Jordan Love has as many games with no touchdowns (three) as he does 2+ over his last six games
Bo Nix beat his passing line in six of his last 12
The Broncos are third in passing TDs allowed, while the Packers are seventh in passing yards allowed
Two of the top five Super Bowl odds contenders will collide at Mile-High this weekend when the Denver Broncos host the Green Bay Packers, and I’ve made my best parlay picks and player props for the matchup.
The Broncos won 10 straight games and are fighting for first place in the AFC Championship odds. They have one of the two best defenses in football, but quarterback Bo Nix only has two touchdowns and three interceptions in his last four games.
On the other side, the Packers won four straight games and beat the Chicago Bears their last time on the field. They have one of the most efficient offenses and a menacing defense, yet their inconsistencies have caused them to drop unexpected games to the Panthers and Browns.
With the teams ready for battle, here are my picks for the individuals who will rise above the rest - my best Packers vs. Broncos same-game parlay picks, stuffed with player props and NFL picks against the spread.
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| Best Packers vs Broncos SGP Picks | Odds | Claim $150 in Bonus Bets at bet365 |
|---|---|---|
| Leg 1: Bo Nix over 212.5 passing yards | -110 | CLAIM HERE |
| Leg 2: Jordan Love under 1.5 passing touchdowns | -135 | CLAIM HERE |
| Leg 3: RJ Harvey over 18.5 receiving yards | -110 | CLAIM HERE |
| Leg 4: Broncos +2.5 (-114) | -114 | CLAIM HERE |
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While Nix hasn’t been very influential from a scoring perspective, he has a proven ability to rack up passing yards. He had exactly 212 last weekend after going for 321 and 295 in the weeks before, and he beat this line in six of his last 10 games.
The Packers have done a terrific job of limiting their opponents, holding them to an average of 185.8 passing yards. However, the Broncos don’t have a great running game they can rely on, and Nix can mirror the success Caleb Williams had last weekend staying alive as a passer outside of the pocket.
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Love is a very boom-or-bust style of player. He had three games with zero touchdowns in the last six weeks, while he went for two, three, and four TDs in the other weeks. For the year, he went under this line in only six of 13 games, but he’s getting one of the most difficult tests in the NFL.
The Broncos allowed just one passing touchdown per game and 0.8 per game on their home field, where they are 6-0. I expect the Packers to approach this matchup with a run-first, defensive mentality, which doesn't bode well for Love’s chances of lighting up the Denver sky.
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Harvey, a second-round rookie running back from UCF, has picked up steam in the Broncos’ backfield in the wake of J.K. Dobbins’ injury. He logged 14, 16, and 23 touches on offense over the last three games, going over this receiving line in all of those (and in four of his last five contests).
One of the reasons that the Packers have a prolific pass defense is because of their ability to rush the passer. Nix loves a good check-down to the running back, and if the Packers can get in the backfield, the ball should find its way to Harvey with opportunities to gain yards after the catch.
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Both of these teams have legitimate aspirations to win their conference and make a run to the Super Bowl. I like the Packers more when they are operating at their best, but they are more prone to falling off of that standard than the Broncos are.
Denver has the better defense and is undefeated at home, and they do a better job of managing Nix’s workload and expectations. He’ll have more responsibility in this game, but, as mentioned above, he can make plays outside of the pocket, just like Wiliams did for the Bears last weekend.
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