The Memorial Tournament Predictions, Picks & Betting Odds

Memorial Tournament

  • As always, the great Jack Nicklaus hosts
  • Changes to Muirfield Village unveiled following a huge renovation project
  • Jon Rahm defends after a stunning win in July last year

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The Memorial Tournament Odds

Player Odds
Jon Rahm +1100
Bryson DeChambeau +1600
Jordan Spieth +1600
Justin Thomas +1600
Rory McIlroy +1600
Collin Morikawa +1800
Viktor Hovland +1800
Xander Schauffele +2000
Hideki Matsuyama +2200
Patrick Cantlay +2200

Odds from BetMGM. Get up to a $600 sign-up bonus at BetMGM today or check out more offers and promo codes for the best online sportsbooks.

The Memorial Tournament Picks

Russell Henley is the outright pick at +6700 with William Hill

Charley Hoffman can land another top 10 at +350 with DraftKings Sportsbook

Back Marc Leishman to beat Stewart Cink in their matchbet at -113 with DraftKings Sportsbook

How to Watch The Memorial Tournament

The Memorial Tournament Information
Tournament The Memorial Tournament
Location Muirfield Village Golf Club, Dublin, Ohio
Time Thursday, June 3 – Sunday, June 6
How to watch Thursday & Friday 3pm ET (Golf Channel), Saturday & Sunday 12.30pm & 11pm ET (Golf Channel). And all four days on Sky Sports.

The Memorial Tournament Profile

Jack Nicklaus first discussed his dreams about hosting his own tournament on the PGA Tour in 1966, but it took him ten years to get everything in place.

Muirfield Village Golf Club in his home state of Ohio – a course he designed – was the first piece in the puzzle.

Next came the creation of the tournament, which was first won in 1976 by Roger Maltbie, now an on-course commentator, whilst Nicklaus himself triumphed in 1977 and then again seven years later.

In time, technology, and the increased strength of the players, have required Nicklaus to alter his original test and it was a process he was never shy about – he has said time and time again that it was a necessary evolution.

But between this event last summer (it was delayed until July following the Covid lockdown) and this week, there have been changes that are less tinkering and more overhaul.

Nearly half the tee boxes have been moved backwards, the fairways have been transformed, the bunkers rebuilt, the green resurfaced and remoulded.

It’s Muirfield Village, but not as we know it. What impact will that have on the tournament itself? That’s the big question of the week.

On the one hand we know that Nicklaus always insists on there being width from the tee, a genuine test on approach shots, and wickedly fast putting surfaces. That seems bound to remain a constant.

But what of course form? Justin Rose, for example, is a seven-time top 10 finisher – will he recognise a familiar test or will he have to reboot entirely?

It makes for a fascinating prospect, one which will test the players in a way vaguely familiar of when the Masters was held in November last year.

Suddenly, the experienced players found themselves playing to spots that were not valid in softer conditions, others found themselves hitting along lines that didn’t respond as they had in the past – there’s a good chance we will get more of the same this week.

Defending champion Jon Rahm leads the betting on +1100, but it’s tight at the top with no less than 11 players priced +2500 or below by BetMGM.

Henley Can Bear the Test

As mentioned above, the leading contenders are absolutely cramped this week and I’m happy to give them a swerve in the outright market, especially given the uncertainty over how the course will play.

Instead, my attention is drawn to a man whose Strokes Gained Approach stats were never very consistent in the early years of his PGA Tour career. Indeed, when ranking 71st for the 2017 season, he smashed his previous best.

But he improved in both the next two campaigns and has since then really hit the heights, ending 2020 in third and he is currently seventh in the 2020/21 season.

With that improvement in his work from the fairways has come real headway on Nicklaus tracks.

He was tied eighth at PGA National last March, tied seventh at Muirfield Village in the Workday Charity Open in June, tied fourth at Sherwood in October’s Zozo Championship, tied third back at PGA National, and tied ninth at Harbour Town in The Heritage in April.

He’s also been tied sixth in this event (in 2013) and a winner at PGA National.

Nicklaus courses examine approach play and with his improvements in that aspect of his game, Henley has become a regular contender.

He’s the standout each-way value option in the outright market at +6700, especially with William Hill paying eight places.

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Keep it Simple with The Hoff

Nothing complicated about the top 20 punt this week.

It’s a simple case of following a man in form. In his last 10 starts Charley Hoffman has landed eight top 20 finishes – he’s also on a run of 6-for-6.

Even from his last 25 starts he’s got 12 top 20s, which is close to half the time he hits the course. And yet we can back him to land yet another at +350 with DraftKings Sportsbook.

We landed a top 10 punt on Jordan Spieth last week using a similar argument – snap this one up as well.

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Leish Can Cink Stewart

I count myself as a big fan of the 2020/21 renaissance of Stewart Cink’s career.

The popular veteran captured the Safeway Open back in September and then added a superb second triumph in The Heritage in April. But there is no room for sentiment in the punting game and we can take him on with a match-up at DraftKings Sportsbook because the facts are stark.

Since the start of 2018 Leishman leads their head-to-head count 24-8, from the start of 2019 the advantage is 15-3, from the start of 2020 it is 9-2, and this year it is 5-1.

It is undeniably true that at Muirfield Village Cink leads 6-5, but he also won the first five.

Since 2014 Leishman is 5-1 clear.

Cink has proved he still has good weeks in him, but Leishman is the numbers call at -114 with DraftKings Sportsbook.

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Matt Cooper

Expert on Golf

Matt Cooper has been a sports journalist since 2009 with his work appearing at ESPN, Sky Sports, NBC, Sporting Life and the Planet Sport Network among many others, in addition to guest appearances on the BBC and CNN. Although a specialist in golf, who has traveled the world to cover the sport, Matt has also covered rugby, cricket, football and the Olympics. Email: [email protected]