Alfred Dunhill Championship Predictions, Betting Odds & Top Picks
- This is the second leg of a three-week South African swing on the European Tour
- The spectacular par 72 Leopard Creek Country Club in Malelane plays host
- Local man Brandon Stone is the favorite in the betting
Alfred Dunhill Championship Odds
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Alfred Dunhill Championship Odds Our Picks
Home star Christiaan Bezuidenhout followed a solid Masters debut with a top 15 last week and can show his class by taking victory at +1600 bet365.
Wilco Nienaber looks a better course fit than fellow South African youngster Garrick Higgo. Last week’s runner-up can win a 72-hole match at -120 DraftKings Sportsbook.
Local Sunshine Tour player Jayden Trey Schaper continued his good form with T18 in the Joburg Open; he can land another top 20 here at +350 DraftKings Sportsbook.
Christiaan Bezuidenhout to win +1600 at bet365
Wilco Nienaber to beat Garrick Higgo in a 72-hole match -120 at DraftKings Sportsbook
Jayden Trey Schaper to land a top 20 +275 at DraftKings Sportsbook
How to Watch the Alfred Dunhill Championship
|Alfred Dunhill Championship Information|
|What||Alfred Dunhill Championship|
|Where||Leopard Creek CC, Malelane, South Africa|
|When||Thursday, November 26 – Sunday, November 29|
|How to Watch||Thursday 5.00am-10.00am ET (Golf Channel), Friday 5.00am-10.00am (Golf Channel), Saturday 5.00am-9.30am (Golf Channel), Sunday 5.00am-9.30am (Golf Channel). All 4 days on Sky Sports|
Alfred Dunhill Championship Profile
With no PGA Tour event this week, there will be more eyes than usual on this week’s Alfred Dunhill Championship. This is the second leg of the European Tour’s three-week South African swing and it takes place at one of the most picturesque venues in the game.
The Gary Player design – a 7,249-yard par 72 – is set on the edge of Kruger National Park. It means viewers tuning into the coverage will see a range of wildlife being picked out by the cameras. The golfers take center stage but leopards, zebras, crocodiles, hippos, buffalos, and elephants get their share of air time too.
Local player George Coetzee sums up the venue’s appeal:
Every South African player loves to come back to Leopard Creek. There’s nothing else in the world that can compare to it. You get Pebble Beach with the ocean, St Andrews with the history, but then you get Leopard Creek and the wildlife. I’ll travel from anywhere in the world to come and play this event.”
Coetzee was T26 last year but has a best of third in 2011.
While the visuals are always spectacular, there have been notable changes to the course which bettors need to know. After the 2017 edition, the course underwent a major renovation with the Kikuyu fairways and rough replaced by Bermuda grass. The greens also switched to Bermuda from Bent.
The overall effect is that the course plays firmer and faster and scoring has been tougher. Last year Spain’s Pablo Larrazabal took the title with 8-under whereas three times between 2012 and 2016 the tournament was won with 20-under or lower.
South Africans won six years in a row from 2011 to 2016 but there have also been four Spanish winners since 2006.
Bezuidenhout Looks Best for the Win
Christiaan Bezuidenhout has been continuing his golfing development on the PGA Tour since golf returned in mid-June. He played nine events and perhaps his progress can be tracked via his finishes in the majors. The South African missed the cut at the PGA Championship, took tied 55th in the US Open before improving to tied 38th on his Master’s debut. He ranked 8th for Greens In Regulation at Augusta National.
Bezuidenhout then returned home and took tied 15th in last week’s Joburg Open. That was a decent effort coming straight from The Masters and he saved his best until last when closing with 67. The 26-year-old’s previous start in his homeland had produced a victory in the Dimension Data Pro-Am while he was tied 18th at Leopard Creek two years ago.
He’s the highest-ranked player in the field this week so it’s a slight surprise to see him an only third favorite. His one European Tour win came at Valderrama in 2019 and that could be a useful hint given that the iconic Spanish track is firm and fast like this one.
Take him at +1600 with bet365.
Nienaber To Outscore Higgo
Wilco Nienaber came mighty close to a first European Tour victory in last week’s Joburg Open and will be hugely disappointed to have stumbled on the back nine, allowing JB Hansen to pip him to the title. Getting straight back on the horse is often the best remedy and I’ll take him to shine again at Leopard Creek this week.
The youngster caused a stir on social media when footage emerged of him launching a 439-yard drive. Yep, without bulking up, he’s hitting the ball almost as far as Bryson DeChambeau.
He’s been paired in a match with another major South African prospect, Garrick Higgo.
Higgo already has a European Tour win to his name having captured the Open de Portugal. However, he’s cooled off a little in the last few weeks with a missed cut in the Cyprus Showdown and T61 in Joburg.
As well as having a current form edge, Nienaber looks the better fit for Leopard Creek. He made the top 25 here last year and was tied sixth at tough Valderrama in September.
Higgo shot 72-77 to miss the cut here 12 months ago and his form in co-sanctioned tournaments since the start of 2018 is 63-MC-MC-61.
Take Nienaber (-120 at DraftKings Sportsbook) to win their 72-hole match.
Schaper To Land In Top 20
I’ll look to another highly-touted South African youngster to land this week’s top 20 bet. Since returning to the course in August, teenager Jayden Trey Schaper has banked six top 20s in eight local Sunshine Tour events. Three of those doubled as top 10s. That turned some heads with the local press but could he do it against the overseas raiders in a co-sanctioned event?
The answer was yes as he hoisted up rounds of 67-68-72-68 to take T18 in the Joburg Open last week.
With confidence high, Schafer can repeat the feat at Leopard Creek (T42 last year). Take the +275 at DraftKings Sportsbook for yet another top 20.
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Dave Tindall is former golf editor at SkySports.com and Golf365.com and has been writing betting previews for the PGA Tour and European Tour since 1997. He has also written for a range of betting companies, including William Hill and Betfair, as well as being a regular columnist for Rotoworld, The Guardian, Sporting Life and Planet Sport. His other area of speciality is football while he's also covered cricket and tennis.
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