Toronto FC vs New York City FC - Prediction, Odds & Picks

  • Toronto are on the cusp of truly flexing their muscle in the MLS is Back tournament
  • With plenty of experience when it comes to knockout round success, Toronto will be a handful for their opposition
  • Questions and doubts remain regarding NYCFC in this competition

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Toronto FC vs New York City FC Odds

The odds for the Toronto FC vs NYCFC match are provided by BetRivers. Click on the odds below to head to BetRivers and place a bet. For more tips on soccer betting, take a look at our guide for how to bet on soccer.

Match Winner Odds
Toronto FC win +123
New York City FC win +190

Odds taken from BetRivers

Toronto appear to have the advantage here. Although the argument can be made that they are fortunate to be in 1st place of their group, they still look far stronger than NYCFC.

Toronto FC vs New York City FC Prediction and Picks

Toronto have more experience and know-how when it comes to this stage of the tournament. As for NYCFC, they might just be happy that they at least got an invite to the round of 16. Pick Toronto for the win.

How to Watch Toronto FC vs New York City FC

What Toronto FC vs New York City FC
Where ESPN Wide World of Sports Complex (Bay Lake, Florida)
When Sunday, July 26th at 8:30 PM ET
How to watch FS1, Fox Deportes

This round of 16 match-up in the MLS Is Back tournament is defined by two clubs who have benefitted from narrow margins.

For Toronto FC, who shared a five point total and +1 goal differential at the top of Group C with New England Revolution, it was their six goals scored (as opposed to the Revolution’s two) that nudged them just ahead to 1st in their group.

Their prize: A knockout round battle against the worst team to enter the round of 16.

Thanks to a tournament format that gives playoff invites to the four best third-placed teams in the group stage, New York City FC were given the last and final spot in the knockout round. With only three points and a -2 goal differential, NYCFC slightly edged out their rivals New York Red Bulls for the final playoff position.

NYCFC, with a bit of luck and a number of results working in their favor, are invited to the knockout round party, but how long will they stay?

Toronto Are a Sleeping Giant

Even without the injured Jozy Altidore, who only played for a few minutes in the final match of the group stage, Toronto look ready to make a step up in the knockout round.

Young striker Ayo Akinola has been on a wonderful run of form with five goals in the tournament, midfielder Alejandro Pozuelo has found his groove with his five assists and central midfielder Michael Bradley has had his own flashes of brilliance in the group stage.

Were it not for their backline, which has clearly been a liability in a couple of recent games, Toronto would be making more headlines for their goalscoring and chance creation in the final third. If they can just tighten up that defense, there could be little to stop them towards a deep run in the playoffs.

Experience Can Help Toronto in the Knockout Stage

If there’s one thing that Toronto have perfected in recent years, it’s the ability to dominate the knockout round.

In the last four MLS seasons, Toronto have qualified for the MLS cup final three separate times. As seen last year, regardless of their fairly average run in the regular season, Toronto charged through the playoffs with eye-catching wins over D.C. United, NYCFC and Atlanta United.

They’ve held onto many key figures from 2019, and heading into the round of 16, they should be mentally prepared to once again exceed expectations and push any upcoming opponents out of the tournament.

Is NYCFC a Team With a Determined Tactical Identity?

3-5-2? 4-4-2? 4-2-3-1?

When looking at NYCFC, it’s easy to be left scratching your head trying to figure out what new manager Ronny Deila is attempting to do with his formations. Although managers should always feel the need to alter their tactics when needed, he only has one win from the group stage to show for it.

There is something promising there for NYCFC when you look at their ability to create a number of shots, but the project still feels a little too unfinished to be a dangerous playoff team.

They need to make some improvements and they need to make them fast.

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Cesar Hernandez

Expert on Soccer

Freelance writer Cesar Hernandez is a specialist in all things American and Mexican soccer. He has written for ESPN FC, The Athletic, The Guardian, FourFourTwo, VICE Sports and several other publications. Along with writing and previous radio appearances on the BBC, talkSPORT and SiriusXM FC, Cesar is also a member of the Mexican Soccer Show podcast. Email: [email protected]