Bears tight end Colston Loveland has a 31% target share when Rome Odunze and Luther Burden III aren’t on the field.
If the Packers win this game, they’ll take control of the NFC North.
Packers quarterback Jordan Love threw for 234 yards against the Bears just a couple of weeks ago.
One of the most important games on the Week 16 slate is the Chicago Bears vs. the Green Bay Packers. The Bears are currently the No. 2 seed in the NFC as they lead the NFC North. For the Packers, they’re the No. 7 seed at 9-4-1. With a Packers win, these team could flip their current seedings.
Conversely, if the Bears win, they’re that much closer to potentially getting the No. 1 seed in the NFC.
The Packers are just outside the top five in Super Bowl odds at +1200. They’re also 8th in our NFL defense rankings, despite losing edge rusher Micah Parsons for the season with a torn ACL.
With that being said, below, I’ve assembled three of the best prop bets for this matchup, all from Fanatics Sportsbook. Sign up for a Fanatics account today and receive up to $2,000 in FanCash. Find more details in our Fanatics Sportsbook review.
| Best Packers vs Bears Prop Bets | Odds | Get Up to $2,000 in FanCash at Fanatics |
|---|---|---|
| Colston Loveland Anytime TD | +185 | CLAIM HERE |
| Jordan Love 225+ Passing Yards | -140 | CLAIM HERE |
| Caleb Williams Under 1.5 Passing TDs | -125 | CLAIM HERE |
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Heading into this game, the Bears are dealing with injuries to their top two wide receivers, Rome Odunze and Luther Burden III.
While you may think this would benefit D.J. Moore - and it may - the data shows that quarterback Caleb Williams looks toward rookie tight end Colston Loveland.
In situations where Odunze and Burden III aren’t on the field, Loveland leads the team with a 31% target share and has a touchdown.
The next closest player is fellow tight end Cole Kmet (21.1%).
As for Moore, he’s posted just a 15.2% target share in that spot.
There’s a chance Burden III could play, though. If he does, Loveland has caught 11 of 13 passes for 152 yards and a touchdown when Odunze isn’t on the field.
Given the odds and a chance that both receivers are out, I’ll take a chance on Loveland to score.
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Love has thrown for 225 yards or more in eight of 14 games and is averaging 236 passing yards per contest.
When the Packers and Bears played a couple of weeks ago, Love completed 17 of 25 passes for 234 yards, three touchdowns, and one interception.
His 25 pass attempts were tied for his fourth-fewest in any game. For context, he’s averaging more than 30 pass attempts per game.
Furthermore, against Cover-2 and Cover-3, the coverages the Bears play most often, Love has completed 71.3% of his passes and is averaging 8.2 yards per attempt.
Love will have his top weapon on the field, too, it seems. Wide receiver Christian Watson, who caught two touchdowns in their last matchup, suited up for practice today despite suffering a chest injury last week.
Love will clear 225 yards.
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While I have Loveland on track to score in this game, I think it’ll be limited to just that.
Without Odunze and Burden III on the field, the Bears may look more to the ground game.
In situations where Burden III and Odunze aren’t on the field, Williams has never thrown more than one touchdown pass in a game. He’s had one in each of his last three games, and that’s it for this season.
Then, to go even further, if you look at his splits without Odunze and Burden III on the field against Cover-3, the coverage the Packers most often play, he has just one touchdown pass all season.
Assuming Odunze and Burden III both miss this game, Williams isn’t throwing multiple touchdown passes.
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