match in conditions that should favour the Italian more – Popyrin likes it fairly quick but in Miami, the humidity slows things down, while the Laykold court isn’t the fastest either.
Musetti has now won the pair’s last three meetings, all in straight sets, and that looks the bet here at +165.
Koepfer was competitive against Andrey Rublev in Indian Wells recently and could land an upset blow here.
Level at 1-1 on the head-to-head, the pair’s last meeting went the way of McDonald, who won 7-6 in the third in Cincinnati in 2020.
McDonald is another who prefers a slick court but while he had that in Cincinnati, that won’t be the case this week and Koepfer could benefit at odds of +215.
The American favorite has been rather disappointing so far in 2022 and comes into this clash with a losing record (7-8). He’s also got a track record of struggling (relatively) against left-handers, holding another losing record in his career as a whole.
I just think Koepfer is too big here and worth chancing.
Like his compatriot McDonald, Nakashima has been something of a let-down so far this season.
He’s won back-to-back matches only once and that was right at the start of the campaign in Australia.
Usually very much at home on the North American hardcourts, Nakashima has gone 3-5 since returning to the US.
The dogged Kwon can take advantage.
The gritty Korean has been solid if unspectacular so far in 2022. He took a set off Andrey Rublev in Dubai and prior to that pushed Denis Shapovalov all the way at the Australian Open.
On current form, he’s more than capable of living with a low-on-confidence Nakashima and looks worthy of support at +130.
The seeds all get a first-round bye at the Miami Open so which of them could be vulnerable in round two?
Karen Khachanov won just three games against Jenson Brooksby in Indian Wells and looks likely to face Tommy Paul, who is fresh from defeating Alex Zverev in the same event. The ever-improving American may well be able to claim another notable scalp.
Taylor Fritz is probably worth opposing if he takes to the court against (probably) Botic van de Zandschulp given the injury issues he had during the latter stages of Indian Wells. His first Masters title will also likely have taken a heavy mental toll.
Having tested Rafael Nadal fully last week, Nick Kyrgios could clearly cause problems for Andrey Rublev, while Denis Shapovalov won’t be relishing a scrap with Lloyd Harris, particularly if the South African is on a good serving day.
Jannik Sinner made the final in Miami last season and he can go one better at a decent price this time around.
With Novak Djokovic and Rafael Nadal both absent, Daniil Medvedev is the favorite but he’s never been past the last eight of this tournament and would probably admit that conditions here don’t favour his game that well.
Sinner looks a decent alternative at +3000.
He’s won 13 of 15 matches so far this year and should be much happier with the court set-up.
Andrey Rublev, who must put Indian Wells disappointment behind him, and Matteo Berrettini are the higher-ranked seeds in his quarter, with Alex Zverev a potential semi-final foe.
That’s a draw that could have been a lot worse so Sinner gets the thumbs up.
Impressive range of bonuses
Large selection of games
Bet $100 get a $100 FREE BET
21+ | T&Cs apply
Wide range of betting options
Top notch customer service
Promo Code 'SPORTS'
$500 Free Bet
21+ | VA only | Gambling problem? Call 1-800-532-3500
|ATP Miami Information|
|What||ATP Miami Open|
|Location||Miami, Florida, USA|
|Time||Wednesday, March 23 to Sunday, April 3|
|How to Watch||Tennis Channel|
Australian Open Predictions: H2h Shows Isner Can Dominate at Big Odds
Tennis | 16 January - 03:37 | Andy Schooler
ATP ASB Classic and Adelaide International 2: Tie-break beckons in Adelaide clash
Tennis | 9 January - 03:25 | Andy Schooler
ATP Adelaide 1 & Pune Predictions: Ramanathan Has Underdog Potential
Tennis | 2 January - 04:26 | Andy Schooler
Andy is a sports journalist of more than 20 years’ experience and is a former betting editor of the UK-based website, Sporting Life. He has specialized in tennis for many years, previewing hundreds of ATP Tour events and reporting from tournaments such as the ATP Finals and Davis Cup final. Andy has also covered numerous other sports, with a particular interest in soccer and cricket.More info on Andy Schooler
© Rebel Penguin ApS 2023 (a subsidiary of Gaming Innovation Group Inc.)
We support responsible gambling. If you feel like you're losing control over your gambling experience, call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ, PA, WV), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-522-4700 (NV), 1-800-522-4700 (CO, TN), 1-855-2CALLGA (IL), 1-800-270-7117 (MI).
WSN.com is registered with the New Jersey Division of Gaming Enforcement (DGE) under affiliate vendor ID 89744, with the Indiana Gaming Commission (IGC) under certificate of registration number SWR-000148, approved by the Pennsylvania Gaming Control Board as a gaming service provider, under certificate registration number 117656-1, possesses a Vendor Minor sports betting license from the Colorado Limited Gaming Control Commission (account number 94414163), granted a vendor registration number VR007603-20-001 by the Michigan Gaming Control Board, an interim Sports Wagering Supplier license, under license number SWS 066, issued by the West Virginia Lottery Commission, a sports betting vendor registration, under registration number #100400, issued by the Director of Gaming Licensing and Investigations of the Virginia Lottery to operate in the State of Virginia, and a Vendor Registration issued by the Sports Wagering Committee of the Tennessee Education Lottery Corporation.
Advertising disclosure: WSN contains links to online retailers on its website. When people click on our affiliate links and make purchases, WSN earns a commission from our partners, including ESPN and various sportsbooks.