Falcons head coach Raheem Morris was the defensive coordinator for the Rams from 2021 to 2023, and this is his first game facing them as the Falcons head coach
Rams wide receiver Davante Adams is unlikely to play in this game, too, as he nurses a hamstring injury
Heading into Week 17, the Rams have a 19.4% chance to win their division and a 13.6% chance to win the No. 1 seed
Before Week 17 of the 2025-26 NFL season comes to a close, the 6-9 Atlanta Falcons will play host to the 11-4 Los Angeles Rams.
The Rams are coming off a thrilling 38-37 loss to the Seattle Seahawks on Thursday Night Football, while the Falcons went on the road and took down the Arizona Cardinals, 26-19.
As far as Super Bowl odds go, the Falcons are eliminated from postseason contention, but the Rams are atop the board at +420. Additionally, they rank fifth in our NFL defense rankings, with the Falcons coming in at No. 20.
With that being said, below, I've constructed a three-same Same Game Parlay for this matchup with +420 odds at Fanatics Sportsbook.
Odds below for two props are courtesy of Fanatics Sportsbook. Sign up for a Fanatics account today and receive up to $2,000 in FanCash. Find more details in our Fanatics Sportsbook review.
| Best Falcons vs. Rams SGP Picks | Odds | Claim Up to $2,000 in FanCash at Fanatics |
|---|---|---|
| Leg 1: Falcons +8 | -110 | CLAIM HERE |
| Leg 2: Puka Nacua Anytime TD | -140 | CLAIM HERE |
| Leg 3: Matthew Stafford Under 2.5 Passing TDs | -180 | CLAIM HERE |
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While the Rams are undoubtedly the better team, eight points is too large a margin.
Starting in the trenches, yes, the Rams have an excellent pass rush, ranking third in pressures with 241. However, the Falcons have done an excellent job at mitigating pressure. They’ve allowed 182 pressures, which may sound like a lot, but that’s 27th in the NFL.
Furthermore, the Falcons have a veteran quarterback, Kirk Cousins, who’s great at getting the ball out quickly. His average time to throw is 2.57 seconds.
This is important because, against quarterbacks that get rid of the ball in that time or less, the Rams have allowed a completion percentage of 69.7%, 11 touchdowns, and four interceptions.
Additionally, going back to Rams' pass rush against the Falcons’ offensive line, if the Falcons can keep Cousins upright, Cousins has completed 108 of 150 passes (72%).
He has some great weapons at his disposal, with tight end Kyle Pitts, wide receiver Drake London, and running back Bijan Robinson.
I don’t expect this game to go exactly as the Cardinals game did, but the Falcons led in time of possession by about 10 minutes.
The Falcons' game plan will be to get the ball out quickly, especially to Robinson via the run or pass, and keep the Rams off the field.
With this spread being north of a touchdown, I’ll take the Falcons to cover, but the Rams win outright.
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Nacua faces a Falcons defense that’s surrendering 1.20 receiving touchdowns per game to opposing wide receivers. They’ve allowed at least one touchdown to the position in each of their last four games.
He’ll be Stafford’s No. 1 option in a game that, sure, won’t change whether or not they make the playoffs, but they’re still chasing the No. 1 seed in the NFC (they have a 13.6% chance).
Nacua will certainly see double-digit targets, and without Adams on the field, he should be considered extremely likely to score.
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Through 15 games, Stafford has 40 touchdown passes and five interceptions. However, he’s thrown for two touchdowns or fewer in six.
Not only that, but as an 8-point favorite, if the Rams get a sizable lead, they could focus on running the ball more.
Also, the Falcons' defense primarily plays Cover-3. Against Cover-3, Stafford, on 182 pass attempts, has just nine passing touchdowns. He’s only thrown multiple touchdowns against Cover-3 in one game.
The Falcons will play other coverages, but for context, quarterbacks facing the Falcons have seen Cover-3 on 228 of their dropbacks.
The next most often played coverage is Cover-4 (130 dropbacks). Against that, Stafford has just one passing touchdown all season.
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