Jonathan Taylor is averaging nearly two touchdowns per game this season
Taylor is listed as the betting favorite to win the Offensive Player of the Year award
The Pittsburgh Steelers' defense ranks below league average in Run Defense Win Rate
After a hot start to the year, Jonathan Taylor has quickly strengthened his odds to win NFL Offensive Player of the Year award as the Indianapolis Colts running back continues to run wild on a weekly basis. With the Pittsburgh Steelers' front seven struggling to stop the run, Taylor is in a favorable position to thrive and put together another dominant performance.
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| Jonathan Taylor Anytime Touchdown Scorer | -260 | CLAIM HERE |
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Even though a running back has not won the MVP award since 2012, Jonathan Taylor is building a case to be the first player to do so as he is averaging over 100 rushing yards and nearly 2 touchdowns per game. His ability to brush off contact in the trenches has played a major role in his success this season as Taylor currently ranks above league average in Yards Over Expected per Attempt.
In a AFC conference matchup against Pittsburgh, Taylor will have a great opportunity to build on his momentum as he faces off against a Steelers front seven who ranks near the bottom of the board in Run Defense Win Rate. For some more exposure, escalator bet Taylor’s rushing yardage prop by placing smaller wagers on his alternate overs at the best available odds across multiple sportsbooks.
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While Taylor is expected to put together an efficient performance on the ground, generating an explosive play will be a struggle as Pittsburgh blitzes their linebackers at one of the heaviest rates in the league. The Steelers extra bodies in the trenches will help lessen the width of Taylor’s running lanes, as well as make it easier for their secondary to crash down on him once he has been slowed down by the second level of their defense.
Over the course of the season, Taylor has only generated a total of six explosive runs which is a gain of 20 yards or more. Even with the Colts offensive line ranking top-3 in Run Block Success Rate and in PFF Grade, the Steelers pressure will help slow down Taylor enough at the line of scrimmage to reduce his chances of busting through their back line.
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Should the Steelers fail to get to Daniel Jones while blitzing their linebackers, they will be vulnerable to getting beat by an explosive play through the air. Especially in dump off situations to Taylor as he will be able to bounce to the outside with his receivers lead blocking for him. Should the total on Taylor’s longest completion prop climb up to 12.5, then reduce the size of your wager.
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When in scoring position, Taylor has been the focal point of the Colts offense as he comfortably leads the team in total Red Zone Rush Attempts while averaging 3.7 yards per carry. Taylor is also used in pass sets as he has managed to haul in all four of his Targets while converting two of them into touchdowns. For a correlated same game parlay, pair Taylor’s anytime touchdown scorer prop with his alternate rushing yardage prop to help bring down the line.
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Rushing Yards: 850
Rushing Touchdowns: 12
Average Yards per Carry: 5.9
Average Rushing Yards per Game: 106.3
Total Fumbles: 0
Receiving Yards: 206
Receiving Touchdowns: 2
Average Yards per Reception: 8.2
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