Best NRFI Bets Today: Back Sean Manaea Against the Underwhelming Guardians Offense

With the Cleveland Guardians severely underwhelming on offense, the New York Mets' Sean Manaea has a great opportunity to build on his momentum after dominating in his minimal appearances so far this season. Later in the night, we turn our attention towards the Tampa Bay Rays and Los Angeles Angels as Adrian Houser should make an instant impact in his new setting after being traded at the deadline.

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Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Mets - Slade Cecconi vs. Sean Manaea (7:10 PM, EST)

Under 0.5 Run (-111) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Even though Sean Manaea has only made four appearances this season, the New York Mets pitcher has capitalized on his outings as he heads into Monday’s contest against Cleveland averaging an ERA of 2.08, a WHIP of 0.865, and a FIP of 2.93. His success can be attributed to his high Whiff Rate as Manaea is also averaging less than one Hit Allowed and more than one Strikeout per Inning Pitched.

In a favorable matchup against Cleveland, Manaea will have a great opportunity to build on his successful 2025 campaign as he faces off against a Guardians offense who ranks below league average in Contact Rate, RBIs, Total Runs Scored, On Base Percentage, and in Slugger Percentage. Especially with his back end excelling in coverage as the Mets defense ranks 11th overall in Fielding Percentage. 

On the other side of the field, Slade Cecconi catches the Mets offense in the midst of a cold stretch of play as they continue to fall down the board in Team Total Hits. Their inability to make contact will be on full display against Cecconi as he enters the contest averaging an ERA of 3.77 and less than one Hit Against per Inning Pitched. With both pitchers in a position to thrive, expect no runs to be scored in the first inning.

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Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels - Adrian Houser vs. Yusei Kikuchi (9:38 PM, EST)

Under 0.5 Run (-122) at FanDuel Sportsbook

With less than 70 games remaining in the regular season, time is slowly running out for the Tampa Bay Rays in their efforts of winning the AL East division title as they are currently 10 games back from first. In order to salvage their hopes of winning the division, as well as make the playoffs, the Rays traded for Adrian Houser who is expected to give their pitching staff an instant boost in production.

During his time with the Chicago White Sox, Houser made quick work of opposing offenses as he averaged an ERA 2.10 and a FIP of 3.31. Now that he is taking the mound for the Rays, Houser is in a great position to sustain his high level of play as he is supported by a defense who ranks top-10 in Defensive Efficiency and in Fielding Percentage.

As for Yusei Kikuchi, the Los Angeles Angels pitcher has backed his success on his high Strikeout Rate as he is currently averaging over one Strikeout per inning and an ERA of 3.30. Even when supported by a defense who struggles in coverage, Kikuchi has shown he can neutralize any offense with his own individual production as his low ERA indicates.

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Best YRFI Bets Today

• Toronto Blue Jays vs. Colorado Rockies - Eric Lauer vs. Tanner Gordon - With Tanner Gordon averaging nearly two runners on base per inning, as well as being surrounded by a defense who ranks dead last in Defensive Efficiency, expect the Toronto Blue Jays to get off to a hot start as their offense excels at making contact at a high rate.

• St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers - Sonny Gray vs. Tyler Glasnow - Expect the reigning World Series champions to open up the scoring early on in their contest against St. Louis as they face off against Sonny Gray who is currently averaging an ERA of 4.38 and more than one Hit Allowed per Inning Pitched.

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