Chivas vs Necaxa Prediction, Odds & Picks
- Necaxa’s attack has been far from satisfactory throughout the season
- They’ll have a couple of missing players, but Chivas’ frontline should still get the job done at home against Necaxa
- A quick look at their recent opponents leaves doubts over the impressive status of Necaxa’s latest winning streak
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Chivas vs Necaxa Odds
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Chivas vs Necaxa Predictions and Picks
Regardless of what the odds say, this match will be a surprisingly close one. Chivas will be missing a couple of key figures this weekend and Necaxa are on a surprisingly good run of form.
And yet, that probably won’t be enough for Necaxa to close the gap.
It’ll be a close game that could go either way, but in the end, it should be Chivas’ more talented roster that exit the Estadio Akron with a playoff win this Liga MX weekend.
Chivas for the victory (+100)
How to Watch Chivas vs Necaxa
|Chivas vs Necaxa Information|
|What||Chivas vs Necaxa|
|Where||Estadio Akron (Guadalajara, Mexico)|
|When||Saturday, November 21st at 10:00 PM ET|
|How to Watch||Telemundo|
Similar to Saturday’s other Liga MX playoff game between Santos Laguna and Pachuca, the following Chivas vs Necaxa match should be a tightly-contested affair.
Despite the fact that Chivas should have had a sizable advantage, what should make things close is the fact that the Guadalajara club will be missing crucial attacking players. Necaxa, who finished the regular season with five consecutive wins, should also not be taken lightly after once looking like one of the worst teams in Liga MX.
Unfortunately for Necaxa, they’ll need much more help than just momentum and their opponents having some absences. Although Necaxa will make things interesting, there are still more question marks regarding them than Chivas.
Necaxa’s Frontline Leaves Much To Be Desired
Even after sprinting through five wins in their last five games, Necaxa’s goalscoring tally at the end of the regular season was fairly average at best. With 16 goals in 17 games, only two other teams in Liga MX scored fewer goals this season than Necaxa.
And it’s not as if they have been unlucky with their finishing either.
With an xG (expected goals) tally of just 17.97, Necaxa have the third-worst xG rating in the league.
Chivas’ Depleted Attack Remains Superior To That of Necaxa’s
Due to injuries, Chivas will head into the weekend without striker Jose Juan Macias and winger Alexis Vega. Regularly involved in the starting XI, both of the young Mexicans have become part of a core group of players that have helped carry Chivas into the playoffs.
All that said, their absences shouldn’t spell doom for the Guadalajara club.
Winger Uriel Antuna, who has arguably been Chivas’ best players and one of the top players in the league this season, will be charging into the game with two goals and two assists in his last four Liga MX appearances. Elsewhere in the attack, Jesus Ricardo Angulo, Isaac Brizuela and Angel Zaldivar all have the capabilities to not only compensate for the absence of their teammates but also outplay and outscore anything that Necaxa throw at them.
Necaxa’s Latest Winning Streak Isn’t As Impressive As It Appears
Is Necaxa truly a dark horse in the playoffs?
Much has been made of their five-game winning streak, but let’s take a glance at who those wins were against. If we’re looking at the final regular-season standings, Necaxa claimed victories over #16 Atlas, #15 Tijuana, #17 Queretaro, #11 Toluca and #9 Pachuca. It’s also worth noting that Pachuca was missing a handful of players due to positive COVID-19 cases in their 1-0 loss to Necaxa.
Sure, they can only defeat what’s thrown in front of them in the schedule, but these wins don’t exactly say much about Necaxa other than that they can defeat weak squads.
Chivas, ranked at #8, is far superior to a few of those clubs that Necaxa faced. That’ll be a much sterner test for Necaxa and although they should get close, it’ll be Chivas who steal the win and a place in the next round of the playoffs.
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Freelance writer Cesar Hernandez is a specialist in all things American and Mexican soccer. He has written for ESPN FC, The Athletic, The Guardian, FourFourTwo, VICE Sports and several other publications. Along with writing and previous radio appearances on the BBC, talkSPORT and SiriusXM FC, Cesar is also a member of the Mexican Soccer Show podcast. Email: [email protected]