Leon vs Puebla Prediction, Odds & Picks
- Leon have had a long stretch of impressive performances at home
- Puebla’s unanticipated streak of lucky results should soon come to and end
- Luis Montes, Leon’s most important player, should be the difference-maker this weekend
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Leon vs Puebla Odds
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Leon vs Puebla Predictions and Picks
Following a recent 2-1 win for Puebla in the first Liga MX quarterfinal leg, Leon should be more than motivated to get a convincing result back home on Saturday night. Regardless of their initial battle on Wednesday — which included a goal for Puebla within the first minute — there’s no reason why Leon should continue to show more problems this weekend.
As arguably the top team in Mexico for the last two years, all signs point to Leon thriving in the 2nd quarterfinal leg.
Leon for the win (-239)
How to Watch Leon vs Puebla
|Leon vs Puebla Information|
|What||Leon vs Puebla|
|Where||Estadio Leon (Leon, Mexico)|
|When||Saturday, November 28th at 8:00 PM ET|
|How to Watch||TUDN|
It was a bit strange watching the first quarterfinal leg between Puebla and Leon earlier this week.
Leon, heading in as the heavy favorites and as the #1 seed in the playoffs, was stunned after losing 2-1. Up against the #12 seed, Leon struggled after an early setback that included two goals from Puebla within the first 37 minutes. After only scoring one of their own, Leon has now unexpectedly made their path to the semifinals more complicated.
That said, don’t expect Leon to have difficulties in two consecutive games.
If there’s one thing that the most impressive Liga MX side of the regular season has shown, it’s consistency to find wins and to immediately bounce back from any potential difficulties. It’s what has made them not only the top-performing Mexican team of not only this year but also 2019.
When Leon fails, they don’t do so for an extended period of time. And with a playoff spot on the line, there are a handful of reasons to believe that they’ll clinch a statement-making result when they bring the quarterfinal series back on their own turf.
Leon Have Been Absolutely Dominant At Home
Leon have only earned one loss in their last 24 games at home. Looking back even further to include all Liga MX matches on their own turf since the start of 2019, Leon have only stumbled to defeats in just two instances.
Simply put: Leon are nearly perfect when it comes to earning results at home.
They’re currently in the middle of a 13-game undefeated run when playing visiting sides and seem to be picking up momentum with each of those passing matches. That’s a kind of reliability that Puebla can only dream of…
Puebla’s Luck Is Set To Run Out
Fortuitous moments in soccer have always had a sizable significance in the beautiful game. Unlike other high-scoring sports in which irregularities tend to be pushed away, in soccer, one goal or mistake regularly alter results.
In recent weeks, Puebla have found themselves with a handful of those fortuitous moments. Despite the fact that they are one of the most statistically poor teams in Liga MX, two narrow 1-0 wins at the end of the regular season were enough to sneak them into the playoffs.
Since then, they’ve been lucky to win a penalty shoot-out in the wild card round and to see Leon score an own-goal in the first leg of the quarterfinal series. At some point soon, the soccer gods will stop being so kind to them.
As mentioned earlier, statistically speaking, Puebla have been abysmal for most of this season and has done a terrible job with not only chance creation but also with halting the attacking efforts of the opposition.
Puebla should be applauded for overperforming in the first leg, but over 180 minutes, there’s no reason why Leon shouldn’t score at least a few goals on them.
Luis Montes Should Be Set To Guide Leon To A Place In The Next Playoff Round
Few Liga MX players, if any, have been as vital or truly clutch for their respective teams as Luis Montes has been for Leon. As arguably the MVP of the 2020 Apertura tournament, the 34-year-old Mexican has been brilliant with his goalscoring, his distribution and his endless supply of energy that supports him in countless duels across the pitch.
Constantly stepping up for Leon when they’ve needed him most, it’s now Montes’ turn to once again to guide his side to a victory.
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Freelance writer Cesar Hernandez is a specialist in all things American and Mexican soccer. He has written for ESPN FC, The Athletic, The Guardian, FourFourTwo, VICE Sports and several other publications. Along with writing and previous radio appearances on the BBC, talkSPORT and SiriusXM FC, Cesar is also a member of the Mexican Soccer Show podcast. Email: [email protected]