Best MLB Home Run Props Today: Taking A Visit to Vaughn Valley

There were a lot of fireworks ahead of the trade deadline yesterday, but the Brewers didn’t make a move. A big reason for that was their acquisition of Andrew Vaughn, who had been sent to the minors with the White Sox. The first baseman has completely turned his season around since joining Milwaukee, adding five home runs to a lineup lacking power.

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Below, we’ll share why we love Vaughn’s chances to add another long ball tonight, along with two other home run props bets we love. We’ll be using odds from Caesars Sportsbook for all three of our picks today. If you’d like to give Caesars a try, use promo code WSNDYW to claim a “Bet $1, Double Your Winnings” offer.

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Home Run Picks for Friday, August 1

Matt Olson Anytime Home Run (+200) at Caesars Sportsbook

The Braves slugger has seen his power numbers dip in July, but it's only a matter of time before he snaps out of it. We expect him to start that comeback tonight, especially with Brady Singer (8-8, 4.60 ERA, 1.33 WHIP).

Singer is capable of being elite, but he has struggled to miss bats in July. He’s coming off a strong start, but will be facing a Braves team he struggled against earlier this season. He lasted six innings, but was undone by a four-run third. A Matt Olson home run accounted for half that damage and marked his second in nine at-bats against Singer.

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Andrew Vaughn Anytime Home Run (+400) at Caesars Sportsbook

We are taking a trip to Vaughn Valley tonight. The former White Sox star has revived his career since being traded to the Brew Crew, posting a .365 average with five home runs and 21 RBIs over just 16 games. His bat isn’t showing any signs of cooling down as we head into August, with a .476 average and three home runs over his last 21 at-bats.

Vaughn and the Brewers will be facing Nationals’ starter Mitchell Parker (7-10, 4.91 ERA, 1.41 WHIP) on the mound tonight. The 25-year-old lefty is one of the team’s top pitching prospects, but has struggled to find consistency at the big league level. He faced the Crew earlier this month, surrendering seven runs on eight hits and three walks over 4 ⅔ innings. He surrendered one home run.

Vaughn did not homer off Parker in their previous matchup, but he did go deep against a Nats bullpen that owns the highest ERA (5.66) in the league.

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Teoscar Hernandez Anytime Home Run (+320) at Caesars Sportsbook

Hernandez has seen his power numbers drop as a member of the Dodgers, but he has been heating up over the last week. He has posted a double and two home runs, showing that he is hitting the ball hard. 

We love Hernandez’s chances to stay hot tonight with Shane Baz (8-7, 4.61 ERA, 1.30 WHIP) on the mound for the Rays. The 26-year-old has been elite when on the road, but is 5-3 with a 6.33 ERA on the road. The young pitcher wasn’t even able to handle a terrible White Sox team in his last start in Tampa, allowing eight runs and two home runs over five innings.

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