Texans vs. Chargers Same Game Parlay Picks: How Still Stroud, Herbert Handle Elite Defenses?

• The Chargers are 1.5-point favorites at bet365 sportsbook

• The Texans allowed the second-fewest yards per pass attempt (5.7)

• The Texans can still win their division with a loss, but the Chargers can’t

The Houston Texans and Los Angeles Chargers are both hoping to continue their playoff push when they meet in LA on Saturday afternoon.

The Texans, known for their intense defense, rescued their season with a seven-game winning streak that could be pushed to eight this weekend. C.J. Stroud hasn’t been great, but they’re still in with a chance to win the AFC South.

On the other side, Justin Herbert has gotten better and better with every passing week. The defense consistently plays at a strong level, but their issues on the offensive line will be tested by the Texans’ elite D.

As is the case with every game, it’s the players, not the teams, who decide these high-stakes matchups. Here are my best Texans vs. Chargers same-game parlay picks, including the best player props from the matchup.

Texans vs. Chargers Same Game Parlay Picks

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C.J. Stroud Over 225.5 Passing Yards (-110) at bet365 Sportsbook

I mentioned that Stroud has not been great this year; that part is true, but it doesn’t mean that he’s capable of moving the ball through the air. He went for 260 two weeks ago and 276 four weeks ago, and he averaged 231.7 passing yards per game, excluding one he left early with an injury.

The Chargers only allowed 179.3 passing yards per game, good for sixth in football. However, I expect their offense to find a bit of success and to force the Texans to be more aggressive with their play-calling, and I also believe that Houston’s lack of a running game will coax them into calling more passing than running plays.

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Justin Herbert Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (+125) at bet365 Sportsbook

To be totally fair, Herbert only cashed the over on this line against a strong defense one time, on Oct. 23 against the Minnesota Vikings. However, he also did it against the Kansas City Chiefs in Week 1, a red-hot team like the Indianapolis Colts in the middle of the year, and in his last game against the Dallas Cowboys. 

The Texans rank sixth in the NFL with only 1.1 passing touchdowns allowed per game, but as I mentioned, I expect the quarterbacks to be relatively effective. The Texans are an extremely physical team, and running right at them could prove to be a mistake.

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Woody Marks Longest Rush Under 12.5 Yards (-115) at bet365 Sportsbook

Marks seems to leave every game to get checked for an injury, which could limit his opportunity for carries (although he’s gotten a ton recently). More importantly, he only averaged 3.5 yards per carry, and I expect this game to be more about the quarterbacks than the supporting cast.

Marks hit the over in three of his last six games, but he also went under in back-to-back games. The Chargers allowed 4.4 yards per carry, which is below league-average, but not enough of a degree that the expectation should be that Marks will explode for a big day.

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Ladd McConkey Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+225) at bet365 Sportsbook

McConkey scored a touchdown in six of his last 11 games, which means that in the most basic form, there’s a greater than 50 percent chance he crosses the pylons. That completely removes context and discounts the strength of Houston’s defense, but it’s a nice representation of his importance in the offense.

Houston’s defense is so talented that they don’t need to roll their safeties or bracket receivers such as McConkey. I already picked Herbert to throw at least two touchdowns, and that would mean the second-year pro would likely catch at least one of them.

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