Getafe vs Atletico Madrid - Prediction, Betting Odds & Picks

  • Sevilla’s doggedness means Atletico is still not sure of a top-three finish this term
  • Getafe still has work to do to seal a Europa League spot after a slight wobble
  • Do not expect many goals at the Coliseum Alfonso Perez in the penultimate round of games

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What Getafe vs Atletico Madrid
Where Coliseum Alfonso Perez, Getafe, Spain
When Thursday, 16 July 2020, 3 PM EST
How to watch beIN SPORTS

On the face of it, soccer purists may turn their noses up at a meeting between Getafe and Atletico Madrid. These are two sides that favor a strong defense over a sizzling attack. The two managers, Jose Bordalas and Diego Simeone, regularly preach the importance of intensity, aggression and organisation. Compared to the rest of the top six, Getafe and Atletico’s goalscoring returns stand out as sub-par.

Yet the beauty of soccer is that, despite what some of its more sanctimonious participants might say, there is no right way to play it. The diversity of styles is what makes the game so fascinating to so many. “I play therefore I am,” the great Uruguayan journalist Eduardo Galeano once wrote. “A style of play is a way of being that reveals the unique profile of each community and affirms its right to be different. Tell me how you play and I’ll tell you who you are.”

Moreover, there is plenty to admire in the way both clubs go about their business. If a manager is judged on how much he gets out of the resources at his disposal, Bordalas and Simeone might just be the best in Spain. The latter has done a tremendous job since taking charge at Atletico in 2011, since when his club has joined the elite of European soccer by winning a La Liga title, reaching two Champions League finals, and consistently qualifying for the latter stages of the continent’s preeminent competition.

In his own way, Bordalas has been just as impressive. He won promotion to La Liga in his first season at the helm, before securing an eighth-place finish the following year. Getafe even managed to improve on that position in 2018/19, ending the campaign in the fifth spot and only just missing out on the Champions League. With two games to go, European qualification again looks likely.

Getafe vs Atletico Madrid Odds

First half total goals Odds
Over 0.5 -175
Under 0.5 +125

Odds taken from Draft Kings.

Atletico has scored only one more goal than 13th-placed Real Betis this season. Getafe has found the net on fewer occasions than both Betis and all but one of the teams currently in the top half of the table.

This is therefore unlikely to be a high-scoring affair, but the odds on under 2.5 goals are too short to make that a worthwhile selection. The best option is thus a goalless first half, which looks like a distinct possibility given Atletico and Getafe’s prioritization of defense over attack.

Atletico in Fine Form but Still Not Safe From Sevilla in Race for Third

Atletico is beginning to forget what defeat in La Liga feels like. More than five and a half months have now passed since Simeone’s side was last beaten in Spain’s top tier, with Real Madrid running out 1-0 winners against its city rival at the start of February. Of course, Atletico spent much of that time out of action due to the league’s three-month hiatus, but it is now 14 games unbeaten for the Colchoneros.

Atletico might have thought that such a run would have seen it open up an insurmountable lead over fourth-placed Sevilla, but that has not been the case. It has drawn six of those 14 matches, and Sevilla’s sequence of four successive successes has kept the pressure on Atletico.

The only difference between third and fourth place is symbolic since both positions now automatically qualify their occupiers for the Champions League group stage. But Atletico will not want to end a run that has seen it finish in the top three every campaign since 2011/12.

Getafe Is Winless in Four Games but Should Still Hold on to Top-Seven Spot

A top-seven finish looked almost certain for Getafe at the start of the month, but its failure to win any of its last four matches has thrown a spanner in the works. Bordalas’ charges have seen their lead over Athletic Club in eighth spot cut to just three points, although that is the same distance that separates it from Villarreal in fifth.

One more win will be enough for Getafe to qualify for the Europa League, but it may struggle to get it against Atletico. A trip to Levante on the final day looks straightforward on paper but Getafe’s European hopes remain in the balance for now.

Neither Team Will Come Flying Out of the Traps in This One

Atletico’s only goal in its 1-0 victory over Real Betis last time out came in the 74th minute. It has also beaten Real Valladolid and Levante by the same scoreline since the restart, and on both occasions, its goals came in the second half.

Each of Getafe’s last four games has been goalless at the interval, which suggests Bordalas likes to keep things tight in the opening 45 minutes. Both managers, you feel, would be happy with a clean sheet at the break.

Our Pick

Take the Under option here – neither Getafe nor Atletico will over-commit in attack in the first half of Thursday’s clash.

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Greg Lea

Expert on Soccer

Greg Lea is a freelance soccer journalist from London. He is the former editor of The Set Pieces, and has contributed to the Guardian, FourFourTwo, and ESPN. A Crystal Palace fan, he is a long-time subscriber to the belief that it's the taking part that counts. Email: [email protected]