The Patriots are averaging 29.5 points per game during their six-game winning streak.
The Buccaneers are averaging 28 points per game in their home games this year.
Drake Maye has thrown multiple touchdown passes in four straight games.
The NFL Week 10 schedule features two different games between teams that are currently atop their division. Surprisingly, the first of those two games is Sunday’s matinee between the New England Patriots and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Not many would have expected this matchup to feature two division leaders at the start of the season, but that is the situation. Thus, the Bucs-Pats matchup is one of the most anticipated games of the weekend.
Despite being the current division leader, the Patriots still aren’t considered the betting favorites to win the AFC East. On the other hand, the Buccaneers are running away in their division, as they are heavily favored in the NFC South odds. Despite the success this season for the Bucs and Pats, neither is considered a serious contender according to Super Bowl odds and predictions, at least right now.
On paper, this looks like a competitive game, especially with the spread listed as less than a field goal. For a special matchup, we wanted to put together a same-game parlay, using odds from Caesars Sportsbook.
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For our three-leg parlay, the current odds at Caesars are +550.
| Buccaneers vs Patriots SGP Picks | Odds | Double Your Winnings at Caesars |
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| Over 43.5 | -213 | CLAIM HERE |
| Hunter Henry Anytime Touchdown | +160 | CLAIM HERE |
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With a small spread, it’s convenient to take Tampa’s moneyline in this game rather than risking the Bucs pulling out a close win in a game that could go either way. Despite some injury concerns with their offensive playmakers, the Bucs are 6-2 on the season. They are also coming off a bye, giving them a chance to get healthy and come up with a game plan to beat the Patriots.
In fairness, the Patriots have won six in a row, while also going 4-0 on the road this season. However, both of those feel unsustainable long-term. After all, New England needed a failed PAT by the Falcons last week to escape with a 24-23 win. The Pats are trending toward a loss, and a road game against a well-rested Bucs team might be too much for them.
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There’s a good chance both teams will put some points on the board in this game. Since it’s a parlay, we can tease the point total down just a little to give us a better chance. While both teams are solid defensively, both Drake Maye and Baker Mayfield have had good seasons, becoming at least part of the MVP conversation. That should translate to points on both sides.
During their six-game winning streak, the Patriots have scored at least 23 points in every game, averaging 29.5 points per game during that stretch. Likewise, the Lions and Texans are the only teams to hold the Bucs below 20 points this season, and both of those games were on the road. In their three home games this year, the Bucs are averaging 28 points per game. Thus, both teams should contribute to a total that approaches 50 points.
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There are plenty of good touchdown candidates in this game, but Henry’s value sticks out. It certainly helps that Drake Maye has thrown multiple touchdown passes in four straight games. With Kayshon Boutte and Rhamondre Stevenson both battling injuries, Henry might be New England’s best red-zone weapon. Even with just one touchdown in his last five games, Henry shouldn’t be ignored as an option.
Granted, the Buccaneers have only allowed 11 passing touchdowns in eight games. But four of those 11 touchdowns have been scored by tight ends. Both Dallas Goedert and AJ Barner did some damage against the Tampa defense. That should put Henry in a position to succeed against the Bucs, especially with the way Maye has played in recent weeks.
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