Tennessee Lottery 250 Predictions: Experience Should Make the Difference

• Veteran Aric Almirola is back in the No.19 Toyota for Joe Gibbs Racing.

• Austin Hill has scored top-10 finishes in the four most recent Nashville races.

• Justin Allgaier hopes to break a streak of five different winners at Nashville.

Tennessee Lottery 250 Betting Odds

Odds taken from bet365 Sportsbook. Use our promo code WSN365 and claim $150 in bonus bets with a $5 wager, regardless of the bet outcome.

My Picks for the Tennessee Lottery 250

• Justin Allgaier to win the race at +320 via bet365

• Austin Hill to finish in the top three at +300 via bet365

Tennessee Lottery 250 Predictions

Aric Almirola is a Likely Contender in the Tennessee Lottery 250

After a strong start to the season in a part-time role with Joe Gibbs Racing, Aric Almirola has lost some of his steam in the last two races, but that doesn’t mean the driver of the No. 19 Toyota won’t be fast at Nashville.

Almirola’s equipment is the finest available, and it also helps that JGR drivers have won seven of the last 12 pole positions at Nashville.

There’s a big disclaimer for that last statistic. Racing resumed at Nashville in 2021 after a 10-year hiatus, so drawing from ancient numbers won’t really provide an accurate picture.

That said, two of those Gibbs poles have come in the last four NASCAR Xfinity Series races, and that is relevant.

Almirola has a win, a runner-up finish and a third in five starts this season, and he’s all but certain to be a contender on Saturday, particularly if he qualifies near the front as expected.

But he’s coming off a 13th at Martinsville and, most recently, a 33rd at Talladega, so momentum is not on his side.

Hence, we’re not backing Almirola at +400 via bet365 Sportsbook.

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Austin Hill is the Model of Consistency in Xfinity Races at Nashville

Austin Hill is consistently underrated by oddsmakers, and he consistently outperforms the expectations of the handicappers.

Hill’s consistency also applies to Nashville Superspeedway. He’s the only driver to have scored top-10 results in all four of the most recent races at the 1.33-mile track.

Hill is a three-time winner this season, twice at drafting tracks (Atlanta and Talladega) and once at a traditional short track (Martinsville).

At downforce tracks, he has finished third (Homestead), fourth twice (Las Vegas and Texas) and seventh (Charlotte).

Give his track record at Nashville, which includes fourth-place results in his last two starts, we expect him to be a contender on Saturday.

Though Hill is not our choice to win the race, we like him to finish in the top three at +300 via bet365.

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Justin Allgaier Hopes to Break Streak of Different Winners on Saturday

The last five NASCAR Xfinity Series races at Nashville Superspeedway have produced five different winners, a streak Justin Allgaier believes he can end on Saturday.

Allgaier is the only former Nashville winner in the field for the Tennessee Lottery 250, and he already has posted two victories on intermediate speedways this season.

Allgaier has an edge in experience at the concrete track, with 10 starts dating to 2009. His record includes a win (2022), a pole and five top-five finishes.

“Nashville has been a really good track for us since its return to the schedule,” Allgaier said. “(Crew chief) Jim (Pohlman) and everyone on this team has been working hard all week to give us a car that I know will be capable of running up front and contending for the win.”

That’s exactly where we think Allgaier will be. He’s our pick to win on Saturday at +320 via bet365 in a duel against part-time JR Motorsports teammate and full-time NASCAR Cup driver Ross Chastain.

By the way, we’re looking to preserve a streak of our own after giving you last week’s winner, William Byron.

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How to Watch the Tennessee Lottery 250

• Race: Tennessee Lottery 250 NASCAR Xfinity Series race

• Location: Nashville Superspeedway

• Time: Saturday, May 31, 7:30 p.m. ET

• How to Watch: The CW