Alfred Dunhill Links Championship Predictions, Betting Odds & Top Picks
- The 2020 edition was canceled due to the pandemic
- This pro-am tournament is played at St Andrews (x2), Carnoustie and Kingbarns
- Three of Europe’s Ryder Cup team line up following the heavy defeat to the USA
Alfred Dunhill Links Championship Odds
The odds for this tournament are provided by bet365. Click on the odds below to head to bet365 and place a bet.
|Alex Noren||+1600 |
|Tommy Fleetwood||+1600 |
|Shane Lowry||+1600 |
|Billy Horschel||+1800 |
|Tyrrell Hatton||+1800 |
|Branden Grace||+2500 |
|Thomas Pieters||+3500 |
|Thomas Detry||+3500 |
|Victor Perez||+3500 |
|Robert MacIntyre||+3500 |
|Sam Horsfield||+4500 |
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Alfred Dunhill Links Championship Predictions and Picks
Links specialist Matthew Jordan was the halfway leader in the most recent edition here and returns in fine form. Back him each-way at +6600 with bet365 (1/4 1-2-3-4-5).
Ryder Cup vice-captain Martin Kaymer has a habit of shaking off disappointment and can beat Laurie Canter over 72 holes. Take the German at -115 with bet365.
Matthew Southgate was runner-up in this event last time and can cope with the strong winds. Back him for a top 20 finish at +500 with DraftKings Sportsbook.
Alfred Dunhill Links Championship Profile
After its enforced absence in 2020 due to COVID 19, the European Tour’s only pro-am returns for its 20th edition. It’s one of the most popular events on the schedule and offers the chance to get a glimpse of the iconic Old Course at St. Andrews, not once but twice.
St. Andrews is part of the three-course rotation on Thursday-Saturday before it stages Sunday’s closing round.
The Old Course, which hosts next year’s Open Championship, is a par 72 measuring 7,318 yards. It can yield low scores if the wind doesn’t blow.
The other two courses in play for the pros and amateurs are Carnoustie and Kingsbarns.
Carnoustie is usually the hardest of the three.
The 7,394-yarder is also set up as a par 72 for this week and should also be familiar to golf audiences having staged eight Open champions, including Francesco Molinari’s victory in 2018.
Kingsbarns doesn’t have the same history having only opened in 2000. However, the Kyle Philips design still affords some glorious views and typically yields the lowest scores. Branden Grace famously shot a 60 at Kingsbarns on the way to victory in 2012.
It has generous fairways and the average score at the 7,227-yard par 72 in 2019 was just 69.53. That compares to 71.11 at Carnoustie. The cut is made after 54 holes when the top 60 pros and ties along with the top 20 teams (one pro/one amateur) contest the closer at St. Andrews.
Of the 19 previous editions, 13 have been won by GB & Ireland players while South Africa’s Grace is the only non-European to lift the trophy.
American Billy Horschel, the recent winner of the BMW PGA Championship at Wentworth, England, will try to break that trend.
Note that six of the last nine Dunhills have been won with 22-under or lower so this is a real birdie-fest – as you’d expect with the courses set up easier to accommodate the amateurs.
The Perfect Storm for Jordan
There must be big question marks over three of the top five in the betting given that they’re coming straight off a chastening loss in the Ryder Cup.
Tommy Fleetwood, Shane Lowry, and Tyrrell Hatton have all had long, hard, draining weeks and I’m happy to swerve them here. That opens the window for someone further down the betting and there’s another factor that could eliminate plenty of the field: the weather.
The forecast shows wind speeds of 15-20mph and it could get north of that on Friday and Sunday.
You probably don’t want to be playing Carnoustie – the toughest course – in Friday’s second round.
My pick is a links specialist who made a big impression in this event last year: England’s Matthew Jordan.
The youngster’s home course is one of the great Open venues, Hoylake, so he knows a thing or two about playing in blustery conditions.
The 25-year-old put his links knowledge to great use in this event in 2019 when he opened 66 (Kingsbarns), 64 (St Andrews) to take a one-shot lead at the midpoint.
Jordan eventually finished fifth, building on a promising first visit when he shot middle rounds of 67-66 after a poor start.
A winner of the 2017 St Andrews Links Trophy, he also brings plenty of current form to the table.
In August, the Englishman made an impression in another tournament held in Scotland when he sixth at the Hero Open while two weeks later he cracked the top four at the European Masters in Switzerland.
Also tied 15th in the Italian Open in early September, he can make a big impression at +6600. Back him each way (1/4 1-2-3-4-5).
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Keep Faith in Kaymer in Match Bet
While I don’t want to back a European player who lost heavily in the Ryder Cup, I am willing to relax that rule for one of Padraig Harrington’s vice-captains, Martin Kaymer.
The thinking is this: Kaymer has been here before. He played in Europe’s Ryder Cup defeat at Hazeltine in 2016 and, despite the heavy loss, returned to this event to finish tied sixth.
That was in contrast to five other beaten Euros, who all failed to make the top 30.
He was also in the European camp as a youngster soaking up the atmosphere at Valhalla in 2008. Once again, he seemed immune to the disappointment of defeat, flying back to this event and finishing runner-up.
Perhaps it’s something about the German mentality given that, astonishingly, Bernhard Langer won the week after missing THAT putt in the 1991 Ryder Cup at Kiawah Island.
Kaymer also won this event in 2010 and has two other top sevens while his latest form shows top 25s in two of his last three starts.
I’m going to play him at -115 (DraftKings) to win a 72-hole match against Laurie Canter.
The Englishman was runner-up at Wentworth but that course suited him. The same can’t be said of these venues where he’s missed two of his three cuts and also fired 81-79 at St. Andrews in the 2010 Open Championship.
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Southgate Can Crack the Top 20
Matthew Southgate was runner-up in this event last time and is always a player to look to in tough, links conditions.
The Englishman is a member at Carnoustie so has extra knowledge of one of the three courses on the rotation here while his current form – four cuts in his last five, three of those tied 35th or better – looks solid enough.
Also a runner-up at June’s European Open in Germany, he looks way too big at +500 with DraftKings Sportsbook to record a top 20 finish.
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How to Watch Alfred Dunhill Links Championship
|Alfred Dunhill Links Championship|
|Tournament||Alfred Dunhill Links Championship|
|Location||Old Course St. Andrews, Carnoustie & Kingsbarns, Scotland|
|Time||Thursday, September 30 – Sunday, October 03|
|How to Watch||Thursday 8 am-12 pm (Golf Channel), Friday 8 am-12 pm (Golf Channel), Saturday 8 am-12 pm (Golf Channel), Sunday 7 am-12 pm (Golf Channel). All 4 days on Sky Sports|
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Dave Tindall is former golf editor at SkySports.com and Golf365.com and has been writing betting previews for the PGA Tour and European Tour since 1997. He has also written for a range of betting companies, including William Hill and Betfair, as well as being a regular columnist for Rotoworld, The Guardian, Sporting Life and Planet Sport. His other area of speciality is football while he's also covered cricket and tennis.
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