Texans vs. Seahawks Prop Bets MNF Week 7: Darnold Joining MVP Race, Stroud Saving Playoff Dreams?

• The Seahawks are second in yards allowed per carry, while the Texans are sixth in yards allowed per attempt

• The 41.5-point projected total is the third-lowest of NFL Week 7

• C.J. Stroud went under his projected pass attempts line in four of five games

The Seattle Seahawks will host the Houston Texans in the second leg of a Monday Night Football doubleheader as both teams look to improve their playoff position.

C.J. Stroud and the Texans had their best day on offense of the season their last time on the field, while Sam Darnold’s career resurgence has vaulted him in NFL MVP odds. There’s no shortage of player prop odds available for this matchup, which features exciting QBs, star receivers, and tenacious defenses.

Will the Seahawks continue to rise in NFC and Super Bowl odds, or will the Texans claw their way back to .500? Here are my best Texans vs. Seahawks picks and player prop bets for MNF.

Texans vs. Seahawks Prop Bets in MNF Week 7

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Sam Darnold Under 225.5 Passing Yards (-114) at FanDuel Sportsbook 

Darnold went over this line three games running and had 295 passing yards his last time on the field. Despite that, I think a bit of regression could be in order due to the Texans spending last week on a bye and having time to formulate a plan to slow down Darnold and the Seahawks’ offense.

The Texans are sixth in yards allowed per attempt (5.7) and seventh in average time of possession excluding overtime (31:34). The takeaway there is that, because they possess the ball for longer than average, they create fewer opportunities for their opponent, and they have a stingy secondary. They also held four straight QBs under this line after Matthew Stafford had 245 yards in Week 1.

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Nick Chubb Over 38.5 Rushing Yards (-114) at FanDuel Sportsbook 

It’s safe to say that Chubb’s best days are behind him. The 29-year-old has suffered several major injuries over the course of his career, but he still went over this line in four of five games this season, with the only under coming by 0.5 yards.

If the Texans are going to prioritize clock control, especially on the road coming off of a bye week, they will likely give Chubb a solid workload. The Seahawks have a phenomenal run defense and are allowing just 3.3 yards per carry and 79 rushing yards per game (both second in the NFL), but Chubb just needs to average about 3.3 yards per carry to hit the over, assuming he gets his season average for carries.

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Kenneth Walker III Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+180) at FanDuel Sportsbook 

Walker only scored three touchdowns this season and in two of six games. However, there’s serious value on this line, given he is still his team’s starting running back and averaged 13 carries per game.

The weakness of Houston’s outstanding defense is its ability to stop the run. Whereas they rank third and fifth in EPA per play and success rate per dropback, they are 16th in both categories against the run, making the Seahawks’ supposed game plan (and the path to Darnold’s under) clear.

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C.J. Stroud Under 31.5 Pass Attempts (-114) at FanDuel Sportsbook 

The Texans don’t hesitate to put the ball in the hands of their third-year QB whenever there is a shootout—but for all of the reasons laid out above, this shapes up as a game more focused on defense and controlling the time of possession.

Stroud only went over this line one time in five games. The concern is that the Seahawks shut the water off for Chubb and the running backs, but Houston’s success at controlling the clock and Stroud’s average of 28.8 attempts per game are reasons to bet his under.

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