Mike Evans could make his long-awaited return from the IR
Bijan Robinson is averaging 5.0 YPC over his last five games
Bucky Irving has scored in two consecutive weeks
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers may be leading a horrible NFC South division, but they now sit one game away from falling behind Bryce Young and the Panthers. They’ll look to fend off their upstart rivals on Thursday as they face a beaten and broken Falcons team. Can the Bucs get back on track, or will this be the week their playoff hopes begin to dim?
We’ll provide insights into our favorite same-game parlay for this highly anticipated matchup below, using odds taken from Caesars Sportsbook, one of our best-ranked parlay betting sites.
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| Best Buccaneers vs Falcons SGP Picks | Odds | Double Your Winnings at Caesars |
|---|---|---|
| Buccaneers -4 | -113 | CLAIM HERE |
| Bijan Robinson Anytime TD | -148 | CLAIM HERE |
| Bucky Irving Over 60+ Rush Yards | -139 | CLAIM HERE |
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The Falcons have begun to look like a team eager to fast-forward to the offseason. Kirk Cousins has not looked great, including in the team’s blowout loss last week. He completed 50% of his passes for 162 yards, with the overwhelming majority going to tight end Kyle Pitts. While Drake London could return for this game, we don’t believe it will make a difference for this disappointing offense.
The strength of the Falcons' offense is Bijan Robinson, who has the fourth-most rushing yards in the NFL this season. He’s been challenging to stop all season, but Tampa managed to do so in Week 1. They held Robinson to just 24 yards on 12 carries, though they still lost the game. While the Bucs aren’t the same team, they do rank eighth in the league against the run, allowing 100.6 yards per game. If Robinson can’t dominate, the Falcons' offense will deliver yet another dud.
The Bucs offense hasn’t looked great recently, but they have slowly been getting healthy. Those stars returning have thrown off the offense, but we believe they will make adjustments this week. That’s especially true if Mike Evans can make his return, which will serve to open up the pass game.
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As we mentioned above, the Tampa run defense has been fantastic at limiting yards on the ground this season. However, they have not been great in the red zone. They have allowed 15 rushing touchdowns, which puts them firmly in the bottom ten of the league. When the Falcons get the ball close to the goal line, expect Robinson to find the end zone.
Robinson had a brief slump in October, but has been back to playing at an NFL MVP level over his last five games. He’s averaging 97.2 yards per game during that span, averaging 5.0 YPC. His hot streak continued last week against an excellent Seahawks run defense, and he tops that against a far weaker Tampa unit this week.
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The Bucs got their top rusher back two weeks ago, and we believe tonight is the night he makes a splash. Irving was decent in his first two games back, taking 32 rushes for 116 yards (3.6 YPC). While his efficiency is still improving since his injury, it hasn’t stopped him from finding the end zone in both games.
The reason we like Bucky tonight is partly due to the Bucs’ pass attack. While Mike Evans' return could help with that, the offensive line remains a concern. They have struggled against opposing pass rushes, which is bad news against the Falcons team. While the Atlanta defense has plenty of issues, the pass rush isn’t one of them, ranking third in the NFL with 43 sacks.
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