The Genesis Invitational 2026 Predictions: Make it McIlroy

• The tournament returns to its usual home of Riviera Country Club

• Torrey Pines stood in last year due to the fires in LA

• The field of just 72 is led by World No.1 Scottie Scheffler

The Genesis Invitational 2026 Odds

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The Genesis Invitational 2026 Predictions

• Rory McIlroy to win at +1200 with BetMGM

• Harris English to beat Rickie Fowler over 72 holes at -110 with bet365

• Tony Finau for Top 10 at +800 with BetMGM

The Genesis Invitational 2026 Intro

The Signature Series events are coming thick and fast and this season’s West Coast Swing concludes with another - The Genesis Invitational in Los Angeles.

It means another chance to see Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy in action and perhaps this is the week where they go head to head down the stretch.

Other world-class talents, including last week’s Pebble Beach winner Collin Morikawa, will have plenty to say about that.

Last year, due to the wildfires in Southern California, this event was switched to Torrey Pines where Ludvig Aberg took the title.

This week we’re back at the tournament’s traditional home - Riviera Country Club.

It’s one of the premier stops on the PGA TOUR and the par 71 has witnessed some thrilling finishes down the years.

Just 72 tee it up in Pacific Palisades although, unlike last week, there is a cut with the top 50 and ties or anyone within 10 of the lead playing the weekend.

Tiger Woods is the tournament host although there’s still no sign of him returning to action as a player.    

Last 5 Winners of the Genesis Invitational

Course Notes

• Opened in 1926, Riviera Country Club is a par 71 and measures 7,322 yards

• It features large poa annua putting surfaces

• The course, unusually for the United States, features kikuyu fairways and rough

• The 18-hole record of 61 was set in the previous century 

• Lanny Wadkins holds the 72-hole record of 264  

Favorites to Win the Genesis Invitational

Scottie Scheffler (+300) at bet365

Welcome to Scottie Scheffler’s new game on the PGA TOUR. To keep things interesting, he starts round two 10 shots off the lead and then races through the field to see if he can get his nose in front on the line. That’s been the scenario the last two weeks when the World No.1 started poorly but still managed to launch a Friday charge that resulted in third in Phoenix and fourth at Pebble. Previously, he’d opened with a 63 and won The American Express. At Riviera, Scheffler has form of 10-12-7-20 the last four years.

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Rory McIlroy (+1200) at bet365

McIlroy has made it a mission to post a win at all the great courses on the PGA TOUR schedule and Riviera still isn’t in his collection. So far he has bests of fourth (2019) and fifth (2020), while six of his eight appearances have resulted in top 25s. McIlroy could only manage 14th at Pebble on his first PGA TOUR start of the season but a closing 64 and ranking of 2nd for SG: Approach suggested his game is rounding into shape for a title bid.

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Tommy Fleetwood (+1800) at bet365

Fleetwood also made his 2026 PGA TOUR debut last week and the signs were extremely encouraging. The Englishman improved his position each day, shot all four rounds in the 60s and closed with a 66 to finish in a tie for fourth - his best Pebble result. Fleetwood, who was 3rd for SG Tee To Green last week, seems to be cracking the code at Riviera. He was 37th on debut, 28th on his second visit, 20th on his third and 10th the last time it staged this event in 2024.

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Rory to Rack Up First ‘W’ of 2026 

All the top three in the betting must have a superb chance this week and there’s certainly some juice in the each-way price of Tommy Fleetwood.

But Rory McIlroy certainly appeals as a win only bet at +1200 with BetMGM.

That’s four times the price of Scheffler and the gap probably shouldn’t be so wide given that Rory’s best is so often good enough to win.

McIlroy should also be a little fresher and another factor in his favour could be the wet conditions.

He excels on softer courses whereas Scheffler is perhaps better on firmer surfaces when his control is rewarded more.

This has been a superb event for Masters winners (this applies to Scheffler too of course) which again is a nod to current Green Jacket holder McIlroy.

Six of the last 10 winners at Riviera had triumphed at Augusta so it’s a venue where the cream definitely rises to the top.

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English to Beat Fowler

We’re 2-for-2 in 72 hole match bets this season but have had to park those selections in recent weeks due to tournaments being played on different courses and prices not emerging until close to tee-off. 

That said, we landed a nice each-way bet in this slot last week with Sepp Straka tipped in the market without Scheffler, McIlroy and Fleetwood at +3700.

The Austrian finished second behind winner Collin Morikawa.

For a match bet at Riviera, I’ll take Harris English to beat Rickie Fowler in a -110 pick ‘em at bet365.

Both Americans are playing nicely this season. Fowler has form of 18-18-19 while English hasn’t finished worse than 28th in four starts.

But English looks a better course fit. 

He’s finished seventh (2024) and 12th (2023) in the last two editions at Riviera while Fowler has never managed better than 20th in eight tries. 

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Finau for Top 10

It’s now winners at +500, +450 and +400 in the last three weeks in the Top 10 market thanks to Jake Knapp (twice) and Shane Lowry.

So let’s try and continue the streak by backing Tony Finau for a Top 10 at a hefty +800 with BetMGM.

He’s a two-time runner-up at Riviera and in his last three starts Finau has posted 11th at Torrey Pines and 18th at Pebble so he’s flashing some good form again.

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How to Watch the Genesis Invitational 2026

• Tournament: The Genesis Invitational

• Location: Pacific Palisades, CA

• Date: Thursday, February 19 - Sunday, February 22

• How to Watch: Thursday-Friday 4 p.m.-8 p.m. ET (Golf Channel), Saturday 1 p.m.-3 p.m. (Golf Channel), 3 p.m.-7 p.m. (CBS), Sunday 1 p.m.-3 p.m. (Golf Channel), 3 p.m.-6.30 p.m. (CBS), and all four days on Sky Sports