John Deere Classic 2025 Predictions: Glover Fits the Bill

• This is the 25th edition at TPC Deere Run

• It’s the final event on American soil before a two-week jaunt in the UK

• Davis Thompson defends the title after a record-breaking win in 2024 

John Deere Classic 2025 Odds

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John Deere Classic 2025 Picks and Predictions

• Lucas Glover each-way (1/4 odds, 5 Places) at +3500 with bet365

• Michael Kim to beat Thorbjorn Olesen in 72-hole match at -105 with bet365

• Thriston Lawrence for Top 10 at +750 with BetMGM

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John Deere Classic 2025 Intro

A stretch of three exhale events since the grind of the US Open is completed with the annual trip to Illinois for the John Deere Classic.

It’s a significant anniversary as TPC Deere Run plays host for the 25th time.

Steve Stricker won three of those and Jordan Spieth two although neither are in the field this week.

Spieth remains sidelined with a muscle injury although should be fine for the upcoming fortnight which sees the PGA TOUR roadshow cross the Atlantic for the Scottish Open followed by the Open Championship at Royal Portrush.

But the defending champion does tee it up.

Davis Thompson powered to a four-shot victory when beating Michael Kim’s 72-hole record score by one 12 months ago.

That 28-under tally is unlikely to be reached this time given that the weather forecast on the weekend suggests challenging conditions after two days of ideal scoring.

TPC Deere Run is an undulating parkland track with bentgrass fairways and slick greens.

Since 2007 only twice has the trophy gone to a non-American although they were both in the last five editions.

Last 5 Winners of the John Deere Classic

There was no tournament in 2020 due to the pandemic

Course Notes

• TPC Deere Run is a par 71 and measures 7,289 yards

• The D.A. Weibring design was built on an Arabian horse farm. It opened in 1998

• Paul Goydos (2010) and Hayden Springer (2024) have both shot 59s here

• Davis Thompson posted the 72-hole record of 256 in 2024

Favorites to Win the John Deere Classic 2025

Ben Griffin (+1600) at bet365

Griffin’s hot run shows no signs of slowing down and 13th in last week’s Rocket Classic was his sixth straight top 15  That sequence includes victory in the Charles Schwab Challenge, second at Memorial and top 10s in the last two majors. Add in fifth on his debut last year when he shot 64-62 on the weekend and his place at the top of the betting is fully deserved in a field short on quality.

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Jason Day (+2500) at bet365

Day played this event five times between 2006 and 2011, recording a couple of top 15s, but then left if off his schedule. He returned last year and got reacquainted pretty well as a pair of 66s on the weekend secured tied 23rd. This is just his fifth start since The Masters in April but fourth at the Travelers a fortnight ago points to freshness winning the battle with rust.

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Denny McCarthy (+2500) at bet365

Plenty of bettors have given up on McCarthy ever getting a first win but if it’s going to happen, TPC Deere Run is as likely as anywhere. He’s had three straight top sevens (7-6-6), shooting 64 three times in his last seven laps. One of the PGA TOUR’s best putters, McCarthy was eighth at the PGA in May and 12th at the Travelers on his latest start.

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Get With Glover  

Steve Stricker and Zach Johnson have shown down the years that course management and elite wedge play count for plenty here.

They have four wins and three second places between them.

And the veteran who could make a big impact this week already has his name on the trophy.

Lucas Glover took the title at TPC Deere Run in 2021 and has three top 10s in his last five starts at this tournament.

He ranks 2nd for Approaches from 125-150 yards this season so has his wedge game dialled in and showed his current well-being when ninth at the Travelers Championship a fortnight ago.

Also third at both THE PLAYERS Championship and Pebble Beach Pro-Am earlier this year, the 45-year-old remains a force. 

His putting stats aren’t great but, crucially, he’s always been a fan of these greens and the stats show it. 

Back Glover at +3500 each-way (1/4 Odds, 5 Places) with bet365 to win here for the second time.

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Kim to Beat Olesen

Harry Hall landed us another win in the 72-hole match market last week when beating Si Woo Kim by a whopping 14 strokes. 

If only it was that comfortable every week!

For TPC Deere Run I’ll take Michael Kim to get the better of Thorbjorn Olesen.

Kim shot the lights out here in 2018 when recording a then tournament record 27-under to win by a massive eight-shot margin.

Bizarrely, he’s missed all four cuts since, despite shooting in the 60s on day two in both 2023 and 2024.

But the man with the best X account in golf is enjoying an excellent 2025 and wrote after 26th at the Rocket Classic on Sunday: “Game feels really close to a great week.”

Olesen has had a couple of top 10s this season but they’re his only top 25s in 16 starts.

Back Kim to win their 72-hole match at -105 with bet365.

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Lawrence to Land Top 10

Thriston Lawrence was a surprise contender in the US Open and has backed up that 12th place at Oakmont with eighth at the Rocket Classic last week.

He’d won his PGA TOUR playing rights with a third place finish on the 2024 Race to Dubai and it was a return to the DP World Tour which seems to have sparked his revival.

The turnaround came with fourth at late May’s Soudal Open in Belgium and the South African is now showing why he has a reputation for getting hot and staying hot.

It’s his tournament debut but he’s well worth a value play at +750 with BetMGM to crack the top 10.

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How to Watch the John Deere Classic 2025

• Tournament: John Deere Classic

• Location: Silvis, IL

• Date: Thursday, July 3 - Sunday, July 6

• How to Watch: Thursday-Friday 4 p.m.-7 p.m. ET (Golf Channel), Saturday-Sunday 1 p.m-3 p.m (Golf Channel), 3 p.m-6.p.m. (CBS, Paramount+). And all four days on Sky Sports.