Image for Reid Spencer Reid Spencer - October 14, 2022

Kansas Lottery 300: Ty Gibbs Is the Favorite at Kansas Speedway, and He’s About Due for a Win.

  • Ty Gibbs is the favorite at Kansas Speedway, and he’s about due for a win.
  • After struggling mightily, Xfinity rookie Sheldon Creed is finding his form.
  • We found one of the year’s best sleeper picks deep in the Kansas field.

Kansas Lottery 300 Betting Odds

Odds taken from DraftKings Sportsbook.

Winner Odds
Ty Gibbs +400
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Noah Gragson +450
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Justin Allgaier +450
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Josh Berry +600
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AJ Allmendinger +800
BET HERE
Ross Chastain +850
BET HERE
Austin Hill +1200
BET HERE
Brandon Jones +1400
BET HERE
Sam Mayer +1500
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Sammy Smith +1500
BET HERE
Sheldon Creed +2000
BET HERE

Our Picks for the Kansas Lottery 300

Ty Gibbs to win the race at +400

Ryan Sieg to finish in the top three at +2500 and top five at +700

Sheldon Creed to beat Daniel Hemric head-to-head at -115

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Kansas Lottery 300 Predictions Ty Gibbs

Kansas Lottery 300 Predictions

Ty Gibbs Didn’t Win Any of the Last Three Races, So He’s Due, Right?

Ty Gibbs is suffering through a three-race losing streak. Why is that small number significant? Because Gibbs has 9 career victories in 42 Xfinity Series starts, or one win in every 4.67 races.

So the bottom line is that he’s about due for another.

Add the fact that Gibbs won last year’s Kansas race during his rookie campaign, and you’ll understand why the Joe Gibbs Racing phenom is our pick to win Saturday’s Kansas Lottery 300 at +400 via DraftKings Sportsbook.

Sheldon Creed Is Finding His Form at Just the Right Time

After a difficult start to the 2022 NASCAR Xfinity Series season, Sheldon Creed seems to be righting his ship just in time to make the Playoffs.

Creed ran a strong second at Darlington last Saturday and battled for the win until Noah Gragson passed him in the final corner.

With the runner-up finish, Creed moved closer to the Playoffs, trimming 12th-place Ryan Sieg’s advantage to 16 points with two races left before the Playoff field is set with the top 12 drivers.

Though we don’t think Creed will win Saturday’s race, we like him to make another strong run and beat Daniel Hemric head-to-head at -115.

Our Long-Shot Pick Is Buried Deep in the Field—But Shouldn’t Be

The aforementioned Ryan Sieg will be tough for Sheldon Creed to beat at Kansas Speedway.

In the last five races at the 1.5-mile track, Sieg has finished in the top 10. In his last three races there, he has run fourth, third and fifth.

Despite that strong record, Sieg’s odds are absurdly long: +10000 to win, +2500 to finish in the top three and +700 to finish in the top five.

We advocate bets on the top-three and top-five propositions based solely on Sieg’s recent results at Kansas.

How to Watch the Kansas Lottery 300

Race Kansas Lottery 300 NASCAR Xfinity Series race
Location Kansas Speedway
Time Saturday, September 10, 3 p.m. ET
How to Watch USA

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AUTHOR

Reid Spencer

193 Articles

Award-winning motorsports writer Reid Spencer has served as lead writer for the NASCAR Wire Service for 16 years, having also spent a four-year stint as NASCAR columnist and beat writer for Sporting News. He is currently serving as president of the National Motorsports Press Association. Email: [email protected]

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