Open de France Predictions: Patrick Reed Is in the Chase for World Ranking Points

• The DP World Tour moves from Italy to France
• Host course, Le Golf National, staged the 2018 Ryder Cup
• American Patrick Reed is the betting favorite

Open de France Odds

The odds for this tournament are provided by Caesars Sportsbook. Click on the odds below to head to Caesars Sportsbook and place a bet.

Open de France Our Picks

Patrick Reed is in the chase for world ranking points and, after a top five at Wentworth, can make his class tell again. Back him for the win at +1400 with Caesars Sportsbook.

Local man Antoine Rozner has a good record on local French soil. He has current form too and can beat Tyrrell Hatton in a 72-hole match bet at -120 with bet365.

Jorge Campillo is riding a hot short game and can flourish again on a course where he’s had past success. Back the Spaniard to land a top 20 at +230 with bet365.

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Some tournaments managed to escape the Covid pandemic but not the Open de France.

This prestigious event was canceled not once but twice and it means this is the first edition since 2019 when Nicolas Colsaerts shot 12-under to edge out JB Hansen by a shot.

US golf fans will know it best for hosting the 2018 Ryder Cup although it made unhappy viewing as Europe blasted Jim Furyk’s side 17.5-11.5.

In the build-up to that event, only Justin Thomas had bothered to play that summer’s Open de France and he ended up as top scorer for the US.

Another high-profile American goes for glory this week: the very thick-skinned Patrick Reed.

LIV players are still allowed to take part in DP World Tour events and several made it over to the BMW PGA Championship at Wentworth earlier this month.

It’s fair to say they were made to feel unwelcome by some of the top players and members of the gallery too but Reed shrugged all that off to finish fifth. To add a further twist, Reed then popped back to the LIV event in Chicago and claimed his log-in credentials for the DP World Tour website haven’t worked for a fortnight after apparently being okay a month ago!

Still, Reed is in Paris and finds himself at the front of the betting.

As noted in 2018, this is no bomb-and-gouge track and stats tend to show that accuracy is slightly more important than length.

But approach play is key while plenty of past winners have also scrambled well.

Colsaerts was seventh for Strokes Gained: Approach (3rd for Greens In Regulation) when winning in 2019 and four of the week’s top five scramblers finished tied fifth or better.

Looking at history, 10 of the past 16 winners were from Continental Europe and three of those were French.

Reed Can Make Trip Count

So why is Reed in Paris? Just to ruffle feathers?

No, the 2018 Masters winner heads back to Europe in a bid to gain World Ranking points, something he isn’t currently getting at LIV whose events still don’t count.

Reed currently sits at No.50 so right on the number in terms of getting into all the big events.

Fifth place at Wentworth and more good play at the LIV event in Chicago show his game is in good nick and he was 12th and 13th for Scrambling in those two tournaments.

Wizardry around the greens is one of his big strengths and therefore Le Golf National should be a good fit.

On first glance, managing just one point out of three in the Ryder Cup there in 2018 slightly negates that idea.

But his two losses came in tandem with an out-of-sorts Tiger Woods in the fourballs and he was one of just four Americans to rack up a singles win. Reed beat Tyrrell Hatton 3&2.

Reed shushed the crowd after winning that match which drew some criticism given that the match was over but that only acts as fuel if anyone reminds him.

This isn’t the strongest field so back Reed for the win at +1400 with Caesars Sportsbook.

Rozner Can Outscore Hojgaard

It’s a surprise that Antoine Rozer and Rasmus Hojgaard have yet to tee it up in this event until we remember the double Covid cancelation.

Rozner was still playing Challenge Tour golf the last time this was staged in 2019 but since then he’s really flown up the rankings.

Of course, so has Hojgaard and there’s always a risk in taking on such a prodigious talent.

But Hojgaard has missed four cuts out of four on French soil and, despite driving it well, his approach play and work around the greens in Italy last week were fairly poor (he lost strokes in both departments).

Rozner, by contrast, has a strong record when playing in front of his home French crowds. He’s twice a runner-up on the Alps Tour there and his two latest Challenge Tour events in France resulted in 9th and 13th.

He’ll head to Le Golf National in good form after a run of 16-50-4-13 and he was 1st for SG: Tee To Green in the first two of those – the European Masters and the Czech Masters.

Given their good record in the event, I’m keen to get a French player onside and this looks a good way to do it. Back Rozner at -120 with bet365 to win their 72-hole match.

Take Campillo for a Top 20

Jorge Campillo has three top 20s in his last six appearances here and that includes tied eighth last time.

The Spaniard’s short game looks in great shape and that helped him to ninth spot in last week’s Italian Open.

Two starts earlier he was fourth in the European Masters so everything looks in place for him to do well again on a course that suits.

Back Campillo for the Top 20 at +230 with bet365.

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