Image for Matt Cooper Matt Cooper - October 14, 2022

The Mexico Open at Vidanta Predictions, Picks, Odds

  • New tournament (with a long history) for the PGA Tour schedule
  • It’s a huge week for the Mexican stars Abraham Ancer and Carlos Ortiz
  • A Greg Norman test awaits the field with Jon Rahm the clear favorite

2022 Mexico Open at Vidanta Odds

Player Odds 
Jon Rahm +450
Abraham Ancer +1600
Tony Finau +2000
Aaron Wise +2200
Gary Woodland +2200
Cameron Tringale +2800
Kevin Na +2800
Patrick Reed +2800
Chris Kirk +3300
Sebastian Munoz +3300

The Mexico Open at Vidanta Picks

Carlos Ortiz each way is the outright pick at +5000 with Caesars Sportsbook

Austin Smotherman +11000 win and +800 top 10 with DraftKings

Aaron Wise to beat Chris Kirk at -110 with bet365

Play Fantasy Sports Here!

SI Sportsbook


Bet $20 Win $200

21+ CO, VA, MI Only | Terms and conditions apply

Mexico Open 2022

The Mexico Open at Vidanta Profile

It’s a new event for the PGA Tour this week, but the tournament has a long history.

The Mexico Open was first played in 1944 and it attracted some big names in the early years.

In fact, the great Argentinian golfer Roberto Di Vicenzo won it three times and finished second on another five occasions.

Bobby Locke, Lee Trevino, David Graham, Billy Casper, and, more recently, Stewart Cink were also winners.

In the 21st century, the tournament became co-sanctioned with first the European Challenge Tour and then the Korn Ferry Tour, now it takes a big step up in prestige with its arrival on the greatest stage of them all.

The course is also a new one to both the event and the tour – the Greg Norman-designed Signature Course at Vidanta Vallarta.

It’s a resort design with plenty of water and bunker hazards, Paspalum grass on the greens, and playing to a par of 71 at a yardage of 7,456.

The circuit has been a regular visitor to Mexico, firstly for the Mayakoba Classic, and then also for the WGC Mexico Championship.

But this new venture will be a particularly proud week for Abraham Ancer and Carlos Ortiz. Victory in their national championship would be a huge achievement and a massive story.

Ancer claimed his first win on the PGA Tour last year in the WGC St Jude Invitational and has not finished outside the top 15 in his last four visits back home.

Oritz beat Ancer to the first top-tier win, claiming the Houston Open in 2020, and he has an even better record at home.

He won the Mexico Championship on the second tier in 2014 and has been top 20 in each of his last four starts, including a pair of runner-up finishes in the Mayakoba Classic.

Ortiz Can Rise Again at Home

When Jon Rahm was asked what he thought about this week’s course he dropped something of a hint about which local might have something of an advantage.

I haven’t had the chance yet to speak to Carlos or the Ortiz family, he said.

Why does that matter? Well, Ortiz is not only playing on home soil this week. He’s also actually backed by the tournament sponsor and he has played the course plenty of times too.

Now, it’s often the case that one player has more knowledge of a track than the rest of the field, but there is more than just that to the suggestion that Ortiz is worth backing this week.

The first is a simple comparison with Ancer: both have one win at this level, both are excellent at home, but Ortiz is more than twice the price of his compatriot.

The second is that, despite that superb record in Mexico, his poor current form has inflated his price.

But he regularly returns home owning poor form and it is yet to stop him from stepping up to the plate.

Take advantage of the +5000 each way with Caesars Sportsbook which offers eight places.

Smotherman a Sneaky Good Option

Austin Smotherman is a rookie this year on the PGA Tour, but he has impressed on more than one occasion, and this week gifts him arguably his best opportunity of the season so far to grab a win.

His form in Mexico? He’s made four starts and all of them reaped top 30s.

But dig deeper.

On his first start, he had the first-round lead (finishing T30th). He then finished first and third, before adding T29th last time out.

What about his form on Greg Norman designs?

In 2020 he won at The Grove in Tennessee and was top two through 54 holes at TPC San Antonio’s Oaks through 54 holes before finishing fourth, both on the Korn Ferry Tour.

Then he made the cut back at the Oaks earlier this month, his fifth cut made in his last seven starts.

The Californian was at college with Bryson DeChambeau and cult figure Harry Higgs. This week might be when he steps from out of their shadows.

Back him at +11000 to win and +800 to make the top 10 with DraftKings.

The Wise Choice

I’m not sure Bet365 has got it right in matching up Chris Kirk and Aaron Wise this week.

Since the start of 2020 Wise leads the head-to-head count by 18 to 13.

In their last 15 starts? Wise leads 10-5.

And the last 10 starts? Wise is clear 7-3.

At El Camaleon Wise leads 3-2.

That latter count is fuelled by Wise having three top 15 finishes there in his last four starts. In fact, he loves the place and has ended seven of his last eight laps there lying in the top 10.

Kirk’s no fool on the track, having made the cut in all five of his appearances, but he’s only once made the top 30. Take Wise at -110 with bet365.

Play Fantasy Sports Here!

Logo #1



Bet $100 get a $100 FREE BET

21+ | T&Cs apply

Logo #2



$500 Free Bet

21+ | VA only | Gambling problem? Call 1-800-532-3500

How to Watch the Mexico Open at Vidanta

2022 Mexico Open Information
Tournament The Mexico Open at Vidanta
Location Greg Norman Course, Vidanta Vallarta, Vallarta, Mexico
Time Thursday, April 28 – Sunday, May 1
How to watch Thursday & Friday 3.30pm to 6.30pm ET (Golf Channel), Saturday & Sunday 1pm to 3pm ET (Golf Channel) then 3pm to 6pm (CBS). And all four days on Sky Sports.
Image for Matt Cooper


Matt Cooper

69 Articles

Matt Cooper has been a sports journalist since 2009 with his work appearing at ESPN, Sky Sports, NBC, Sporting Life and the Planet Sport Network among many others, in addition to guest appearances on the BBC and CNN. Although a specialist in golf, who has traveled the world to cover the sport, Matt has also covered rugby, cricket, football and the Olympics. Email: [email protected]

More info on Matt Cooper
We've been featured on:
espn logo
reuters logo
cbs-news logo
forbes logo
entrepreneur logo
entrepreneur logo
We only list licensed sportsbooks

© Rebel Penguin ApS 2023 (a subsidiary of Gaming Innovation Group Inc.)

We support responsible gambling. If you feel like you're losing control over your gambling experience, call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ, PA, WV), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-522-4700 (NV), 1-800-522-4700 (CO, TN), 1-855-2CALLGA (IL), 1-800-270-7117 (MI). is registered with the New Jersey Division of Gaming Enforcement (DGE) under affiliate vendor ID 89744, with the Indiana Gaming Commission (IGC) under certificate of registration number SWR-000148, approved by the Pennsylvania Gaming Control Board as a gaming service provider, under certificate registration number 117656-1, possesses a Vendor Minor sports betting license from the Colorado Limited Gaming Control Commission (account number 94414163), granted a vendor registration number VR007603-20-001 by the Michigan Gaming Control Board, an interim Sports Wagering Supplier license, under license number SWS 066, issued by the West Virginia Lottery Commission, a sports betting vendor registration, under registration number #100400, issued by the Director of Gaming Licensing and Investigations of the Virginia Lottery to operate in the State of Virginia, and a Vendor Registration issued by the Sports Wagering Committee of the Tennessee Education Lottery Corporation.

Advertising disclosure: WSN contains links to online retailers on its website. When people click on our affiliate links and make purchases, WSN earns a commission from our partners, including ESPN and various sportsbooks.