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The Memorial Tournament Predictions: Scheffler to Win at Jack’s Place

Contributors
Updated June 5, 2024
7 min read
  • Muirfield Village hosts again, as it has done every year since 1976

  • This is another Signature Series event, with a limited field of 72  

  • It’s the final tournament before next week’s US Open at Pinehurst

Memorial Tournament Odds

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Player Odds 
Scottie Scheffler +350
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Rory McIlroy +750
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Xander Schauffele +800
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Collin Morikawa +1200
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Viktor Hovland +1600
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Ludvig Aberg +1800
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Justin Thomas +2200
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Patrick Cantlay +2500
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Corey Conners +3300
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Tommy Fleetwood +3300
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The Memorial Tournament Predictions

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Memorial Tournament 2024 Predictions

The Memorial Tournament Intro

Jack Nicklaus’s Memorial Tournament at the famed Muirfield Village Golf Club is one of the most prestigious PGA Tour stops outside of the majors.

And this year it’s been given Signature Series status - increasing prize money and limiting the field to just 72.

Nicklaus has always tinkered with his designs and the tree-lined par 72 in Dublin, Ohio is no exception.

Changes were made three years ago and only one player - 2022 winner Billy Horschel - has finished double digits under par in the last two editions.

This is now a seriously tough test and the small, fast bentgrass greens and four-inch rough should keep scoring in check once more.

Viktor Hovland triumphed with just 7-under last year, although only after he’d beaten Denny McCarthy in a playoff.

Looking at the forecast suggests something similar could win it again this time as winds will blow around 15mph all week and pick up further on the weekend.

This is an event high on every player’s ‘want to win’ list but playing well this year will also fuel confidence for next week’s US Open at Pinehurst.

Scottie Scheffler is a favorite for that one, just as he is here.  

The Last 5 Winners of The Memorial Tournament

YearChampion, nationality and winning score
2023Viktor Hovland (Norway) -7 Playoff 
2022Billy Horschel (United States) -13 
2021Patrick Cantlay (United States) -13 Playoff 
2020Jon Rahm (Spain) -9 
2019Patrick Cantlay (United States) -19

Course Notes

  • The tournament was first played in 1976

  • Muirfield Village is a par 72 and measures 7,569 yards from the tips

  • It was designed by Jack Nicklaus and is his most famous creation

  • Recent stats suggest driving and strong iron play are key skills

  • Tom Lehman (1994) holds the 72-hole record of 268 

  • John Huston has the 18-hole record of 61 (1996)  

Favorites to Win The Memorial Tournament

Scottie Scheffler (+350) at BetMGM

The World No.1 produced some remarkable tee-to-green numbers in this event last year (ranked 1st in all the SG categories) but wielded a stone-cold putter to finish third. Also top three on his previous start at Memorial in 2021, Scheffler has an incredible four wins and two second places in his last seven starts. The new dad is a deserved favorite.

Bet on Scottie Scheffler (+350) at BetMGM

Rory McIlroy (+750) at BetMGM

Rory admitted he was a little undercooked going into last week’s Canadian Open but the Northern Irishman finished fast (65-64 on the weekend) to take fourth. That added to 12th in the PGA Championship and back-to-back wins (Zurich Classic pairs event and Wells Fargo) prior to that. At Muirfield Village he has five top 10s and a further three top 20s although he’s never finished in the top three.

Bet on Rory McIlroy (+750) at BetMGM

Xander Schauffele (+800) at BetMGM

This is Schauffele’s first start since he joined the majors club by winning last month’s PGA Championship at Valhalla - another Nicklaus design. Also runner-up at Wells Fargo the week before his big breakthrough, he’s connected six top 25s in his last half-dozen starts at Muirfield Village although, surprisingly, hasn’t posted higher than 11th.

Bet on Xander Schauffele (+800) at BetMGM

Back Morikawa for the Win

Twelve months ago at Muirfield Village, Collin Morikawa felt something go in his back as he prepared to play the final round.

The timing was terrible. Morikawa was only two off the lead and had every chance of winning.

“It sucks because this is a tournament I love. I’ve played well and put myself in contention,” he said later having been forced to withdraw.

But a year on, Morikawa is in the kind of form to pull off a redemption story.

The double major champion has finished fourth in his last two starts - the first in the PGA Championship at Valhalla and the second in the Charles Schwab Challenge at Colonial.

They built on a fine run of form that started with third place in The Masters.

Morikawa loves Jack Nicklaus courses as they play to the strength of his game - elite iron play.

He’s won on three different Nicklaus tracks and that includes a victory on this one when it staged the 2020 Workday Charity Open. 

Also second at the 2021 Memorial, Morikawa’s recent Strokes Gained: Approach and Off The Tee numbers all point to another big challenge this week. 

Back the Californian for the ‘W’ at 14/1 with bet365.

Finau to Beat Kim

We continued our streak of 72-hole match bet winners in Canada last week as Aaron Rai (14th) beat Akshay Bhatia (60th) by nine shots in a -110 pick ‘em.

This week the bet is Tony Finau to outscore Si-Woo Kim.

Finau is a strong and consistent performer at Muirfield Village. He has four finishes of 13th or better, two of those top eights, and has cashed in six of his seven visits.

In addition, he’s finding a groove again after three top 20s in his last four starts since posting a second place in the Houston Open.

Kim has a similarly impressive course record and recorded his best finish of fourth last year.

But the Korean has looked shaky in recent starts after a consistent run, missing the cut in the PGA at Valhalla and settling for 56th at Colonial last time.

Finau’s long game looks the stronger so back him in this 72-holer at -110 with bet365.        

Bradley to Bank Top 10

No-one is driving it better than Keegan Bradley at the moment, the former PGA winner ranking 1st for SG: Off The Tee in his last two events.

That elite ball-striking has helped him finish 18th in the PGA Championship and runner-up at the Charles Schwab Challenge.

It will serve him well here too and he looks in the sort of form to record a third top 10 at Jack’s place. 

In a field of just 70 or so, Bradley is a value bet at +333 in BetMGM's Top 10 market.

How to Watch The Memorial Tournament

  • Tournament: The Memorial Tournament

  • Location: Muirfield Village, Dublin, OH

  • Date: Thursday, June 6 - Sunday, June 9

  • How to Watch: Thursday-Friday 2 p.m.-6 p.m. ET (Golf Channel), Saturday-Sunday 12.30 p.m.-2.30 p.m. (Golf Channel), 2.30 p.m.-6 p.m. (CBS). And all four days on Sky Sports.

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Dave Tindall WSN Contributors

Dave Tindall

Golf Betting Analyst

Expertise:
Golf
Betting Picks
Dave Tindall is former golf editor at SkySports.com and Golf365.com and has been writing betting previews for the PGA Tour and European Tour since 1997. He has also written for a range of betting companies, including William Hill and Betfair, as well as being a regular columnist for Rotoworld, The Guardian, Sporting Life and Planet Sport. His other area of speciality is football while he's also covered cricket and tennis.
Email: [email protected]
Nationality: British
Education: Bachelor of Arts (Psychology and Media)
Favourite Sportsbook: bet365 Sportsbook
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Experience: 25 years
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