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Two weeks on from the PGA Championship and two weeks ahead of the US Open, we have another gathering of golf’s elite, this time in Ohio.
The Memorial Tournament has been given ‘designated’ status this season and a subsequent $20m purse.
That said, it’s always been one of the Tour’s more prestigious stops, with players keen to pay homage to 18-time Major winner Nicklaus. Host venue Memorial Village - the name inspired by the Scottish course where the Golden Bear won the first of his three Opens - was first used on the PGA Tour in 1976.
Typical of Nicklaus designs, it offers room off the tee but puts great emphasis on hitting quality iron shots.
The stats back that up with Strokes Gained: Approach is always a key metric. Two years ago, the first five finishers all ranked in the top nine for that category.
Five of the last nine editions have gone to playoffs so be ready to strap in for a long afternoon.
Year | Champion and the Winning Score |
2022 | Billy Horschel (US) -13 |
2021 | Patrick Cantlay (US) -13 - playoff |
2020 | Jon Rahm (Spain) -9 |
2019 | Patrick Cantlay (US) -19 |
2018 | Bryson DeChambeau (US) -15 - playoff |
2017 | Jason Dufner (US) -13 |
2016 | William McGirt (US) -15 - playoff |
2015 | David Lingmerth (Sweden) -15 - playoff |
2014 | Hideki Matsuyama (Japan) -13 - playoff |
2013 | Matt Kuchar (US) -12 |
Scheffler’s high-class consistency goes on and on. A third place at Colonial last week means he hasn’t finished outside the top 12 in 12 strokeplay starts in 2023. The 2022 Masters winner was 22nd on his Memorial debut in 2020 and took third place in 2021. He didn’t play last year.
Rahm hoisted the silverware here in 2020 when, in tough conditions, his 9-under total was good enough for a three-shot win. But equally memorable is his agony 12 months later. Rahm was six clear after 54 holes but then was informed of a positive Covid test and had to withdraw. The Masters winner was runner-up in Mexico two starts ago but could only manage 50th at the PGA Championship.
Cantlay was the beneficiary of Rahm’s misfortune in 2021 but that was actually his second Memorial win. In fact, make Cantlay this week’s course horse. He has two wins (2019 and 2021), a third (2022) and a fourth (2018). His current form isn’t too far behind: six top 10s and three other top 25s in his last seven starts.
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As noted, Scottie Scheffler never has a bad week and, after some recent near misses, this looks like the stage for him to rack up his third win of 2023.
In the last three weeks, the six-time PGA Tour winner has finished fifth at the Byron Nelson, runner-up in the PGA Championship, and third at the Charles Schwab Challenge.
What’s stopped him from turning those high finishes into wins? One word: putting.
The good news for Scheffler here though is that several past Memorial champions haven’t put a reliance on the flatstick.
Jason Dufner only ranked 61st in Strokes Gained: Putting when winning by three in 2017 while the first two home in 2020 - Jon Rahm and Ryan Palmer - ranked 27th and 35th respectively for SGP.
Scheffler’s recent SG: Tee To Green stats are spectacular. He’s gained over 15 strokes in that category in both his last two events, ranking 1st each time.
No one can match that so if the putter comes along for the ride he can build on his third place from two years ago and win an event that will be high on his list.
Rickie Fowler is something of a stud at Muirfield Village: a two-time runner-up with four other top 15s in his last six appearances.
He’s worth a look in the ‘win’ market but I’ll take him instead to beat Wyndham Clark in a 72-hole match.
As well as all that strong course form, Fowler has been a beacon of high-level consistency in recent months after getting back together with coach Butch Harmon.
Since the end of January, he’s made the top 20 in nine of his 11 starts and last week showed off a brilliant short game (1st SG: Around The Greens) to finish sixth at Colonial.
Clark has had a fine season too of course and took victory at the Wells Fargo Championship in early May.
But Clark missed the cut at the PGA in his only start since that win and has a poor course form of 37-MC-MC at Muirfield Village.
Fowler gets the vote at -133 at bet365.
Sahith Theegala made his mark on last year’s Memorial Tournament, twice shooting 68s on the way to a fifth-place finish.
That added to a fourth at the Korn Ferry’s Nationwide Children Hospital Championship on his previous trip to Ohio.
Fourth at Torrey Pines, sixth at Riviera, ninth at Augusta National, and fifth at Hilton Head, Theegala has a bunch of good form this season.
He hit his irons well in the PGA Championship at Oak Hill and looks a good bet here at +350 with BetMGM to secure a fifth top 10 in his last 11 individual strokeplay starts.
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Dave Tindall is former golf editor at SkySports.com and Golf365.com and has been writing betting previews for the PGA Tour and European Tour since 1997. He has also written for a range of betting companies, including William Hill and Betfair, as well as being a regular columnist for Rotoworld, The Guardian, Sporting Life and Planet Sport. His other area of speciality is football while he's also covered cricket and tennis.
Email: [email protected]
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