Byron Buxton was once considered to be one of the league’s future stars, but injuries have limited his time on the field over his ten-year career. However, that appears to be changing in 2025, as the outfielder is on pace to have his best season and shatter his previous home run record.
Below, we’ll share why we love his chances to go deep, along with two other home run props we are locking in.
We’ll be using odds from Caesars Sportsbook for all three of our home run prop bets. If you’d like to give Caesars a try, use promo code WSNDYW to claim a “Bet $1, Double Your Winnings” offer.
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Don’t look now, but the 31-year-old is on pace to have the best season of his career. Injuries have prevented the star from playing in 100 games in eight of his ten MLB seasons. However, he has already played 62 in 2025 and is reminding us why we thought he’d be a perennial MVP candidate after his 2017 breakout season.
Buxton has posted the eleventh-best OPS in baseball (.905), largely due to his 17 home runs. That puts him on pace to hit more than 20 for just the second time in his career. Given that he’s gone deep five times over the last week, it doesn’t seem like he’s going to be slowing down anytime soon.
The other reason we love this home run prop is Seattle starter Emerson Hancock (3-3, 5.43 ERA, 1.43 WHIP). The 26-year-old has been filling in for the injured rotation but has failed to find any level of consistency. After seeming to be turning things around in June, he gave up nine runs and five home runs to the Cubs in his last start.
Given Buxton’s hot bat and Hancock’s vulnerability against the long ball, this is our favorite bet of the entire day.
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Bobby Witt Jr. has regressed a bit in 2025, especially when it comes to his power. He has just ten home runs and a .282 average, leading to a disappointing .823 OPS. However, he is set up for a big game against the Rays.
One big reason we like this bet is that we know Witt is far better than he has played. We saw him hit 30+ home runs in the two previous seasons, and still believe he will continue that streak this season. While he’s struggled at home this season, his history suggests that will soon change in a big way.
The other reason is Rays’ starter Shane Baz (7-3, 4.79 ERA, 1.33 WHIP). The 26-year-old has been erratic all season and has given up 11 home runs over his last ten starts (53.1 innings).
Witt has faced Baz just twice and managed to take him deep once.
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The three-time MVP has seen his average and stolen base totals drop off in 2025, but he still has the third-most home runs in baseball (27). He continues to benefit from hitting in a loaded Dodgers lineup, leading to more hittable pitches in at-bats. Combine that with the game being played in hitter-friendly Coors Field, and you can see why we love his chances to go deep again tonight.
Ohtani will be facing Rockies’ starter Austin Gomber (0-1, 8.38 ERA, 1.66\ WHIP) to begin tonight’s matchup. The 31-year-old missed the start of the season with an injury, but returned a couple of weeks ago. He looked solid in Arizona, but was hammered in his home debut. He allowed nine runs over 4 2/3 innings, thanks partly to three home runs.
Ohtani has faced Gomber 11 times and posted a .364 average with two home runs.
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