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Porsche European Open Predictions, Picks, Best Bets

Written by: Dave Tindall
Updated October 14, 2022
12 min read
  • The DP World Tour moves from the Netherlands to Germany
  • Green Eagle Golf Club, a parkland track near Hamburg, plays host
  • The course is over 7,600 yards and has five par 5s and five par 3s

Porsche European Open Odds

The odds for this tournament are provided by Caesars Sportsbook. Click on the odds below to head to Caesars Sportsbook and place a bet.

Player Odds
Tommy Fleetwood +1200
Adrian Meronk +2000
Robert MacIntyre +2200
Jordan Smith +2200
Rasmus Hojgaard +2500
Adri Arnaus +3000
Victor Perez +3000
Mikko Korhonen +3500
Pablo Larrazabal +3500
Matt Wallace +3500
Romain Langasque +4000

Porsche European Open Picks

Tommy Fleetwood has been showing some impressive form in America and looks ready to land a trophy again. Back him for the win at +1200 with Caesars Sportsbook.

Fuelled by strong GIR numbers, Rasmus Hojgaard is in good shape and can beat currently inconsistent Robert MacIntyre in a 72-hole match at +100 with bet365.

Richie Ramsay has played well at Green Eagle in the past and returns in impressive form. Back the Scot for a top 20 at +300 with DraftKings Sportsbook.

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Porsche European Open Tommy Fleetwood

Porsche European Open Predictions

The first thing to notice when researching the Porsche European Open is the card of the course at Green Eagle GC.

It measures in at a lengthy 7,603 yards and features the unusual configuration of five par 3s and five par 5s.

Even more atypical is that the final five holes comprise both, apart from 14-18 reading: 3-5-5-3-5.

Just to add to the ‘fun’, the two closing par fives at 16 and 18 measure 705 yards and 603 yards respectively.

Those are just numbers of course so what is the reality?

Green Eagle GC is staging this event for the fifth time. The winning scores from 2017-2021 were -13, -11, -14 and -8.

That alludes to a tough test and only 24 players broke par for the week 12 months ago.

As well as the length – it can be stretched to 7,800 if tees are pushed back – the course is flat and, thankfully, has fairly wide fairways.

But water is in play an awful lot so accuracy is far from unimportant.

Greens in regulation looks the best predictor and two of the runners-up last year ranked 1st and 2nd in that category. In 2019, winner Paul Casey was 2nd for GIR and second-placed Robert MacIntyre 3rd.

As for the weather, it’s fairly mild but breezy on day one and the weekend. There’s a chance of t-storms in Friday’s second round.

Back Fleetwood For the Win

A look at past winners of the event at Green Eagle – Marcus Armitage (2021), Casey (2019), Richard McEvoy (2018) and Jordan Smith (2017) – throws up a slight surprise. All four are English.

Whether there’s something in that is hard to say but it doesn’t exactly put me off backing another Englishman this week in Tommy Fleetwood.

Fleetwood is playing the event for the first time but he returns to Europe after some impressive displays in the United States.

He was 20th at Bay Hill, 22nd at The Players, 14th at the Masters, 10th at Hilton Head and fifth at the PGA Championship two starts ago.

Hopefully, the drop in class will allow Fleetwood to flourish further.

In his last 21 starts in regular European Tour events, he has a win, four-second places and three other top 10s so history says he should be ultra-competitive here – especially in his current form.

Fleetwood ranked 3rd for Greens in Regulation in the PGA at Southern Hills and 7th at Augusta National and he’s been putting nicely too.

It’s high time a player of his ability was winning again and with a modest field in opposition, this offers a great chance.

Back Fleetwood for the win at +1200 with Caesars Sportsbook.

Hopefully, we’ll have more luck than last week when +2500 pick Ryan Fox double-bogeyed the par-5 closer to drop into a playoff and then had Victor Perez hole a string of long-range putts to first stay alive and then beat him.

As far as bad beats go, that was an all-time contender!

Hojgaard Can Outscore MacIntyre

At least we landed the 72-hole match bet last week when Thomas Detry edged out Dean Burmester by a shot, both having missed the cut.

This week I’m going to take Danish star Rasmus Hojgaard to beat Robert MacIntyre.

Hojgaard’s GIR numbers are superb at the moment. He finished 1st in that category (75%) when 16th at the British Masters and was 6th for GIR (73.6%) at the Dutch Open last week where he took 10th place.

Add in a couple of top 20s on a recent jaunt to the PGA Tour and he’s in excellent form.

MacIntyre is simply making too many mistakes right now and that doesn’t bode well for this course with so much water around.

The left-hander shot 80-76 on the weekend at Southern Hills, fired a Saturday 76 at the British Masters and another 76 on day three at Augusta.

That inability to keep the bogeys and doubles away has translated into a run of results that show no top 20 in his last six starts.

The danger is that he was runner-up on this very course on his only appearance in 2019 but that came during a spell when he hadn’t shot higher than 72 in his six previous tournaments.

Hojgaard also has a second-place at this venue and although it came in a Nordic League event, that’s still a positive memory.

The Dane is the dog here but that doesn’t look right. Back Hojgaard to win this 72-hole match bet at +100 with bet365.

Take Ramsay for a Top 20

Richie Ramsay was eighth on his first start at Green Eagle and added another top 25 last year so, despite not being the biggest hitter, his accuracy and ability to hit greens serve him well at this venue.

He ranked 1st for Greens in Regulation at the Soudal Open two starts ago and was 6th for GIR at the British Masters prior to that when 15th.

With his short game in good nick too, the Scot looks to have a good opportunity to extend his good form this week.

Ramsay is +300 for a top 20 with bet365 and that looks the right market to play him in.

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Porsche European Open Information

Porsche European Open
Tournament Porsche European Open
Location Green Eagle GC, Hamburg, Germany
Time Thursday, June 02 – Sunday, June 05
How to Watch Thursday-Friday 7am-12pm ET (Golf Channel), Saturday-Sunday 7am-11.30am (Golf Channel). All 4 days on Sky Sports
Image for Dave Tindall


Dave Tindall

104 Articles

Dave Tindall is former golf editor at SkySports.com and Golf365.com and has been writing betting previews for the PGA Tour and European Tour since 1997. He has also written for a range of betting companies, including William Hill and Betfair, as well as being a regular columnist for Rotoworld, The Guardian, Sporting Life and Planet Sport. His other area of speciality is football while he's also covered cricket and tennis.

Email: [email protected]

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