3M Open 2025 Predictions: Thorbjornsen’s Time to Shine

• The tournament is in just its seventh edition

• This is the penultimate event before the FedExCup Playoffs 

• Sam Burns is the betting favorite

3M Open 2025 Odds

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3M Open 2025 Picks and Predictions

• Michael Thorbjornsen each-way (1/5 odds, 6 Places) at +3300 with BetMGM

• Max Homa to beat Sungjae Im in 72-hole match at -110 with bet365

• Kurt Kitayama for Top 10 at +400 with BetMGM

3M Open 2025 Intro

While Scottie Scheffler polishes the Claret Jug after his stunning victory in the Open Championship at Royal Portrush in Northern Ireland, the PGA TOUR heads to Blaine, Minnesota.

As a standalone event, this relatively new tournament is one of the lower-key offerings on the schedule but its importance is enhanced by being the penultimate event in the FedExCup regular season.

Plenty in the field are trying to secure a place in the Playoffs and after this event and next week’s Wyndham Championship, the top 70 will be known.

But it’s not just a field of Playoffs hopefuls. 

The entry list is given some glitz by featuring two players who made the top five at Royal Portrush: Chris Gotterup and Wyndham Clark.

Venezuela’s Jhonattan Vegas returns to defend although Sam Burns is the betting favorite as he tries to return the trophy to American hands after US players won the first five editions.

The tournament was first contested in 2019 and winning scores have ranged from -15 to -24.

TPC Twin Cities, a par 71 measuring just over 7,400 yards and featuring fast bentgrass greens, should yield plenty of birdies again given the favorable weather forecast.    

Last 5 Winners of the 3M Open

Course Notes

• TPC Twin Cities is a par 71 and measures 7,431 yards

• Minnesota native Tom Lehman was the player consultant for the course

• Before a renovation in 2018, it hosted an annual Champions Tour event 

• Lee Hodges holds the 72-hole record of 260, set in 2023

• Bryson DeChambeau is one of five players with the 18-hole record of 62 

• The weather forecast shows sunshine and light winds

Favorites to Win the 3M Open 2025

Sam Burns (+1600) at bet365

Burns didn’t really click into gear on the links, finishing 47th in the Scottish Open and 45th in the Open Championship although he shot 72 or lower in all eight rounds. Before crossing the Atlantic he’d connected five top 20s, losing a playoff at the Canadian Open after closing with a 62. At this event he’s delivered 7th (2019), 12th (2024) and 32nd (2020) in three visits.

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Maverick McNealy (+2000) at bet365

McNealy was quietly impressive in the UK, backing up 22nd at the Scottish with 23rd at Royal Portrush. He closed with 66s in both events. With a pair of top threes and a fifth in his previous nine events, McNealy has been playing some excellent golf for a sustained period while he has course form too: third last year which included a Saturday 63 and 16th on debut.

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Chris Gotterup (+2500) at bet365

Gotterup, of course, had a sensational time on the other side of the pond. He held off Rory McIlroy and roared to victory in the Scottish Open and, riding the wave, added a superb third place on his Open Championship debut. He’d laid the groundwork with three finishes between 21st and 26th on the PGA Tour. Good vibes and fatigue will be contrasting forces for Gotterup here, a place where he’s finished 31st (2022) and 59th (2024) in two starts.

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Time for Thorbjornsen  

This recent addition to the PGA TOUR calendar has thrown up a couple of first-time winners - Matthew Wolff in 2019 and Lee Hodges in 2023 - in its short six-year run.

And we could very easily get a third this week in the shape of Michael Thorbjornsen.

The 23-year-old, who only turned pro in 2024, has already made an early impact at this level, twice finishing runner-up.

The most recent of those came at April’s Corales Puntacana Championship and he’s had a pair of top four finishes since, the most recent at last month’s Rocket Classic.

Thorbjornsen is an elite driver of the ball (6th Strokes Gained: Off The Tee, 4th Driving Distance) but other parts of his game have been showing up strongly too.

He made his debut in this event last year, shooting 66-77 and missing the cut.

If we focus on the first lap and combine it with his latest performances, Thorbjornsen has a great chance in a modest field like this to get over the line and become a PGA TOUR winner.

Back him each-way at +3300 (1/5 Odds, 6 Places) with BetMGM.

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Homa to Beat Im

Sungjae Im’s decline is hard to fathom but it shows no real sign of abating.

Sure, he made the cut at Royal Portrush but 52nd represented a sixth straight start in which he’d failed to crack the top 50.

While he was a runner-up here in 2020, his poor current form trumps that and Im actually missed the cut here on his last appearance in 2023.

I’m going to back Max Homa to beat Im in a 72-hole match. bet365 makes it a -110 pick ‘em.

Homa looks to be building his way back and two July starts have yielded fifth at the John Deere Classic and 45th in the Barracuda.

He didn’t dust off the passport for the Scottish Open/Open Championship so will be fresher than Im and his last start at the course resulted in third place.

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Kitayama to Claim Top 10

Kurt Kitayama made the top six on his TPC Twin Cities course debut last year.

And ahead of his return the huge-hitting American is in fine form again.

Kitayama was fifth in the John Deere and 14th at the Barracuda, ranking 1st for Greens In Regulation in the latter.

He can make the Top 10 here for the second year running and land us a +400 reward at BetMGM.

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How to Watch the 3M Open 2025

• Tournament: 3M Open

• Location: TPC Twin Cities, Blaine, MN

• Date: Thursday, July 24 - Sunday, July 27

• How to Watch: Thursday-Friday 4 p.m.-7 p.m. ET (Golf Channel), Saturday-Sunday 1 p.m.-3 p.m. (Golf Channel), 3 p.m.-6 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+). And all four days on Sky Sports.